molson 🧠⚙️ retweeted
What’s happening with China’s economy?
I don’t know.
I don’t think anyone does.
Economies are complex systems, too big and dynamically predictable to understand.
But something is definitely happening.
I think that China is being scared.
Scared to spend money.
Scared to go out and eat, drink, and be merry.
Scared to make love, to live life.
“Economy is bad.”
“Ai will take my job.”
With its manufacturing (atoms, not bits) China probably has the most AI-resistant economy in the world.
And things are getting cheaper every year.
Salaries are rising in most places while food is less.
Imagine that.
But people just aren’t spending.
It feels like the country and its people has worked itself into a psychological funk that it cannot break itself out of.
The solution is to just stop being scared and go out and live.
Meanwhile, America needs to the opposite.
It needs to stop being stupid.
It needs to save, stop doing drugs, work harder etc.
Like I said in the video, both countries would be better off if they imitated each other a bit.
America, stop being stupid.
China, stop being scared.
molson 🧠⚙️ retweeted
The 5 reasons why Vietnam will be rich:
1. Vietnamese are smart and the country is investing in education
2. They work hard
3. The government is competent
4. They have self respect
5. They have a communal spirit and work together
PS you gotta go down rabbit holes. That’s what life is about.
molson 🧠⚙️ retweeted
Visiting Vietnam is radicalizing because you see how much the US government hates its own people.
I’ll give some examples of what Molson means that their gov is “competent”:
1) job fairs
The Vietnamese gov wants their people to be employed, so they host job fairs in the most attractive places in town.
Meanwhile, the US only wants illegals and Indians to have jobs.
2) pop up festivals
There’s always something going on: food fair, free concerts, fireworks, etc. Or people simply go down and hang out by the waterfront to town square.
None of this can exist in the US because the government refuses to police. A US Bank executive was stabbed to death just walking in Times Square yesterday.
3) Works of art
The Vietnamese government makes beautiful structures. The “Dragon Bridge” in Da Nang breathes fire at 7pm. Buildings at night are lit up with the Vietnamese flag.
What was the last work of art the US government built? Mt Rushmore?
4) National pride
The Vietnamese government supports the Vietnamese people. Kids shirts for school are the flag. 🇻🇳 National holidays are sacred for building community.
In the US, Orange man’s latest idea is “we have too many holidays”. In school, kids learn to hate the country and each other.
Vietnam is building is building for their people and their future. It’s great to see someone is.
molson 🧠⚙️ retweeted
New England Journal of Medicine says Tamiflu doesn’t just not work.
It makes the flu worse
molson 🧠⚙️ retweeted
Airbus is making planes, the bean counters at Boeing trying to make profits.
History made.
After a 12,460NM (23,075.92 km) / 24 hours 24 minutes direct flight from Melbourne 🇦🇺, the #A350-1000ULR arrives home in Toulouse 🇫🇷.
Watch the journey on @FlightRadar24: ow.ly/zNE350ZtIKQ
#Ultimate #LongRangeLeader
molson 🧠⚙️ retweeted
Replying to @Molson_Hart
it's interesting that for you it's the generation while for me it was living in different countries. In my experience, that happens when people never had to fight some extreme situation. You tend to see that everything is a magical function of your individual effort without paying attention to the logistics that allow for that to happen, the systems and so on.
In my experience in Brazil, because it was a shithole, a bunch of people were exposed to more unfair practices, so they had some instinct to form networks or behave tactically. Like, I need can't do it alone and I will help you now, please help me later. In the absence of a decent bureaucracy, honor was needed.
In the first world countries that was less needed because the systems were well oiled machines. To give an example, you only need to study for the exam in a first world country. In a third world country, the school itself is a piece of shit, no matter how much we study, so different dynamics.
What's happening more and more is that as the system is crumbling in first world countries, the younger generation is realizing that the effort they are putting in is not resulting in the rewards that they assumed it was reasonable. But on the other hand, that creates a generational conflict because the boomers never experienced something like this and that feels like an attack on their identities.
