👽 MetaMors citizen. ⌨️ Cascade Engine 🧭 Navigating patterns in chaos BTC Community architecture Complex systems Longevity
Joined December 2019
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What I’m actually building.
A social engine that detects moments where interaction leads to outcomes, and highlights them to people who have already shown interest.
Chats are full of ideas, questions, and opportunities.
But most of the time, they don’t connect. People miss each other, and conversations stay just conversations.
Cascade Engine makes hidden processes visible and accelerates moments from which something big can grow.
#CascadeEngine
☕️I'm impressed. In a couple of places, the arguments are at war with themselves. But who am I to judge you? I'll just highlight the moments that struck a chord with me.
"...Potentially punitive behaviour from the five largest pools..."
First, you declare the blocks of 97.5% of the network invalid. Then you accuse 97.5% of punitive behaviour for not falling in line. And then you announce a PoW change to zero out their hardware.
"...If BIP-110 really didn't mean anything, why did Saylor step aside and intervene in consensus in a genuinely big way?..."
I wonder how exactly his intervention manifested itself? Did he launch a node or pay miners? Or is there evidence of pressure on the pools?
I think it's much simpler.
A person with tens of billions of dollars will react to the uncertainty of the split regardless of the probability, and there's nothing strange about that.
And by the way, his entire argument boiled down to the fact that economic weight is important, not the number of nodes. And when you point to his reaction as proof of your own importance, you're thereby accepting his terms. Unexpected, right?
You won't believe it, but not everyone is that radical. And some people are capable of valuing a positive influence on the Bitcoin ecosystem even from those who are a pain in the ass for most market participants. Your local BIP110 defeat doesn't just delight the opposite camp, it also deprives the global community, in the long run, of a critical eye on the ecosystem, which is vital for any project to develop organically.
And this statement about a hard fork on September 1...
A cognitive distortion in people who could go on being useful.
The more tightly a decision is bound up with a person's identity, the stronger the sunk cost effect, because walking away from the idea feels not just like losing resources but like a public admission of your own inadequacy, and in that case years of your life are on the line just as much as money.
Luke, you don't have to do this. Don't turn yourself into a ritual offering to your own convictions.
One good thing about how this has all turned out.
The noise around Bitcoin is dying down. Temporarily, sure, but maybe, right at this moment, something truly big and meaningful will emerge.
Oh right, almost forgot.
Large pools deliberately initiating taxes/demurrage solutions? That would be reputational and economic suicide.
And why would they, when a solution to that problem already exists😉?
All the best.
🤯Damn ideology, principle and radicalism. A desperate ultimatum where the hostages they're the ones holding themselves.
Remember how in Assassin's Creed, the main character Altair ibn La-Ahad performs a leap of faith. Off the edge of a roof, from a great height, and he always lands softly in a cart full of hay. Beautiful. But against the laws of physics.
It seems @mattkratter and his supporters have all climbed together onto a roof ridge that sits at the height of the Burj Khalifa. The clouds hide the hay cart from view. The wind is howling, and they're still ready to jump.
What's more, knowing the worst case, they're ready to go for a hard fork. And that step looks like a manifesto.
An extreme that would cost the entire Bitcoin community a whole cohort of its smartest people. People who ended up hostage to their own principles. Who will never back down, even given how contestable their arguments are.
And the cart really was there. Somewhere far below. At the very edge of visibility. All it took was one major pool to flinch first, and the rest would have come tumbling after, because nobody wants to be left on a branch that's going to get wiped out. Nobody flinched. It was bold to hope for that.. And the clouds never parted.
If you don't back down, and of course you won't, what awaits you is oblivion. A beautiful, blazing attempt by rebels to change the course of history. A paragraph, maybe even a full page in the chronicle of Bitcoin.
But will you be able to walk off the stage? Technically, you won't have to. From tomorrow, your nodes accept only signaling blocks, which means signaling on your branch will read 100%. Lock-in is guaranteed. No manipulation required. The counter will honestly paint a victory.
