Arthur (@Libcon42) profile picture

Arthur

@Libcon42

Thatcherite one nation conservative My views are too complex for twitter Brit and Tory member

 London, England
Joined December 2023
  • Tweets7.4K
  • Following990
  • Followers468
542Media
Photo by Arthur (@Libcon42)Photo by Arthur (@Libcon42)Photo by Arthur (@Libcon42)Photo by Arthur (@Libcon42)Photo by Arthur (@Libcon42)Photo by Arthur (@Libcon42)Photo by Arthur (@Libcon42)Photo by Arthur (@Libcon42)Photo by Arthur (@Libcon42)Photo by Arthur (@Libcon42)
My US predictions🧵 What my ratings mean: Tilt:essentially 50/50, gun to my head who I think wins Lean:either candidate could win without a massive polling error, but one candidate is clearly favored Likely:On-paper competitive but one candidate is exceedingly unlikely to win
1
1
242
more replies
2nd, the governorship's, I expect democrats to win the majority of governorship's. Most certain about my predictions here.
Image from Arthur (@Libcon42)
1
1
52
Lastly and most importantly, The senate, I expect democrats to pick up 5-7 seats, and to win control of the chamber
Image from Arthur (@Libcon42)
1
22
you cannot convince me these people have actually watched any star wars
Critx (@_Critx) profile pictureCritx
@_CritxNov 1
"Midterms are theater, Padme. The Senate already answers to us."
Image from Critx (@_Critx)
16
47
4
1,401
7,980
Oh ffs
Politics UK (@PolitlcsUK) profile picturePolitics UK
@PolitlcsUK7h
🚨 NEW: Shabana Mahmood has U-turned on her plan to ban migrants from claiming benefits after gaining settlement in the UK
1
15
540
Dems are gonna win 250+ seats aren't they
AtlasIntel (@atlas_intel) profile pictureAtlasIntel
@atlas_intel22h
🇺🇸 ATLAS POLL | US MIDTERMS 2026 Democrats hold a 14pp lead in the generic congressional ballot for the U.S. midterms. 🔵Democratic candidate: 55.5% 🔴Republican candidate: 41.4% ⚪️Don't know: 2.3% 🟡Would not vote: 0.8%
Image from AtlasIntel (@atlas_intel)
80
What's going in Canada?
unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) profile pictureunusual_whales
@unusual_whales23h
Canada’s housing crash is now approaching America’s 2008 bust, per BMO. Canadian home prices have fallen 20.5% nationally from their early-2022 peak, close to the 26% decline the US saw during the 2008 housing crash.
1
2
89
Trump+13 electorate btw
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 (@PollTracker2024) profile picturePolitics & Poll Tracker 📡
@PollTracker2024Nov 1
YouGov poll | 10/26-10/29 LV US Senate Texas 2026 🟦James Talarico 51% 🟥Ken Paxton 47% Link to poll: d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.ne…
Image from Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 (@PollTracker2024)
1
3
577
I don't think she would've done this so close to an election, unless she thought AES was going to lose
Sam Robinson (@samueljrob) profile pictureSam Robinson@samueljrobNov 1
Replying to @samueljrob
Stevens says she’s for investing in Black owned businesses. “And that’s the policy that Mike’s going to take on,” Stevens says.
74
I'm sorry but is Labour's actual strategy just to coast until may
2
1
21
1,862
Anybody who knows any small business owners will now how patently untrue this is
GB News (@GBNEWS) profile pictureGB News
@GBNEWSNov 1
'I don't think employers are working people.' @CamillaTominey grills Chief Secretary to the Treasury, Emma Reynolds MP, over whether Labour has breached its manifesto pledge in the Budget. 📺 Freeview 236, Sky 512, Virgin 604
62
And I'm flabbergasted by Jenrick's disregard for basic economics
Politics UK (@PolitlcsUK) profile picturePolitics UK
@PolitlcsUKNov 1
🚨 WATCH: Robert Jenrick and Fraser Nelson clash over the potential collapse of Poundland Jenrick: "I'm flabbergasted by your disregard for working people" Nelson: "You want to be a poundshop Chancellor!"
7
5
2
53
6,765
America's ongoing descent from the 'city on the hill' to South-American style banana republic is truly fascinating and terrifying in equal measure Both parties are now lead by ultra-slopulists who want to destroy the institutions that made America great
1
1
2
63
Jenrick is either gonna do the most humiliating chicken run come the next GE or lose re-election by a comically large margin And I'm all here for it
Conservative Councillors' Association (@CCACllrs) profile pictureConservative Councillors' Association
@CCACllrsOct 30
🥳Congratulations to Cllr Scott Carlton on winning Dover Beck, Newark and Sherwood Welcome to the winning team 🗳️
Image from Conservative Councillors' Association (@CCACllrs)
3
2
25
967
Alex Wickham (@alexwickham) profile pictureAlex Wickham
@alexwickhamOct 29
The Treasury says this was a joke and there is no difference in position between Healey and Burnham
74
what is going in NI?
Darran Marshall (@DarranMarshall) profile pictureDarran Marshall@DarranMarshallOct 29
DUP confirms: ✖️No more joint FM / dFM engagements. ✖️Will block Michelle O’Neill attending any events as First Minister ✖️Blocked a meeting with President Connolly and with Prime Minister ✖️Will block FM from attending Cenotaph on Remembrance Sunday bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cwly…
DUP party officers to meet to discuss Drumcree next steps

DUP party officers to meet to discuss Drumcree next steps

The BBC understands there are two options that the party will discuss including collapsing the Northern Ireland Executive as early as next week.

bbc.co.uk
76
Not a surprise, unfortunately
Politics UK (@PolitlcsUK) profile picturePolitics UK
@PolitlcsUKOct 29
🚨 NEW: John Healey has now confirmed that Labour will not cut the welfare bill before the next general election
2
6
444
Miatta Fahnbulleh is defo on resignation watch btw
7
72
15,663
Ed Milliband might well be on resignation watch if this governments get unpopular, but not rn
7
2,026
Load more