Ironically, as the bureaucracy grows in Brazil and there are more systems and it feels like half-developed, you can also see the general culture shifting towards the individualism and away from being able to build alliances and networks.
molson 🧠⚙️ retweeted
Hiring Freelance Export Shipping Documentation Expert (WFH)
Need an experienced expert in Export Invoice, Packing List, Certificate of Origin (CO), Attestation, BL, etc. for home appliances shipments, mostly to the Middle East.
Must coordinate with shipping lines, freight forwarders, factory & buyers.
Full ownership from start to finish.
Per document compensation.
Interested?
Email your details to: [email protected]
molson 🧠⚙️ retweeted
👀
OSINTtechnical@OsinttechnicalJul 15United States
United StatesConnected via United States App StoreAccount-level information, not a live location or per-post device.
Roughly 24 hours after the Iran blockade went back into effect, US forces fired on a tanker attempting to head towards Iran’s Kharg Island.
Seen here, multiple Hellfire missiles are fired into the engine room of the M/T Belma in the Persian/Arabian Gulf.
molson 🧠⚙️ retweeted
Here are all the reasons why your inheritance will be 0 or negative as an American Gen Z or Millenial:
1. Collapse in asset prices
2. Increases in taxes
3. Aging parent healthcare costs
4. Aging parent lifestyle costs (ranging from getting scammed to them blowing their money on Viking River Cruises)
5. They'll give it to someone else and you're not expecting that
6. It'll get whittled down by the legal system
7. It'll get be greatly reduced by sibling legal disputes
8. Funeral and burial expenses
When someone in your family dies, besides the emotional fallout, it creates a big legal and financial mess which you then have to navigate.
A. Fighting with the banks to get access to the funds
B. Dealing with lawyers
C. Fighting through probate court
D. Changing deeds on real estate property
E. Doing estate sales on stuff of questionable value
F. Sorting through that stuff to find the only things worth keeping (photos and small heirlooms)
G. Dealing with accountants
H. Filing special death tax returns
By the time you work through all that, depending on how much you inherited, the net will be 0 or even negative.
And if you did get something in the end because your parents were somehow kind and lucky enough to set everything up perfectly, it might just turn you into a lazy sack of shit.
With an inheritance, you are inheriting a claim on the future right?
Who's optimistic about the future right now? Anyone?
Okay, that's what you're inheriting.
So my suggestion is to just mark it as 0 psychologically, and work on improving your own life through your own efforts, instead of some sort of parental lottery ticket.
If you get something, great. If you don't, whatever.
molson 🧠⚙️ retweeted
I gave an entire talk on how to compete with China in hardware in October 2024 that increasingly seems prescient
molson 🧠⚙️ retweeted
Replying to @AlecTorelli
reminds me this joke:
American is talking to guy from the USSR:
"Man your propaganda is so bad!"
USSR guy:
"yes it's terrible, yours is much much better."
American:
"What? What do you mean?"
molson 🧠⚙️ retweeted
I will explain how American citizens can beat an H1B.
First, there are 3 obvious ways, then I will teach you how to really beat them.
1. Work for a company that doesn't hire H1Bs, from startups to family owned companies
2. Start your own business
3. Leave the country for somewhere cheaper and work US jobs remotely
Okay, here's how to really do it.
Find major cash-rich corporations that hire H1Bs.
Apply for their jobs. Get rejected. Find the allegedly secret job postings they do. Apply for those. Get rejected.
Offer to work for the same salary as the H1B, note how many people they are hiring who are citizens vs. non-citizens and whether or not the companies have in-group preference (I am constantly told that Indians only hire Indians).
Once you have stacked enough rejections (because people say it's so impossible to get hired because h1b's...), cycle through labor attorneys who will work on contingency and sue these corporations for discrimination against citizens for H1Bs.
You don't need to take these to trial, just settle for cash over and over.
That's how you beat H1Bs.
