Lessons in Logic retweeted
1-1 after 20 minutes. Do you go for over 3.5? ⚽⚽
I checked 2,022 games: 2+ more goals followed in 67.4% of them, compared with 67.2% in other games from minute 20.
Verdict: not true.
A busy start doesn't mean a busy game.
Test your own beliefs: CGMBet26 → Is it true?
Lessons in Logic retweeted
New in CGMBet26: Live % !!
For every live game: home win, draw, away win, more goals, next goal, BTTS, from past games in the same league replayed to the same minute and score.
% or implied odds. Colour = sample size.
Stats, not predictions.
Lessons in Logic retweeted
New video: 30 minutes on what's new in CGMBet26 ⚽
Season Context, Match Profile, Live Alerts*, Expert functions, Robustness, Staking...and more.
Football stats lie more often than you think. These tools show you when.
youtube.com/watch?v=iYrzUHby…
Lessons in Logic retweeted
The best thing about Harry Kane is that in an industry that churns out absolute wankers he is just a nice guy who loves his family, works hard at his job and is the best person he can be. Excellent role model.
🚨🚨🎙️| Harry Kane delivers an emotional tribute to his parents, wife and children after winning the 2026 Ballon d’Or! ❤️🏆
To his mum and dad:
“What a moment. All those years, the sacrifice you gave me, the support you gave me, the times taking me to training, coming to watch me play, all around England, all around Germany, no matter where it was, even to this day you're there.”
“There was never any pressure from you to become a footballer. It was always about working hard, it was always about improving, it was always about learning.”
“I love you. Thank you very much.”
To his children:
“To Ivy, Vivian, Louis and Henry, you're the reason I do this.”
“I want to set a good example, being a father, but also being a professional and what it means to work hard, what it means to believe in yourself. I love you very much.”
To his wife Katie:
“My best friend. We've been through ups and downs, for sure. You're my biggest supporter.”
“Here it is. We've done it. You've always done the best for me. You sacrificed yourself to help me achieve my dreams.”
“This is a trophy that we celebrate, not me. It's me and you. It's all the family.”
“I love you.” ❤️
New video is now live.
We showcase some of the newest features @Cgmbet has to offer. All of the features we show are new in the past 6-8 weeks, demonstrating how fast the project is moving. Basic data querying is very much history with this amazing tool
youtu.be/iYrzUHbyFHI
New video is being released at 4pm UK time today
Over the past few weeks, @Cgmbet has had plenty of major updates. Almost too many to keep up to date with. In this video, we take a look at 7 of the most impressive updates to take your trading and betting to the next level.
🤖 Made with AI
Lessons in Logic retweeted
🔄 New in CGMBet26: the Migration Tool.
You can keep using the old CGMBet as long as you like and as long as new technologies allow, but CGMBet26 is faster and packed with powerful new features.
Now your old custom formulas move over in a few clicks.
Lessons in Logic retweeted
New in CGMBet26: Excel Workbook 📊
Test your ideas in Excel on real historical games.
Pick leagues and seasons, add your own columns with normal Excel formulas, check the numbers, and save a live .xlsx.
No copy-paste, no broken data. Demo today on CGMBet Discord
Lessons in Logic retweeted
Our brains love patterns.
When we see five losses in a row, our brains say: “Something has changed!”
When we see five wins in a row, it says: “I’m good at this!”
Most of the time, both are wrong.
What it feels like: “Seven losses in a row = my strategy is finished.”
What it really is: Something that happens to about half of all people using a good strategy, in their first 100 bets.
cgmbet.com/blog-losing-runs-…
Lessons in Logic retweeted
New in CGMBet26: Season context
What does each team still have to play for? Now you can see it at a glance:
🟨 Title/promotion race
🟧 Relegation fight
🟥 Doomed
Hover a name to see why: place, games left, points gap and chances in %. Context, not a tip.
Short demo in the app
Lessons in Logic retweeted
Tottenham after 7 games: 16th, 6 pts, GD -4.
Twin Finder searched 15 seasons for the closest match: Wolves in 22/23, with the exact same start.
From there, they took 1.13 pts/game and finished 13th on 41.
One twin isn't a forecast. It's context.
stats.cgmbet.com
Lessons in Logic retweeted
New in CGMBet26: the Staking tab.
1,209 Premier League home-win bets:
• Flat: 85% risk of ruin
• Full Kelly (over-confident): 99.8% risk of ruin
• ¼ Kelly: 55.8% risk of ruin
Staking never creates an edge. It only decides how fast you win or how fast you lose.
Lessons in Logic retweeted
10,000 simulated seasons.
Each remaining game is played from ELO + form, with ELO updated after every game.
Final Standings sim · CGMBet26 Tables:
🏆 Title: Man City 69.5% · Arsenal 27.0%
⬇️ Bottom 3: Hull 70.8% · Spurs 50.2% · Coventry 36.2%
Spurs going down? Coin flip. 👀
Lessons in Logic retweeted
New from CGMBet! Free, no account needed.
1. Title, top-4 and relegation chances from 10,000 simulated seasons.
2. What-if: fix a result, see what changes
3. Time Machine: replay the season
4. Expected table: who's lucky, who's not
stats.cgmbet.com
18+ Only stats, not betting advice.
Lessons in Logic retweeted
Some tipsters quote opening prices with next to no liquidity, then advertise returns their followers could never realistically match.
We could make our P/L look incredible on paper too.
Some of the biggest tipsters on here have made a career from doing exactly that
Lessons in Logic retweeted
Feeling joyful, so I built 6 new toys in CGMBet26 for the boring days with no games:
1. What-if: fix any remaining score and watch the title & relegation odds move
2. Expected table: who’s beating the bookies’ expectations?
3. Common opponents: two teams vs the same rivals
4. Comparison card: one shareable card per fixture
5. Twin Finder: Coventry’s closest twin is Stoke 2017/18… who finished 19th 😬
6. Time Machine: (picture)replay the season day by day and watch the table move
History isn’t a forecast, but it’s great fun to play with 🍿
Lessons in Logic retweeted
12 minutes, one tour of CGMBet26 ⚽
Fixtures, Match Profile, Alerts, Poisson, Reverse Engineering, Bets Tracker, SQL and Python sandboxes, trading simulator, AI assistant…
All running on your own PC, all narrated.
And it’s not even 10% of what’s inside the software.
Lessons in Logic retweeted
New in CGMBet26:
A beginner demo for Reverse Engineering
Find a pattern in older seasons, then test it on a sealed season it never saw. Did it hold, or was it luck?
Plus a new Hit % column.
Patterns are candidates, never blind bets.
Lessons in Logic retweeted
2 new A.G.S. demos in CGMBet26 ⚽
⏱️ 0-0 at minute 20: what usually happens next?
📉 Favourite goes behind: does it come back?
Real data, real games, 10 languages. No tips, just measurements.
Demos, A.G.S.
Lessons in Logic retweeted
Your data, to go.
MyData To Go (part of the RAW Data add-on in CGMBet26) puts your work on a private web page:
⚽ your MyGames selections
🔔 triggered alerts
💰 your bets
💡 suggestions
-Scan the QR code, and it opens on your phone
-Updates automatically at app start
-A separate share link shows only the tips (no bets, stakes or comments), ready to send to friends
Your analysis, wherever you are.




















