Private Investor. Not investment advice. https://xitter.cf/t.co/Fu2hHnZVtr | Soli Deo Gloria

Joined July 2020
$BUKS Boy I missed this one. Up 190% since this post. Womp womp
1/3 $BUKS is an interesting micro cap. I see that @ToffCap beat me to this one, mentioned in January Two segments 1. Aviation parts: 19% growth q3, flowing from Avcon Industries, Inc. (aircraft mods) and BNC (defense) 2. Casino management -Cyclical, slow growth (-1% q3 yoy)
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$FTAI: the gift that keeps giving except it’s pain rather than a gift
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Ai can’t do this.
I think we’re massively underestimating what the next 10–15 years look like. If your job consists of sitting at a computer all day, there’s a real chance AI eventually does it better, faster, and cheaper than you. Accounting. Law. Finance. Marketing. Programming. Design. Customer service. Management. And if that happens, what happens to the millions of people who spent $200k on a college degree to qualify for those jobs? I honestly don’t know why everyone is still pretending college is an automatic ticket to a good career. The uncomfortable part is that there will still be work. Factories. Construction. Plumbing. Electrical. Welding. Healthcare. Skilled trades. But a lot of people aren’t going to want those jobs. They don’t want to work 10 hours on their feet. They don’t want to sweat. They don’t want grease under their fingernails. They don’t want their nice white-collar lifestyle replaced by a hard hat. That’s where this gets ugly. I’ve worked in factories. If the computer jobs disappear, I can go back and work with my hands tomorrow. I’m not sure everyone who spent their entire life behind a keyboard can say the same. AI isn’t just coming for jobs. It may completely change what society considers a “good job.”
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Simple ultimately beats clever.
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I have this one. Highly recommend.
The CIA wrote a book about how analysts fool themselves, and it's free. Written for spies, but chapter 5 ("Do You Really Need More Information?") is more useful to investors than it ever was to spies. Probably true for 90% of the book. Link in the comments.
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lol
Rollins $ROL is amazing because for 10 years it trades 40-50x p/e and you admire it as a great business and then it drops like a stone to 25x and you wonder why would I pay 25x for a pest control business
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On vacation and thoroughly enjoying this one by @iancassel
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Life is too short to get worked up into a full-blown kerfuffle over a mild criticism of a stock pick.
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Once you understand the basic information that actually drives a thesis, additional information has a tendency to increase confidence more than it increases accuracy in judgment. There is a large body of evidence that supports this. So, good investing is far more about identifying the key variables that matter, than knowing everything that can be known.
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Really good article.
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Kairos Investment Research retweeted
$ACP.WA Asseco Poland Q2 2026 — strong beat, growth and margin expansion. Reported Q2: • Revenue PLN 4.85bn vs PLN 4.57bn cons. → +6% beat • EBIT PLN 570m vs PLN 536m cons. → +6% beat On proportional recognition: Q2 2026 vs Q1 2026: • Revenue PLN 1,943m: +12.5% QoQ • Non-IFRS EBIT PLN 326m: +20.4% • Non-IFRS EBIT margin 16.8% vs 15.7% → +1.1pp QoQ Q2 2026 vs Q2 2025: • Revenue +19% • Non-IFRS EBIT +50% • Non-IFRS EBIT margin 16.8% vs 13.3% → +3.4pp YoY H1 2026 vs H1 2025: • Revenue PLN 3.67bn: +15% • Non-IFRS EBIT PLN 597m: +43% • Non-IFRS EBIT margin 16.3% vs 13.1% → +3.2pp Backlog in proprietary software & services reached PLN 13.4bn, +18% YoY at current FX / +12% at constant FX.
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Kairos Investment Research retweeted
Lots of recent pitches for $FTAI. Anchored by Aerospace biz with upside from the new Power biz Recent write-ups from @ceostockwatcher @AboveAvgOdds @LDiscernment (amongst others). I think @Seawolfcap / @VD718 is long as well.
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Kairos Investment Research retweeted
Added 66 new stock write-ups to the site (pt 3): @QuartzResearch - $YSN.DE @ThomasTangMI - $RSGN.SW @blindspotvalue - $SRI @LDiscernment - $LOGC @hntrbrkmedia - $CVNA (update) @that_stocks_guy (updates) - $HPOW.L, $EGT.L @jaycurrie - $CCMI.V (overview)
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$AMPG Dodged that bullet
I cut most of my $AMPG position and Initiated a position in Aimia $AIM.TO Reasoning - Aimia is being re-purposed into a permanent capital vehicle. - Current share price of $2.74 is a discount to book value ($3.66) - owner-operator activist Rhys Summerton has an impressive track record and has accumulated a large position, along with another activist. - Aimia has one operating asset plus $192m of deployable cash for acquisitions. - 1 billion in NOL’s to shelter taxable income from acquired businesses.
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Bingo
In many areas of life, effort leads to reward. If you study harder, you get better grades. If you practice longer, you can become a better athlete. If you work more hours, you may get a promotion. The stock market is not one of those places. Instead, you can be rewarded immensely for doing almost nothing. Herb Wertheim’s early investment in Heico is an incredible example. It is, by almost any measure, one of the greatest Sidecar investments in history. Wertheim understood something powerful: wealth compounds when your money starts working through other people’s effort. He said: "You take what you earn… and invest it in other people’s labor." Most people spend their lives selling their own time, exchanging hours for dollars. While admirable, there is no scale. Wertheim realized the key is to find people who are smarter, more driven, and more obsessed than you, and simply ride on their coattails. In 1992, he began building a position in Heico when it was a penny stock. An optometrist by trade, running an aerospace company was not in the cards for him. But he didn’t need to. He could just buy a slice of the work being done by the Mendelson family. Laurans Mendelson, along with his sons Eric and Victor, took over Heico in 1990. They devoted their careers to the company. They lived and breathed aerospace parts, 24/7. They navigated evolving regulatory and competitive landscapes and several recessions. They managed the day-to-day operational grind and made the tough decisions. They built one of the world’s great companies. While the Mendelsons did the heavy lifting, Wertheim was along for the ride. And here is the kicker: Today, Wertheim’s stake in Heico is worth $1.2 billion. Remarkably, this is as much as the shares owned by the late Laurans Mendelson himself. Again, the man who simply bought the stock wound up in the same place as the man who spent thirty-plus years building the company. This should not be possible and highlights one of the most counterintuitive parts of investing: You are rewarded not for effort but for the quality of your decisions. The market doesn't know if you did 1,000 channel checks. It doesn't care if you spent 100 hours researching a stock or five minutes. All that matters is if you are right. It is easy to feel the need to do something to justify our returns. So we have too many opinions, over-trade and constantly tinker with our portfolios. In doing so, we miss the opportunity to build generational wealth by making one or two great decisions and having enough self-awareness to get out of our own way.
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Kairos Investment Research retweeted
Added 72 new stock write-ups to the site (pt 3): @mkfilko - $BLZE @PhilippHaas_ir - $SOFI @wizardofwindsor - $DLB @ShawarmaCapital - $AXTI, $LPTH (more research) @LDiscernment - $FTAI (update) @Unclestocknotes - $STX (earnings) @BastianelliLore - $LMND (earnings)
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here is my update on $FTAI Summary is, I don't like the margin compression, but I see the logic in sacrificing it for the sake of market share. I remain long. open.substack.com/pub/kairos…
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