Replying to @Molson_Hart
LOL. Molson thinks he can "beat" a H1B.
So, you do understand that the US company or university doesn't actually want a US citizen for the job. They put out newspaper ads with fake emails.
The H1B ad is real (sorry no green card or citizen)
Explain how you will beat this.
molson 🧠⚙️ retweeted
Open letter to Indians in America.
--
Dear brothers and sisters from Bharat:
Like I did 37 years ago, you arrived in America with no money but with a good education and cultural heritage from Bharat. You achieved outstanding success. America was good to us. For that we must remain grateful - gratitude is our Bharatiya way.
Yet today, a significant number of Americans, may be not the majority but not too far from it either, believe that Indians "take away" American jobs and our success in America was unfairly earned.
You may think the next election will fix this, but your choice would be between people who hate our Bharatiya civilisation and people who hate civilisation itself. That is the "hard right" vs "woke left" battle. You are mere bystanders to that conflict.
Meanwhile there is one thing that is true now and will be true in the future: the respect Indians command world-wide will substantially depend on the fortunes of India herself. If India remains poor, the woke left will give us moral lectures with pity and the hard right, different moral lectures with scorn ("hellhole") and we must not confuse either with respect.
Respect in today's world, along with prosperity and security, comes from one source: a nation's technological prowess. India produces sufficient brain power to achieve that prowess but alas we exported so much of that talent, particularly to America. As we develop that prowess in India, our civilisational strength will assert itself.
As difficult as it is for many of you to contemplate this, please come back home. Bharat Mata needs your talent. Our vast youthful population needs the technology leadership you gained over the years to guide them towards prosperity. Let's do it with a missionary zeal.
Respectfully
Sridhar Vembu
molson 🧠⚙️ retweeted
I'm guilty of moving from producing goods & services to assets (crypto). I hadn't realized until Molson's post my career arc was determined by money printing! 🤯
1) I got into software development because there were great margins fueled by free money in the dot com boom. Those margins got smaller as more web developers became experienced. The bubble burst and those gains went away.
2) What caught my attention? Rising home prices caused by a government spending bubble. So I bought rental property. Then the bubble burst and my local government decided to destroy the city through mismanagement. I think my slum lord business was breakeven after 10 years. Since there were no returns, I got out.
3) Around this time I did online marketing. Which the government was trying to kill, by the way. The Obama administration was trying to kill e-commerce in ~2011 by making it illegal to do business in a state where you didn't have a physical presence. Thankfully, Silicon Valley bribed the administration and the law was reversed. Obama got a $50mm Netflix deal no one watched. This is why Amazon went into shipping: they would naturally obey this law at the same time as making their biz more efficient.
I sold gold & silver online for my largest client. Guess what silver & gold are vulnerable to? Money printing! There was a massive run up in metals post 2008. So when gold had another run this year, I knew it how it would end. I publicly called the top in silver within ~1 hour of it reversing.
4) ...and then I found crypto. After getting burned in other areas by money printing and government interference, I decided to run with it. Money printing distorts everything, might as well lean into it.
Incentives determine outcomes. We have a centrally planned economy where the government determines winners & losers. Fighting this trend is incredibly hard. Uber & AirBnB basically broke every law in every state and then bribed their way out. Building in physical space is almost impossible due to regulations, and I salute all of you who do it. It was illegal for me to modify the structure of any of the properties I "owned".
In crypto, we mostly ignore the government and play in the gray space. We benefit from government corruption. We benefit from being out of reach. As a digital nomad, I'm no longer at the mercy of an incompetent/evil city. And I get to benefit from inflation because I'm paying in Thai baht.
I hadn't realized it until now that I didn't choose any of this. My life has been determined by inflation. The US government incentivized me to build competing systems to USD and leave the country. Should I thank them?
One of the main reason for the decline in goods in services in the United States, and to a lesser extent, the world, is the financialization of our economies driven by excessive money printing.
Let's break that down into simpler language.
