🌍 Where global firms get their MENA intelligence. Political risk · Due diligence · Strategic consulting from Morocco to Iran. Proud home of LIBYA DESK™.
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📣 For years, much of our work has taken place behind the scenes. While many know us for Libya, our clients have watched us grow into something much bigger.
Since 2018, Libya Desk has evolved into one of the region’s leading providers of due diligence, political risk intelligence, and strategic advisory. Over the past two years alone, we’ve successfully delivered projects across North Africa and the Middle East, becoming a trusted partner to leading consultancies, banks, multinational corporations, commodity traders, and investment firms.
We’re pleased to share that Libya Desk has become a part of Global Insights Group, bringing our expertise into a broader platform with ongoing operations across Libya, Algeria, Egypt, and Oman, alongside continuous political risk coverage on Libya and Iran.
Whether you need due diligence, political risk reporting, strategic intelligence, or bespoke advisory, we have the expertise and network to support your decisions.
Explore our work, browse our catalogue of reports, and subscribe to our newsletter to stay ahead of developments. If you’re operating in the countries we cover, we’d be happy to discuss how we can help.
🌐 global-insights.co
From risk to due diligence, and everything in between, we’ve got you covered.
Global Insights Group retweeted
5/7 🇱🇾 Turkey’s dilemma in Libya and the presidency of Khalifa Haftar | October 2025
GPD explored how two former adversaries, Khalifa Haftar and Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, could influence Libya’s political future.
The article revisited their confrontation in 2020 and examined the changing political calculations surrounding Libya’s leadership.
thegeopoliticaldesk.com/turk…
Global Insights Group retweeted
6/7 🇹🇷 Erdoğan’s diplomacy outruns Turkey’s economy, but not its region | August 2026
Despite Turkey’s economic difficulties, GPD examined how Erdoğan’s diplomatic reach continued to expand Ankara’s regional influence.
The analysis placed Turkey’s growing geopolitical ambitions within its broader diplomatic relationships, particularly with Washington.
thegeopoliticaldesk.com/erdo…
Global Insights Group retweeted
7/7 🇱🇾🇹🇷 Libya’s Parliament approves Turkish maritime deal | October 2026
The breakthrough we had been tracking finally materialised on 20 October, as Libya’s House of Representatives approved the 2019 maritime agreement with Turkey.
GPD examined the behind-the-scenes dynamics, Saddam Haftar’s strategic calculations and the far-reaching implications for Libya, Turkey and the Eastern Mediterranean.
thegeopoliticaldesk.com/liby…
Global Insights Group retweeted
🇱🇾 What a month it’s been in Libya!
From breaking news to major political and geopolitical shifts, The Geopolitical Desk has been at the forefront, delivering real-time reporting and sharp analysis.
Our mission: making intelligence and risk analysis accessible to those who need it.
🔗 Explore our Libya coverage and subscribe to stay ahead:
thegeopoliticaldesk.com/late…
Global Insights Group retweeted
🚨🇱🇾 𝗕𝗥𝗘𝗔𝗞𝗜𝗡𝗚 | 𝗟𝗶𝗯𝘆𝗮 𝗖𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗹 𝗕𝗮𝗻𝗸 𝗦𝗵𝗮𝗸𝗲-𝗨𝗽
CBL Governor Naji Issa has agreed to step down, with an official handover ceremony scheduled for tomorrow.
A major development in the ongoing shake-up of Libya’s Central Bank.
Full story and analysis 👇
thegeopoliticaldesk.com/east…
Global Insights Group retweeted
🇱🇾 🇺🇸 It seems @saddamhaftar has defied just about every foreign actor involved in Libya this week, from European and Arab capitals to Washington.
Are we getting a glimpse of what foreign policy under a Saddam Haftar presidency might look like?
One driven less by foreign calculations and more by his own strategic priorities?
The United States is disturbed by today’s developments at the Central Bank of Libya (CBL). Efforts to interfere with the CBL’s technocratic integrity and independence carry a significant risk of undermining Libya’s financial and economic stability. The United States will continue to partner with Libyan stakeholders to help Libya address its economic challenges and achieve stability and security for the Libyan people.
Global Insights Group retweeted
🚨🇱🇾🇹🇷 𝗕𝗥𝗘𝗔𝗞𝗜𝗡𝗚 | 𝗘𝗫𝗖𝗟𝗨𝗦𝗜𝗩𝗘
Libya’s HoR approves the Turkish maritime agreement in a major geopolitical breakthrough.
