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Social Intelligence for Stocks Powered by @LunarCrush

California, USA
Joined August 2019
Chips dragged the Nasdaq to a 2.8% close, and the chip crowd got bigger every hour on the way down. Accounts posting about AMD rose about 30% between early morning and mid-afternoon, and they rose in every hour in between. Our call: the room is quieter by Monday, not louder.
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Roblox ($RBLX) guided Q4 bookings down 10% to 15% on Thursday's call, and the reaction was about 18 times a normal day of conversation. A day later the room is still filling up, still arguing about EU child safety rules, still praising a game called Steal An Egg. Our take: the people who showed up for that number are not the people who own the stock.
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Regeneron's room tripled this morning and then talked about everything except the quarter. The 36% revenue jump is in the release; the conversation is a new FDA approval, the Dupixent run, and what the melanoma readout does next. Sentiment barely moved. For a biotech, is the print ever the story?
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Glaukos ($GKOS) makes eye implants, and on Thursday it closed up 33.7%. Its whole day of conversation fit inside 208 accounts. Our call: the crowd arrives for the next print, not this one.
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Sandisk ($SNDK) is splitting its stock eight for one, the move a board makes when a four-figure share price has become an obstacle. Its crowd cooled 8 points against the week anyway, the sourest tone in nearly two weeks. A split is the friendliest announcement a board can make, and this room gave it nothing.
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More accounts posted about Fortinet ($FTNT) yesterday than on any day in the past month, about 3.6 times its usual. The stock closed down 20%. And the room still cannot agree on what the release said: the supportive half calls it a beat, the critical half a miss. Our take: a split verdict after a 20% day is a crowd that got blindsided, not one that saw it coming.
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Thursday's selling was a Nasdaq problem, but the exchange people talked about was the other one. Conversation about the New York Stock Exchange ran four times its usual pace, its widest crowd in a month. Nasdaq's looked like any other day. Rotation, or the GM listing switch?
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Exxon's release this morning carried a $20 billion buyback for 2027. Conversation about the company is running about 1.6 times a normal hour since, and barely any of the lift is new accounts. If a number that size cannot widen a mega-cap's audience, what can?
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CNBC had Alphabet on course for its biggest ever post-earnings drop today, and its conversation ran about 1.2 times a normal day. Roughly 390 million engagements, top of the board, Tesla and Spotify behind it. Our read: this board ranks popularity, not news, and a 12% drop in a mega-cap barely moves it.
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This morning we said Intel's sentiment would move further than Amazon's after tonight's reports. In the first hour after the releases, Intel's tone fell 22 points from the hour before. Amazon's fell 8. Intel is the smaller crowd by a wide margin, and it is the one that flinched. Is a thin, angry crowd a better read on a print than a big calm one?
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Marvell's crowd is 91% positive about the company spending money. Bloomberg reported it is in advanced talks to acquire Lumentum, and conversation about Marvell ($MRVL) ran nearly seven times its daily average. Acquirers' shareholders are usually the ones who grumble about the price. This one is cheering the buyer.
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Almost nobody posts about ServiceNow on a normal day. Today it drew about 11 million engagements, roughly ten times its average, and CNBC has the stock ($NOW) down 25% on fears AI will eat enterprise software. The AI-eats-software thesis has lived on podcasts for two years. Now it has a comment section.
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The other name on tonight's calendar is Intel, and its crowd is quieter than its own daily average, at 84% sentiment. Relaxed, for the most argued-over turnaround in semis. Our call: its sentiment moves further overnight than Amazon's, on a fraction of the attention.
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Sales fell, guidance came down, and the stock closed up 12% on Wednesday. Wingstop ($WING) reported domestic same-store sales down 5.4% last quarter, and engagements ran about four times their 30-day average. Which part of that does the crowd actually believe?
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Amazon reports after today's close and drew less conversation in the last 24 hours than its own daily average. Walmart, worth about a third as much, pulled roughly eleven times the engagement. The crowd tracks the stores it walks into, not the cloud line that moves the print.
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Microsoft ($MSFT) climbed 3.6% premarket on the cash-flow beat, per Reuters. Last night still wasn't its biggest social day of the week. Tuesday was, as the buyout story spread, and that day pulled more conversation than the earnings day did. The Street has its answer on the quarter. The crowd is still arguing about the headcount.
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Alphabet and Microsoft both reported tonight. The widest crowd in US stocks today still belonged to Alphabet by a distance, 67,679 separate accounts, and Microsoft did not make the top five. Spotify, Uber and Reddit did. This counts people rather than engagements, which is the only version of attention where consumer names and mega-caps are measured the same way. Does crowd width tell you anything the engagement count doesn't?
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Fewer than 200 separate accounts posted about Flex today. That is the whole conversation around a $34 billion company that just raised its full-year outlook on cloud and power infrastructure, and it was still Flex's widest crowd in a month. Our read: this is where AI capex lands when the name carries no retail following, and attention screens will keep walking past it.
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Oracle ($ORCL) spent its analyst day handing out long-term targets, and engagements ran about 14 times their earlier hourly pace. Sentiment went 78% to 79%. The room got a lot louder without getting much wider: about 1,100 accounts were in it, on a day the stock closed up 11%, per CNBC.
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Eight companies report after today's close and the attention is all on two of them. The interesting one is T-Mobile: it goes in at 58% sentiment, the low end for anything this size on earnings eve. Our call is it produces the biggest overnight sentiment swing of the eight.
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