Except it will be won on a chain producing three or four blocks a day🤷
What compromise would let you avoid betraying your own ideology and avoid letting your supporters down? There isn't one. There's only a slow smouldering and an eventual burning out.
On November 25, 2025, the timer started. A timer that leaves you no room to manoeuvre. Tomorrow we all get the public climax. The arithmetic of today's hashrate against Matt's bet on a cascade.
I'm only an observer. But.
😡It's a damn shame that the inner principles and the streak of self-sacrifice that built this singular collective are the very things about to dissolve it. And only a miracle or the ability to admit defeat will hold them back from a Hard Fork #BTC.
💪A great example of the $NAT community working in sync, with everyone contributing in the role that suits them best for the common good.
Unexpectedly, I realised how deeply AI is now integrated into my workflows.
And that’s despite the fact that I’m not a programmer🤓
Something strange is happening with Codex limits today. For the first time, they ran out under my normal daily workload.
And several processes immediately stopped.
I lost productivity, and it became genuinely inconvenient.
✍️I’ll remember this moment.
💡In a strong community, it makes sense for people to stay active because their contributions come back to them in the form of reputation, money, skills, connections, or status.
I’m talking about the kind of situation where a community is built around a project.
🤓I believe a well-designed system can work as a win-win-win for the person, the community, and the project.
⬇️A participant contributes.
⬇️The community becomes more useful.
⬇️The project becomes stronger.
⬇️The project creates more opportunities for participants.
Participants contribute even more.⬆️
• The participant receives a public portfolio and, sometimes, direct financial upside.
• The community becomes a space for professional discovery and opportunity.
• The project becomes a distributed production system that not only generates value for itself but also supports the people who contribute.
But this model has its nuances.
Everyone in the system needs to hold a long-term focus on the path they have chosen. It is often hard to understand whether your efforts are actually progressing, and whether you chose the right community for the long run.
🤷Although these are normal doubts when it comes to big life plans.
#CommunityBuilding #ComplexSystems #NetworkEffects
🤖I’ve gone deep into automating and optimising my workflows with Hermes Agent.
Trying to build one control panel for everything I possibly can.
🧟So far, I’m spending more time on setup and testing than I’m getting back in productivity gains.
But I think I can finally see the light at the end of the tunnel. Soon, I might break even on time, and from there, positive productivity PnL should not be too far away.
Maybe this is just how it works.
I’m still glad I decided to do it.
Hopefully, I’ll have more time for posts again soon.
Have a good day, everyone.
🥊Conflict makes the invisible structure of a community visible.
A few days ago, a small conflict happened in my community. Small, but touching the values of the people involved. We have many different sub-chats, and it happened in one of the sections I rarely read. I found out about it later than I would have liked.
I tried to put my own bias aside and started figuring out what had happened. As I got deeper into the situation, the more I wanted to build a “dispute detection function” into Cascade Engine✅. Not in the nearest versions, of course, but I have already added the idea to the roadmap.
👉What opportunities does an open confrontation inside a community reveal?
1️⃣Conflict shows the real map of connections.
Who is connected to whom, who supports whom, and most of the time, the reasons behind what is happening can be understood from the context.
2️⃣Conflict brings hidden values to the surface.
When everything is calm, it is hard to see a person’s real values. But when a clash begins, you can quickly understand what is acceptable for someone and what crosses the line.
3️⃣Conflict reveals unfinished meanings.
An open argument, or even a fight, usually does not appear “out of nowhere”. Behind it, there is often a whole layer of unvoiced tension, old resentment, blurred rules, and unclear boundaries.
4️⃣Conflict helps define roles inside the community.
This is extremely valuable information: who takes on what role during a confrontation.
5️⃣In the end, conflict tests a community's maturity.
An immature community looks for someone to blame. A mature community tries to understand what exactly broke the rules, expectations, or communication. A bad conflict leaves residue. A well-processed conflict leaves new clarity.