The quality of the things and services you buy has gotten worse because the people making those things and doing those services are worse today, generally, than the ones who were doing it 10-20 years ago.
Why?
Because there is no money in it.
Why is there no money it?
Because all the money is in creating assets, not in creating goods and services.
Why is all money in creating assets?
Because there is an enormous demand for assets because all the governments of the world are constantly creating new money and people want to protect their savings.
Their savings are not protected in cash. They will become worth less and less every year. So, they invest in assets, because assets trade at a multiple of what they earn, which is constantly rising because new money is created and then prices change.
So, concretely, a smart person who otherwise would have run a manufacturing business making glassware, instead buys a bunch of glassware manufacturing businesses using debt to take advantage of the new money creation which is constantly driving the prices of these businesses up.
Instead of thinking about how to make better glassware, that person thinks about how to raise more money, how to sell these businesses in another party which is doing the same thing.
The focus goes from making a good product, to making an asset which is traded.
Why?
Because you can make so much more money buying a 5 million dollar glassware company and selling it for 10 million dollars than you can actually selling glassware.
Further, since 2008, there has been no downside to this trade because every time there is an economic weakness on the horizon, governments, fearing loss of power, chaos, or hardship, just print more money so that there isn't any specter of job loss.
So the only reason why you would make goods and services instead of assets is because you do it for the love of the game, because you get a much better reward and minimal risk because nothing is allowed to fail from building assets instead!
There are a couple of reasons why this problem is particularly bad (yes it's bad that goods and services are in decline) in the United States:
1. It's tax advantaged. Selling glassware has a tax rate of about 35%. Selling assets has a tax rate of about 20%.
2. The United States has the "deepest capital markets", meaning its the easiest place to get the loans that are integral to this game
3. It's become part of the culture. While someone in France may say "absolutely not, I am not buying up bakeries, I am building baguettes", in the United States, we have a culture that celebrates this. We think it's the pinnacle of capitalism, when it's not even capitalism. The Federal Reserve is a unelected body of people who are nominated and then serve out a full term and decide how much new money to create. It's central planning, which is the opposite of capitalism. But, hey, look at that cool guy on wall street in the 1980s with his satellite phone, so cool, so capitalism.
This is also why the new industrialization drive is 100% government driven. Whether it's the Chips Act or the venture-funded companies which will sell to the US government.
There's no money in making this stuff unless the government comes in and pays a stupidly high price which is, once again, only possible because of excessive money printing.
Unless they're just doing it for the love of the game, the only way you can get someone to make physical stuff instead of making assets (which they're kind of doing anyways) is by paying them the market rate, which has to compete with working in finance.
This is why Zoomers have no motivation to work normal salaried jobs. Because, why would you work when you could trade crypto or stocks? The income potential is so much higher, which again comes from all the new money that is constantly printed.
So when someone says "it's time to build!" and they're in the financial industry (I'm speaking generally, I have no personal issue with someone who does that), just laugh because it's not real.
What they mean, is that it's time to build assets, not real goods and services, because that's a lot harder and, with the current system, from taxes to the way the government funds itself and saves the economy, it's a bad way to make a living (even if it's spiritually fulfilling).
molson 🧠⚙️ retweeted
Over 2 million women showed their naked bodies on OnlyFans for less than $50/month
molson 🧠⚙️ retweeted
An obvious underestimate
EVs helped avoid the use of 2.3 million barrels of oil daily last year. By 2030, that number could more than double to 5.25 million barrels bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
molson 🧠⚙️ retweeted
The people who sew your clothing earn $200 to $300 per month and they don’t need electricity.
It’s going to be a little while before $100,000 robots are even close to cost competitive, never mind that they lack the manual dexterity to sew.
molson 🧠⚙️ retweeted
“All our plastic suppliers are saying there's a 30-50% price increase. Because of war”
Now add increased transportation on top.
This isn’t like tariffs.
Can’t lie about the value to reduce costs.
It’s real.





