GPD takes readers behind the scenes of the negotiations, rivalries and shifting alliances that led to this historic decision and what comes next.
🔓 Full exclusive 🆓 upon sign-up.
thegeopoliticaldesk.com/liby…
🇱🇾🇹🇷 Saddam Haftar and GNU officials are in Turkey as Libya approaches its most significant political and security breakthrough in years.
A new configuration is emerging that, despite the challenges ahead, could be a net positive as western Libya’s status quo unravels and the national economy deteriorates.
A military unification agreement is expected to be signed. If properly implemented, it could lay the foundations for a unified force capable of addressing Libya’s longstanding security challenges.
📰 Stay ahead with Libya Desk Weekly. Sign up for our intelligence briefing, delivered every Friday.
🔗 global-insights.co/libya-des…
Global Insights Group retweeted
🇱🇾 Another day of rapid developments in Libya.
Central Bank Governor Naji Issa has been ousted in a surprise move, with eastern and western factions reportedly coordinating his removal.
How did it happen, why now, and what comes next?
Our latest takes readers behind the scenes.
thegeopoliticaldesk.com/east…
Global Insights Group retweeted
🇱🇾 Armed elements affiliated with Hamza’s 444th Brigade attempted to impose a disputed appointment at Libya’s Audit Bureau through force and intimidation.
An alarming assault on one of Libya’s few remaining independent oversight institutions.
Once regarded as one of Tripoli’s most professional security commanders, Hamza now stands accused of employing the very tactics he once fought against.
GPD exposes the interests behind the attempted takeover and what it reveals about Tripoli’s deepening political and security crisis.
thegeopoliticaldesk.com/mahm…
Global Insights Group retweeted
🇱🇾🇹🇷 Libya’s House of Representatives has approved the controversial maritime agreement with Turkey, ending years of deadlock and potentially reshaping the balance of power in Libya and the Eastern Mediterranean.
The Geopolitical Desk was first to break the story last night. Our full report today takes readers behind the scenes of a decision with far-reaching consequences.
Here is what matters and why:
1. From enemies to potential strategic partners
Turkey and the LNA were fighting on opposite sides just six years ago. Today, both increasingly recognise that they may be indispensable to each other’s ambitions.
The LNA wants to unify Libya under a political and military leadership in which it plays a central role. Turkey holds considerable influence over western Libya and could be instrumental in making that happen.
Ankara, meanwhile, increasingly sees the LNA as a more credible partner for delivering the stability and centralised authority it has long sought.
2. The deal that held everything hostage
For years, Ankara wanted eastern Libya’s endorsement of its maritime claims. Saddam Haftar wanted Turkish support for the LNA’s ambitions in Tripoli.
Neither was willing to move first.
Today, Benghazi broke that deadlock, delivering a major concession to Ankara without first securing reciprocal commitments.
The ball is now firmly in Turkey’s court.
3. Why now? The political reset in Benghazi
This decision did not happen in isolation.
Following Khalifa Haftar’s warning against obstructing the American-backed political initiative and 4+4 agreement, longtime parliamentary speaker Agila Saleh was removed.
The maritime agreement is the latest indication that the LNA is dismantling political obstacles and accelerating its pursuit of Libyan reunification.
4. Saddam Haftar’s increasingly independent foreign policy
Perhaps the most consequential development is Saddam Haftar’s willingness to challenge established alliances and take decisions that unsettle traditional partners.
His growing relationship with Washington, rapprochement with Turkey, outreach to Algeria and willingness to diverge from Egyptian preferences reflect a broader strategy: positioning the LNA as an autonomous regional actor rather than a proxy of competing powers.
5. The Turkish dilemma
Our reporting also reveals how competing centres of power within Ankara have complicated its Libya policy, including efforts to advance political tracks at odds with the American initiative.
Turkey must now decide whether to overcome these divisions and translate its growing relationship with the LNA into a genuine strategic partnership.
6. The wider geopolitical consequences
The implications extend far beyond Libya.
The agreement challenges established alignments in the Eastern Mediterranean, where Turkey’s maritime ambitions remain deeply contested by Greece, Cyprus and other regional actors.
A Turkish-LNA strategic partnership could also transform Libya’s political settlement, military unification and regional relationships extending into Algeria, Sudan and the Sahel.
The bottom line:
Benghazi has made a consequential move, removing one of the biggest obstacles to a strategic realignment that once seemed unthinkable.
Whether this becomes a historic turning point now depends largely on Ankara’s response.
If Turkey reciprocates, two former enemies could become the architects of a new political order in Libya, with implications stretching across the Eastern Mediterranean.
