PaCE (Patterns of Conflict Emergence) is an ERC-funded project at @tcddublin and @TCDPoliticalSci. Uncovers recurring temporal sequences in the run-up to war.
Dublin, Ireland
Joined May 2022
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PaCE Research Fellow Dr Chien Lu presenting "Structured Pixels: Satellite Imagery as the Cause in Causal Effect Estimation" at Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences. #hicss2026 #GeoAI #forecastlab
PaCE Project Research Fellow Dr Jungmin Han is to present his work "Domestic Support for Rapprochement between International Rivals: Evidence from South Korea" on Thursday 9 October, 4pm, in the TRiSS Seminar Room in Trinity College. For more info see: tcd.ie/Asian/events/
Come and work with us!
PaCE is recruiting two research fellows to join the project - for more information, check out the PaCE website and TCD Vacancies page.
forecastlab.org/
my.corehr.com/pls/trrecruit/…
Application deadline 25 August 2025!
Exciting news - Prof. Thomas Chadefaux awarded Proof of Concept grant by the ERC. AICAP will analyse real-time geopolitical, economic, and behavioural data to forecast patterns in conflict development. #TrinityResearch #ERC_Research
ConflictResearchLab retweeted
Congrats to researchers Thomas Chadefaux and Tim Bodt, who are embarking on two ERC-funded projects exploring the potential of #AI in conflict forecasting and language description and preservation.
Read more at: tcd.ie/news_events/articles/…
#TrinityResearch
ALT Pedestrians walk past Trinity College Dublin on a sunny day. The iconic Front Gate and blue clock are visible.
ConflictResearchLab retweeted
Is authoritarianism linked to religiosity? 🧐
🔎Prof @gizem_rkn (@TCDPoliticalSci) delves into this question in our latest Meet the Expert video!
@TCDsociology @tcdeconomics @TCDphilosophy @TCD_AHSS @tcddublin @tcdglobal @TrinityResearch
📊 Check out the last @Cameroon's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
Explore more:
🗺️ Webapp thomasschinca.github.io/Pace…
📄 Monthly Report forecastlab.org/predictionma…
💻 Github repo github.com/ThomasSchinca/Pac…
📊 Check out the last @Sudan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history.
Explore more:
🗺️ Webapp thomasschinca.github.io/Pace…
📄 Monthly Report forecastlab.org/predictionma…
💻 Github repo github.com/ThomasSchinca/Pac…
📊 Check out the last @Benin's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history.
Explore more:
🗺️ Webapp thomasschinca.github.io/Pace…
📄 Monthly Report forecastlab.org/predictionma…
💻 Github repo github.com/ThomasSchinca/Pac…
📊 Check out the last @Nigeria's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a slightly increasing conflict risk in history.
Explore more:
🗺️ Webapp thomasschinca.github.io/Pace…
📄 Monthly Report forecastlab.org/predictionma…
💻 Github repo github.com/ThomasSchinca/Pac…
📊 Check out the last @Sudan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
Explore more:
🗺️ Webapp thomasschinca.github.io/Pace…
📄 Monthly Report forecastlab.org/predictionma…
💻 Github repo github.com/ThomasSchinca/Pac…
📊 Check out the last @Pakistan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
Explore more:
🗺️ Webapp thomasschinca.github.io/Pace…
📄 Monthly Report forecastlab.org/predictionma…
💻 Github repo github.com/ThomasSchinca/Pac…
📊 Check out the last @Israel's fatalities pattern that mostly led to an increasing conflict risk in history.
Explore more:
🗺️ Webapp thomasschinca.github.io/Pace…
📄 Monthly Report forecastlab.org/predictionma…
💻 Github repo github.com/ThomasSchinca/Pac…
📊 Check out the last @Afghanistan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history.
Explore more:
🗺️ Webapp thomasschinca.github.io/Pace…
📄 Monthly Report forecastlab.org/predictionma…
💻 Github repo github.com/ThomasSchinca/Pac…
📊 Check out the last @Lebanon's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history.
Explore more:
🗺️ Webapp thomasschinca.github.io/Pace…
📄 Monthly Report forecastlab.org/predictionma…
💻 Github repo github.com/ThomasSchinca/Pac…
📊 Check out the last @India's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
Explore more:
🗺️ Webapp thomasschinca.github.io/Pace…
📄 Monthly Report forecastlab.org/predictionma…
💻 Github repo github.com/ThomasSchinca/Pac…
📊 Check out the last @Pakistan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
Explore more:
🗺️ Webapp thomasschinca.github.io/Pace…
📄 Monthly Report forecastlab.org/predictionma…
💻 Github repo github.com/ThomasSchinca/Pac…
📊 Check out the last @Cameroon's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a slightly decreasing conflict risk in history.
Explore more:
🗺️ Webapp thomasschinca.github.io/Pace…
📄 Monthly Report forecastlab.org/predictionma…
💻 Github repo github.com/ThomasSchinca/Pac…
📊 Check out the last @Somalia's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a slightly increasing conflict risk in history.
Explore more:
🗺️ Webapp thomasschinca.github.io/Pace…
📄 Monthly Report forecastlab.org/predictionma…
💻 Github repo github.com/ThomasSchinca/Pac…
📊 Check out the last @Philippines's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history.
Explore more:
🗺️ Webapp thomasschinca.github.io/Pace…
📄 Monthly Report forecastlab.org/predictionma…
💻 Github repo github.com/ThomasSchinca/Pac…