If you draw the right conclusions from conflict, every point of tension provides data to improve the structure. It can lead to new rules, more precise explanations, more attention to an ignored topic, an understanding of which group or participant has not been heard for too long, and so on.
🟰I refuse to look at conflict only as a threat. It is an opportunity. It is a visual map of tension inside a complex system. It is a guide to action. And definitely no reason to worry.
GL
#CommunityBuilding #ComplexSystems #Emergence
✅Complex systems again. ✅Communities again. ✅Startups again.
Our conversations in the $NAT community. Today’s amazing news from $TAP prompted me to make this comparison.
🎨Imagine this.
A huge, noisy, colourful bazaar. It is hot outside. Vendors are praising their goods, and the smell of food fills the air. Crowds flow between the rows like rivers in flood. Wealthy buyers ride elephants, looking down on it all. Literally and figuratively.
Small stalls have been pushed to the periphery. Because the centre, the focus of attention, belongs to rich sellers and well-known brands. Buyers act predictably. They rely on familiar names, brands, and technologies. Everything new sits somewhere at the edge of perception. Everything new has to prove itself and earn attention. It is possible, but very hard.
Then comes a bad harvest year. There is not enough coal or firewood. Conflicts break out everywhere. Attention is pulled toward another nearby market. They sell strange goods there. 🤖Goods that do the work for you. It is so strange and unusual that even during hungry times, people choose to spend money on these goods, cutting back somewhere on food, water, and clothing. Brave new world…
The old bazaar loses its former shine. Fewer buyers, fewer merchants. At some point, the musicians disappear from the streets. Nobody cleans the trash anymore. And worst of all, every week brings news that another major brand is shutting down. Before, this would have been impossible to imagine.
But the periphery keeps living. Small merchants keep making their goods. They will disappear soon, too, the idle wanderers think. Of course, some of them do shut down, but the most stubborn ones keep producing. When everything around them seems bad, when nobody believes, they keep doing their work.
🔮And at some point, magic happens.
The silence in the market naturally brings attention to those who stayed and kept working. And if earlier wealthy buyers would not have noticed this tiny stall even from their elephants, now those persistent, consistent builders are beginning to change the structure of the bazaar itself.
🎯Becoming the new centre of the new market.
And when the crisis and conflicts end, yesterday’s small trading stall unexpectedly becomes a major player in the new market. But it is “unexpected” only for the observers. For those who were inside the system, endured, worked hard, and kept believing, it is not “unexpected” at all. It is the natural result of heavy, consistent work.
🟰In this allegory, the small startup from the periphery and everyone who supported it simply kept accumulating potential regardless of external factors. And when the time came. They turned out to be the most visible and the most coherent.
🤓This is what a cascading transition in the spirit of Per Bak. Looks like long accumulation on the periphery. Then a shift in conditions, and yesterday’s small stall suddenly becomes the new centre of the market.
#ComplexSystems #BuildInBear #Cascade
🥶When everyone is anxious and frozen in waiting mode...
When everything is going well, it is easy to be part of the train of success rushing forward.
Every post gets feedback, euphoria, and collective support.
🩸When the market is bathing in blood, you feel like staying silent.
Usually, you do not know what to say without sounding overly optimistic, and that might make you start to lose faith in yourself.
During periods of mass pessimism, builders are the ones who keep speaking and writing publicly.
Builders during a great depression are real gold.
They are people, too.
With their own emotions and doubts.
➡️Support them.
They keep doing their work regardless of the system’s current state.
They are building the backbone that the next locomotive of success will ride, including yours.
Surely, each of you has people, teams, and communities that need support right now.
Support that confirms they are not alone, even in a difficult time like this.
It may look naive from the outside, but for a startup builder, it can become fuel for another day, week, or month of work, when the inner tank is almost empty.
#BuildInBear
Cascade Engine.
