Jim Kendall

This is the exact common sense I hear everywhere I talk to normal, ordinary people like myself. And yes, Nature is brutal - the system will reset itself by collapsing, because what the current political and institutional elites have built in Europe is absolutely unsustainable.

Rubio’s trip to India was mostly about getting the trade deal done and talking energy amid Global System Rupture. He says the trade agreement is basically finished, almost 99% there, just some wording left to sort out, and it should be ready in a matter of weeks, not months. I am quite convinced that the waiver on Russian energy exports for India (and China among other customers) was also launched to not stand in the way of the trade deal and the energy agreements. On energy, he’s pushing India to buy and refine more oil from places other than Russia (especially Venezuelan crude, since India is good at refining heavy oil). That’s why he’s also heading to Reliance’s big refinery in Jamnagar. If this is possible, we will see quite an interesting game in using India's major refining capacities operating in both worlds - the US one which will rely on Venezuelan refined oil; and the DragonBear one which relies on the Russian refinied oil. This is just a potential scenario, just watch this space! Rubio kept saying the US and India are strongly aligned on the big stuff that matters to both countries, and that better ties with Pakistan or China won’t come at India’s expense. Overall, the message was: the relationship is very important, the trade deal is almost close, and energy is the next big area to work on together. Which all makes sense given the simultaneity of disruption in the three choke points and the two proxy wars adding more pain to the global system, including Indian economy. India being the pragmatic geopolitical bridge between the two world right now will benefit from improving the relationship with the US on top of stabilizing the relation with China and further deepening the relation with Russia.

Some of my geopolitical and geoeconomic frameworks that stood the test of the time since 2022: - DragonBear as a modus operandi of strategic coordination between Russia and China - India as the key geopolitical bridge between the two worlds amid bifurcating global system - new Cold War 2.0 between the US and DragonBear - AI as game changer in 4IR: who wins the AI, wins the 4IR; who wins the 4IR, wins the new Cold War; - Simultaneity of two proxy wars in Ukraine and Iran as two major systemic risks generating global multiplicative effects across the global system since 2022 - Global System Rupture as the fourth systemic risk-driven global crisis - The „Triangle of Happiness“ representing the new Triumvirate of global realpolitik between US, China and Russia to manage the confrontation below the threshold of a direct conventional and nuclear conflict - Europe facing vast geoeconomic decline due to the strategic trilemma of deindustrialization, defence gaps and aggressive decarbonization and a geopolitical backyard of global affairs - the rise of South and Southeast Asia as a geoeconomic center of growth and the Indo-Pacific as the main arena of global power competition - no military attack on Taiwan by China but slow & steady „death by thousand cuts approach“ - the Arctic as a key geoeconomic artery for the DragonBear and major commercial, trade & maritime corridor for the Indo-Pacific with Russia becoming the entry ticket for China