Read GPD’s full exclusive analysis, including the negotiations, competing interests and behind-the-scenes dynamics shaping this breakthrough.
thegeopoliticaldesk.com/liby…
Indeed, Egypt has much to gain from the Libya–Turkey maritime agreement, which could strengthen its own maritime claims. Greece, Cyprus and Israel stand to lose the most.
Cairo’s hesitation comes down to two factors.
First, its relationship with Israel and reluctance to challenge it.
Second, a broader foreign policy problem: Cairo has become strategically rigid and slow to adapt to a rapidly changing region.
Yet Egypt’s position is arguably the most flexible. It simply needs convincing that the benefits outweigh the costs.
A coordinated push by Ankara and Benghazi could bring Cairo on board. Egyptian recognition would be a major turning point, shifting the regional balance decisively in the agreement’s favour.
📣 Thread of @thegeopoldesk articles outlining how we got to a ratification of the maritime agreement yesterday.
🇱🇾🇹🇷 𝗧𝗛𝗥𝗘𝗔𝗗 | 𝗛𝗼𝘄 𝗚𝗣𝗗 𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗸𝗲𝗱 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗧𝘂𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘆–𝗟𝗡𝗔 𝗿𝗮𝗽𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗰𝗵𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁
For over a year, The Geopolitical Desk has been at the forefront of reporting on the growing relationship between Turkey and eastern Libya’s LNA.
From Saddam Haftar’s diplomatic breakthroughs and Ankara’s changing priorities in Tripoli to Greece’s attempts to counter Turkish influence, our reporting has followed a geopolitical realignment that culminated in Libya’s historic parliamentary vote on 20 October.
Here’s a look back at seven key articles that tracked this shift. 🧵👇
🇱🇾 The irony of Mahmoud Hamza’s latest power play in Tripoli is hard to miss.
Having helped dismantle Ghneiwa’s armed network in the name of restoring state authority, Hamza’s 444th Brigade is now accused of using similar coercive tactics to impose a disputed appointment at Libya’s Audit Bureau.
The timing is particularly troubling. Just a day earlier, Turkish intelligence chief İbrahim Kalın was in Tripoli urging security actors to preserve stability and avoid further disorder.
But why is Hamza targeting one of Libya’s last relatively independent institutions?
Our latest investigation for @thegeopoldesk reveals the financial and political interests driving the move, Hamza’s declining standing and the wider risks to Tripoli’s fragile stability.
Full story below 👇🏽
thegeopoliticaldesk.com/mahm…
🇱🇾🇹🇷 Libya’s House of Representatives has approved the controversial maritime agreement with Turkey, ending years of deadlock and potentially reshaping the balance of power in Libya and the Eastern Mediterranean.
The Geopolitical Desk was first to break the story last night. Our full report today takes readers behind the scenes of a decision with far-reaching consequences.
Here is what matters and why:
1. From enemies to potential strategic partners
Turkey and the LNA were fighting on opposite sides just six years ago. Today, both increasingly recognise that they may be indispensable to each other’s ambitions.
The LNA wants to unify Libya under a political and military leadership in which it plays a central role. Turkey holds considerable influence over western Libya and could be instrumental in making that happen.
Ankara, meanwhile, increasingly sees the LNA as a more credible partner for delivering the stability and centralised authority it has long sought.
2. The deal that held everything hostage
For years, Ankara wanted eastern Libya’s endorsement of its maritime claims. Saddam Haftar wanted Turkish support for the LNA’s ambitions in Tripoli.
Neither was willing to move first.
Today, Benghazi broke that deadlock, delivering a major concession to Ankara without first securing reciprocal commitments.
The ball is now firmly in Turkey’s court.
3. Why now? The political reset in Benghazi
This decision did not happen in isolation.
Following Khalifa Haftar’s warning against obstructing the American-backed political initiative and 4+4 agreement, longtime parliamentary speaker Agila Saleh was removed.
The maritime agreement is the latest indication that the LNA is dismantling political obstacles and accelerating its pursuit of Libyan reunification.
4. Saddam Haftar’s increasingly independent foreign policy
Perhaps the most consequential development is Saddam Haftar’s willingness to challenge established alliances and take decisions that unsettle traditional partners.
His growing relationship with Washington, rapprochement with Turkey, outreach to Algeria and willingness to diverge from Egyptian preferences reflect a broader strategy: positioning the LNA as an autonomous regional actor rather than a proxy of competing powers.