👨💻Understanding the “fabric of conversation”, the semantic potential of messages, and reading between the lines.
When I first came up with this idea, I thought I would get to the first visible results much faster, something I could show as a working prototype. But in reality, everything turned out to be more complex than I expected.
◄ Who is talking to whom?
◄ Where a question is already closed, even if the answer did not come as a direct reply.
◄ Where the system should stay silent, and where it should step in.
◄ Where it should gently bring the conversation back to an unfinished topic.
◄ In normal human dialogue, people do not always communicate through questions. Much more often, they communicate through statements. And that is a separate category that needs to be understood and processed.
Right now, I am at the stage where CE is learning to work with questions and unfinished cases.
Work continues.
#CELog
Ideas inside a community do not spread evenly.
Three models work function as three layers on the same graph, reinforcing one another.
📊Rogers + Threshold + Complex Contagion
1️⃣Rogers’ popular Diffusion of Innovations model shows that a new idea does not enter a community through all members at once. Different groups have different motives.
◄ Innovators want the freedom to experiment.
◄ Early adopters want meaning and a sense of pioneering.
◄ Early majority wants proof.
◄ Late majority wants safety and normality.
◄ Laggards want minimal discomfort.
2️⃣Threshold Models explain the level of social signal at which a person activates.
3️⃣Complex Contagion shows that a complex idea requires multiple confirmations across different parts of the network.
🟰As a result, an idea moves through people, psychological thresholds, trust, and social reinforcement.
Every idea inside a community has its own development trajectory. Although from the outside, without going deep, it can look like a random spike or a lucky coincidence.
#CommunityBuilding #ComplexSystems #ComplexContagion
📒The story of complex $NAT contagion.
➡️Entry point
· A person randomly hears about $NAT. Ignores it.
· Someone from their close circle says it’s a great thing. They get interested.
➡️The first conscious actions of the infected
· They follow X accounts of OG community members. Start studying.
·They start reading NatPaper. A lot of it is unclear, but very interesting.
· They join the $NAT chat.
➡️The technical part of the contagion
· Bitcoin Block Structure
· Proof-of-Work and Mining
· Difficulty, Bits, and Nonce
· Block Subsidy, Halvings, and Miner Rewards
· Fee Market and Bitcoin Security Budget
· Ordinals and Inscriptions
· Arbitrary vs Non-Arbitrary Tokens
· Digital Matter Theory
· $TAP Protocol and $TRAC Indexing Layer
· Blockdrops and Miner Distribution
· $NAT as the Practical Synthesis
➡️The final stage of contagion
They explain to others how it works.
They write posts on X and BitcoinTalk.
They become an active member of the community.
If you think about it, to fully get “infected” with $NAT, you need to go through a complex, conscious path.
🤔Now, ~3300 people in the community impress me much more than before.
🧟♀️Complex Contagion.
It’s a concept from network theory that explains why complex ideas rarely spread from a single touchpoint.
Simple information can spread like a virus. You see it, understand it, and pass it on.
But if an idea requires action, risk, or a change in behaviour, one post is not enough. A person needs several confirmations from different points in the network.
1️⃣The “first bite” usually comes from the project founder. But in most cases, the “immunity of distrust” allows people to ignore that first contact.
2️⃣Then they notice other people discussing the same idea.
3️⃣After that, someone from their own circle starts talking about it. The contagion has almost happened. 4️⃣And once they see the final confirmation through memes on social media or hear it mentioned in a random podcast, acceptance happens.
🟰The idea stops being a foreign thought with no reinforcement. It becomes a social reality.
🤔Look for this chain in your own life. You’ll probably find it's worked on you, too.
The most interesting part is that this is exactly why marketing and reach do not always change people’s behaviour.
· For someone to truly join in, they need a high degree of confirmation. They need proof that others are seeing it too.
· There has to be movement inside that can be observed from the outside.
· The environment has to be accessible, so there is a way to take on a role.
