LucidTalk retweeted
🚨Latest Opinium @ObserverUK poll🚨
Labour continues to lead in the polls, 8 points ahead of Reform in second place.
🌹LAB 30% (+1)
➡️REF 22% (-2)
🌳CON 20% (n/c)
🌍GRN 10% (+1)
🔶LD 9% (n/c)
#Budget2026
LucidTalk retweeted
To: ✅ LUCIDTALK (LT) NI Representative OPINION PANEL ✅ - A NI-Wide poll for QUEEN'S UNIVERSITY BELFAST (@QUBelfast) re. Brexit, & the Windsor Framework, is now 'live', and runs from 23/10 to 26/10 - so watch for your unique/personal-private/secure email invite to participate!
LucidTalk retweeted
The thing to watch for now—and we’ll have the figures in a week or so—is how the unionist parties stand in the next @LucidTalk poll. If the DUP takes a significant downward hit Robinson will likely withdraw Emma Little-Pengelly
LucidTalk retweeted
Running both Pat Cullen & Deirdre Hargey in South Belfast & Mid Down is a big, bold move by Sinn Fein. Alliance's second seat is now very vulnerable, & this could also mean SF will run against SDLP leader Claire Hanna in the next Westminster election. belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/…
LucidTalk retweeted
Lab 30% (+1)
Reform 24% (-1)
Con 22% (+3)
Green 8% (-1)
Lib Dem 7% (-1)
New Fieldwork: 16th - 19th October 2026
New Sample: 2,092 GB Adults
LucidTalk retweeted
Only 10 days to go!: ✅ The LT-Belfast Telegraph Autumn26 Poll ✅ runs 29/10 - 1/11, results in the @BelTel from Sat 7/11. Topics: Party support, Party-Leader ratings, NI Border Poll, Drumcree, & more. Not yet a member of our panel?, - then join here: lucidtalk.co.uk/northern-ire…
LucidTalk retweeted
To: ✅ LUCIDTALK (LT) NI Representative OPINION PANEL ✅ - A NI-Wide poll for CAVENDISH CONSULTING (@CavConsult) re. Data-Centres, & Data-Centres in NI, is now 'live', and runs from 16/10 to 19/10 - so watch for your unique/personal-private/secure email invite to participate!
LucidTalk retweeted
That border poll question. Support for NI remaining in the UK has sat around 50% in every poll for years, but the five most recent put it between 42% and 49%.
@LucidTalk's Bill White on what the numbers do and don't tell us, in our latest guest blog 👇
chambrepa.com/2026/10/16/tha…

ALT Graphic for Chambré's guest blog "That Northern Ireland Border Poll Question! Why the polls can only tell us so much" by Bill White, Managing Director of LucidTalk. A ballot paper headed "Border Poll" drops into a ballot box. It shows LucidTalk's February 2025 results: Remain in the UK 48%, United Ireland 41%, Don't Know 11%, with a question mark in the Don't Know box.
LucidTalk retweeted
To: ✅ LUCIDTALK (LT) NI Representative OPINION PANEL ✅ - A NI-Wide poll for the NI MARINE TASK FORCE (@NIMTF) is now 'live', and runs from 12/10 to 15/10 - so watch for your unique/personal-private/secure email invite to participate!
Our latest Westminster voting intention poll (11-12 October 2026) shows a close race between the largest parties
Labour: 24% (-3 from 4-5 Oct)
Conservatives: 23% (+3)
Reform UK: 21% (-1)
Lib Dems: 12% (+1)
Greens: 11% (=)
SNP: 3% (=)
Restore Britain: 2% (-1)
Plaid Cymru: 1% (=)
LucidTalk retweeted
✅ The LT-Belfast Telegraph Autumn26 Poll ✅ will run 29/10 - 1/11, with results in the @BelTel from Sat 7/11. Topics inc.: Political Party support, Party-Leader ratings, NI Border Poll, Drumcree, & more. Not yet a member of our panel?, - then join here: lucidtalk.co.uk/northern-ire…
LucidTalk retweeted
Latest LT 'Poll-of-Polls' re. the NI Border Ref. Q, - small change (in brackets) in the running total: Its pro-NIintheUK 47% (-1), pro-united Ireland(UI) 35% (-1), 18% (+2) 'Don't Knows'. - exc. 'Don't Knows' that's pro-NIintheUK 58%, pro-UI 42%. NB The next LucidTalk polling re. a NI Border Referendum will be as part of our upcoming @BelTel Autumn26 poll at the end of Oct.
LucidTalk retweeted
Our Autumn26 @BelTel Poll is coming up (inc. re. NI Border Poll), - Not a member of our panel?, then join here: ✅ THE LUCIDTALK(LT) online NI OPINION PANEL ✅ NI Politics, Lifestyle, & more... Give your opinions (confidentially & securely), - to join: lucidtalk.co.uk/northern-ire…
LucidTalk retweeted
Today, The @IrishTimes launches an Irish Unity Tracker.
Tracking every major poll of the Northern Irish public in the past five decades on whether or not they want to remain in United Kingdom or join a United Ireland👇
irishtimes.com/politics/2026…
Our latest Westminster voting intention poll (27-28 September 2026) continues to show a close heat between Labour and Reform UK
Reform UK: 25% (+4 from 20-21 Sep)
Labour: 24% (+1)
Conservatives: 19% (-2)
Lib Dems: 12% (=)
Greens: 11% (-3)
Restore Britain: 3% (-1)
SNP: 2% (=)
Plaid Cymru: 1% (=)
LucidTalk retweeted
🚨 Latest Opinium @ObserverUK poll 🚨
Labour is back up to a 4-point lead over Reform as the party heads into its conference in Liverpool.
🌹 LAB 28% (+1)
➡️ REF 24% (n/c)
🌳 CON 17% (-1)
🔶 LD 10%
🌍 GRN 10%
YouGov's September 2026 MRP projects that Labour would be the largest party in a hung parliament, were an election held tomorrow
Labour: 241 (-170 from 2024)
Conservatives: 130 (+9)
Reform UK: 123 (+118)
Lib Dems: 71 (-1)
SNP: 40 (+31)
Plaid Cymru: 15 (+11)
Greens: 9 (+5)
Others: 3 (-3)
Our new tactical voting study finds an increase in pro-Labour tactical voting across the board since February, while Reform UK have fallen behind in key contests
Lab vs Reform
Lab: 41% (+6 from Feb)
Reform: 26% (-5)
Con vs Reform
Con: 35% (+4)
Reform: 20% (-4)
Lab vs Con
Lab: 34% (+5)
Con: 27% (-1)


















