TRANSLATION: First Round Abstentions: 33.5 million (21%) Blank votes: 2.3 million (2%) Invalid votes: 3.7 million (3%) Voter turnout: 125.3 million (79%) Other candidates: 9.5 million (8%) Second Round Abstentions: 30.4 million (21%) Blank votes: 1.4 million (1%) Invalid votes: 2.7 million (2%) Voter turnout: 128.1 million (81%) Lula: 64.1 million (51.8%) Flávio: 59.7 million (48.2%) Between abstentions, blank votes, and invalid votes, they somehow found 5 million additional votes. Add that to the 9.5 million votes cast for other candidates in the first round, and you have a pool of approximately 14 million new votes. Flávio gained 4 million votes, going from 56 million to 60 million. Lula gained 10 million votes, going from 54 million to 64 million. All figures are rounded. Of this pool of 14 million votes, Flávio received 29%, while Lula received 71%. And this happened despite the fact that 10 million of those 14 million votes came from voters who had supported other candidates with more right-leaning political profiles. The whole thing is so extraordinary that it is extremely difficult to believe. It’s as if, in just three weeks, voters who had signaled a turn to the right suddenly made a sharp turn to the left. It’s hard not to think about those two extra hours.

I hope Lula understands that by moving the times the polls closed after the fact, there is going to be a raging storm of election integrity concern and it will be valid.

Imagina que tem dois times de futebol: o Time A e o Time B. No primeiro jogo, o Time A fez 54 gols e o Time B fez 56. Outros times pequenos fizeram 9 gols juntos. No segundo jogo, só sobraram os dois times grandes. Muita gente que não foi ver o primeiro jogo agora foi (mais ou menos 3 milhões de pessoas a mais). E os fãs dos times pequenos escolheram um dos grandes. Por isso o Time A ganhou 10 milhões de gols a mais e o Time B ganhou 4 milhões. Os números batem certinho com o que o juiz (TSE) contou.

No evidence the 2026 Brazilian runoff was rigged. Voting was extended 2 hours by STF Justice Zanin after both campaigns requested it (Lula over bus shortages in Bahia/São Paulo areas; Flávio over rain in the south). It applied only to still-open stations and caused confusion. Lula won ~51.8%-48.2% (margin over 4 million votes). TSE said the extension did not change the outcome. Flávio is challenging legally. Extra votes from the limited extension are unlikely to have flipped the result.