· And as the cherry on top, there should already be people there whom they trust.
🟰Complex Contagion explains why a community can look quiet for a long time and then suddenly come alive. In reality, people were observing, comparing signals, and accumulating trust the whole time.
Virality gives reach.
Complex Contagion gives acceptance.
And all of this forms a community in which participants confirm a new reality for one another through their own behaviour.
Beautiful.
#CommunityBuilding #ComplexSystems #NetworkTheory
🧟♀️Complex Contagion.
It’s a concept from network theory that explains why complex ideas rarely spread from a single touchpoint.
Simple information can spread like a virus. You see it, understand it, and pass it on.
But if an idea requires action, risk, or a change in behaviour, one post is not enough. A person needs several confirmations from different points in the network.
1️⃣The “first bite” usually comes from the project founder. But in most cases, the “immunity of distrust” allows people to ignore that first contact.
2️⃣Then they notice other people discussing the same idea.
3️⃣After that, someone from their own circle starts talking about it. The contagion has almost happened. 4️⃣And once they see the final confirmation through memes on social media or hear it mentioned in a random podcast, acceptance happens.
🟰The idea stops being a foreign thought with no reinforcement. It becomes a social reality.
🤔Look for this chain in your own life. You’ll probably find it's worked on you, too.
The most interesting part is that this is exactly why marketing and reach do not always change people’s behaviour.
· For someone to truly join in, they need a high degree of confirmation. They need proof that others are seeing it too.
· There has to be movement inside that can be observed from the outside.
· The environment has to be accessible, so there is a way to take on a role.
· And as the cherry on top, there should already be people there whom they trust.
🟰Complex Contagion explains why a community can look quiet for a long time and then suddenly come alive. In reality, people were observing, comparing signals, and accumulating trust the whole time.
Virality gives reach.
Complex Contagion gives acceptance.
And all of this forms a community in which participants confirm a new reality for one another through their own behaviour.
Beautiful.
#CommunityBuilding #ComplexSystems #NetworkTheory
Hermes Agent = pause.
Tomorrow I’m returning to the main thread:
community building and complex social systems.
Next up:
🧟Complex Contagions and the Weakness of Long Ties.
Another brick in the theory of how ideas, signals, and behaviours spread inside communities.
Two days of using Hermes…
🟰Honestly, mixed feelings: I like the concept and the functionality, but the costs are pretty demoralising.
🤔I thought I had set up the models through OpenRouter in a smart way. But it still gets expensive. Very expensive.
To the people writing about Hermes on X. How much are you spending to run it?
Right now, I see my future workflow with Hermes Agent like this:
◄ Hermes. executor of short commands.
◄ Main Hermes model. Lightweight reasoning model. Mode only when really needed.
◄ ChatGPT/Grok text window. Planning and analysis.
◄ SSH. Running heavy scripts.
◄ OpenRouter. Strict spending limit.
For now, this feels like the most sober way to avoid turning the agent into an expensive toy...
🚀Two days flew by while I was setting up the HERMES-AGENT
I put a lot of focus into security and structure.
Along the way, I built a detailed prompt for a step-by-step Hermes setup, with a strong emphasis on data safety.
I left the GitHub link with the AI setup guide in the first reply under this post⬇️
👀A few things worth paying attention to:
◄ don’t expose the agent directly to the internet
◄ use a reverse proxy, for example, Traefik
◄ keep internal ports internal
◄ give the agent a dedicated workspace
◄ don’t give it access to the whole server
◄ don’t paste .env, auth.json, SSH keys, seed phrases, or cookies into chat
◄ use temporary permissions instead of permanent ones
◄ don’t give the agent access to the Docker socket
◄ make safe backups only, without tokens, keys, or sessions
◄ set spending limits on LLM API keys
◄ check logs before sending them into chat
◄ if you suspect compromise, stop the agent first, then investigate
The main idea is simple: an AI agent can be a very useful assistant, but on a server, it is better to treat it as a powerful tool with limited trust.