5. The Turkish dilemma
Our reporting also reveals how competing centres of power within Ankara have complicated its Libya policy, including efforts to advance political tracks at odds with the American initiative.
Turkey must now decide whether to overcome these divisions and translate its growing relationship with the LNA into a genuine strategic partnership.
6. The wider geopolitical consequences
The implications extend far beyond Libya.
The agreement challenges established alignments in the Eastern Mediterranean, where Turkey’s maritime ambitions remain deeply contested by Greece, Cyprus and other regional actors.
A Turkish-LNA strategic partnership could also transform Libya’s political settlement, military unification and regional relationships extending into Algeria, Sudan and the Sahel.
The bottom line:
Benghazi has made a consequential move, removing one of the biggest obstacles to a strategic realignment that once seemed unthinkable.
Whether this becomes a historic turning point now depends largely on Ankara’s response.
If Turkey reciprocates, two former enemies could become the architects of a new political order in Libya, with implications stretching across the Eastern Mediterranean.
Read GPD’s full exclusive analysis, including the negotiations, competing interests and behind-the-scenes dynamics shaping this breakthrough.
thegeopoliticaldesk.com/liby…
Global Insights Group retweeted
🇱🇾🇹🇷 𝗟𝗶𝗯𝘆𝗮’𝘀 𝗣𝗮𝗿𝗹𝗶𝗮𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗮𝗽𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗲𝘀 𝗧𝘂𝗿𝗸𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗺𝗲 𝗮𝗴𝗿𝗲𝗲𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁.
thegeopoliticaldesk.com/liby…
Global Insights Group retweeted
🚨 𝗕𝗥𝗘𝗔𝗞𝗜𝗡𝗚
🇱🇾🇹🇷 𝗠𝗮𝗷𝗼𝗿 𝗯𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗸𝘁𝗵𝗿𝗼𝘂𝗴𝗵 𝗶𝗻 𝗧𝘂𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘆–𝗘𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗻 𝗟𝗶𝗯𝘆𝗮 𝗿𝗲𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 𝗼𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗵𝗼𝗿𝗶𝘇𝗼𝗻
Turkish intelligence chief İbrahim Kalın is expected in Tripoli on Tuesday morning for meetings with senior security officials.
Meanwhile, Benghazi will host a House of Representatives session, with ratification of the Libya–Turkey maritime agreement back on the agenda.
Ankara and Benghazi could be on the cusp of a major breakthrough in relations, with significant geopolitical implications for Libya and the wider Eastern Mediterranean.
🇱🇾🇹🇷 𝗙𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝗲𝗻𝗲𝗺𝗶𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗼 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗴𝗶𝗰 𝗽𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗻𝗲𝗿𝘀?
The HoR’s approval of Turkey’s maritime deal could transform Libya’s political future and the Eastern Mediterranean.
But what brought two former enemies this close?
Our exclusive goes behind the scenes of years of negotiations, expanding military and economic ties, rivalries within Ankara, Saddam Haftar’s growing independence from traditional allies, and the political shake-up in Benghazi that made this breakthrough possible.
Why now? What does each side stand to gain? And will Turkey reciprocate?
Full story free upon sign-up 👇🏽
thegeopoliticaldesk.com/liby…
🇱🇾🇹🇷 As reported by @thegeopoldesk
The HoR has officially ratified the maritime agreement.
Full story out soon on GPD, stay tuned.
🚨 𝗕𝗥𝗘𝗔𝗞𝗜𝗡𝗚
🇱🇾🇹🇷 𝗠𝗮𝗷𝗼𝗿 𝗯𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗸𝘁𝗵𝗿𝗼𝘂𝗴𝗵 𝗶𝗻 𝗧𝘂𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘆–𝗘𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗻 𝗟𝗶𝗯𝘆𝗮 𝗿𝗲𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 𝗼𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗵𝗼𝗿𝗶𝘇𝗼𝗻
Turkish intelligence chief İbrahim Kalın is expected in Tripoli on Tuesday morning for meetings with senior security officials.
Meanwhile, Benghazi will host a House of Representatives session, with ratification of the Libya–Turkey maritime agreement back on the agenda.
Ankara and Benghazi could be on the cusp of a major breakthrough in relations, with significant geopolitical implications for Libya and the wider Eastern Mediterranean.
Global Insights Group retweeted
🇱🇾 Libya is closer to a political settlement than it has been in years, but as rivals rush to consolidate power, a collapsing dinar and expanding public strikes threaten to ignite widespread unrest.
Can a new unity deal outpace economic collapse?
Read our analysis. thegeopoliticaldesk.com/liby…