✍️I’ve wanted to set up Hermes and bring it into my workflow for a while.
Planning to become even more productive.
#HermesAgent #Productivity
🚀Two days flew by while I was setting up the HERMES-AGENT
I put a lot of focus into security and structure.
Along the way, I built a detailed prompt for a step-by-step Hermes setup, with a strong emphasis on data safety.
I left the GitHub link with the AI setup guide in the first reply under this post⬇️
👀A few things worth paying attention to:
◄ don’t expose the agent directly to the internet
◄ use a reverse proxy, for example, Traefik
◄ keep internal ports internal
◄ give the agent a dedicated workspace
◄ don’t give it access to the whole server
◄ don’t paste .env, auth.json, SSH keys, seed phrases, or cookies into chat
◄ use temporary permissions instead of permanent ones
◄ don’t give the agent access to the Docker socket
◄ make safe backups only, without tokens, keys, or sessions
◄ set spending limits on LLM API keys
◄ check logs before sending them into chat
◄ if you suspect compromise, stop the agent first, then investigate
The main idea is simple: an AI agent can be a very useful assistant, but on a server, it is better to treat it as a powerful tool with limited trust.
✍️I’ve wanted to set up Hermes and bring it into my workflow for a while.
Planning to become even more productive.
#HermesAgent #Productivity
In continuation of yesterday’s post about Threshold Models.
👀An infographic through the eyes of an observer.
This concept explains why, within the same community, some people activate almost instantly, while others only join when “everyone is already running”.
Community builders, pay attention to this model.
Who starts first?
Who is almost ready?
Where is the critical mass?
After whom do the others join?
🤓Collective activation = ON
#CommunityBuilding #ThresholdModels #Emergence
🦶Threshold Models of Collective Behaviour
Every person has their own internal threshold for joining a collective process.
Some people are ready to start posting when an idea gets support from just 2 or 3 others. Some need to see 100 active participants before they speak up for the first time. A huge number of people stay silent until the biggest moments inside the community.
It is important to understand this. A community does not wake up evenly. People gradually reach their internal thresholds by observing the process, reactions, and behaviour of other members.
Silence is often mistaken for a lack of support or indifference. But in reality, a silent member can be deeply involved, especially if they have been inside the team from the very beginning.
Many factors affect someone’s willingness to become active. They may lack confidence. They may be waiting for someone else to express the thought better. They may want to see that the topic is safe to participate in.
When participation feels risky, the entry threshold rises. What if people judge me? What if this is a scam? What if I misunderstood something? etc. It is normal.
These thoughts keep people in observation mode. When the environment becomes safer, the threshold for participation goes down.
The community has people who wield disproportionate influence over others' thresholds. When they are inactive, others keep waiting. When they post, it gives many people the green light for actions.
These people are not always the founders of the community. Sometimes, this role belongs to respected observers, strong analysts, or simply old members who have earned trust over time.
Think about your own community.
Do you have people like that?
❌Negativity also spreads through thresholds.
One person decides to write a critical message. A second person sees that this can now be said out loud and joins in. A third adds their own frustration. Then the process can start moving down the chain.
In the moment, it may feel like “everyone is against it.” But often this is an emotional distortion: the loudest voices come from the part of the community whose threshold for negative expression has already been crossed.
📊External factors can also work as threshold signals.
A familiar situation. The token price rises⬆️, and people find it easier to believe in, write about, and defend the project. Suddenly, you see people showing up with the vibe of “I’ve been here since childhood.”
When the price goes down⬇️, thresholds change. “Healthy scepticism” appears, and under certain conditions it can turn into collective distrust.
🤔You have probably seen this many times.
A threshold model allows you to see a community as a system of readiness.
🟰Readiness builds up, crosses a line, and thresholds are triggered one after another. From the outside, it looks like a wave. The same logic works in the opposite direction, too. Only the result is silence.
How many people are already close to becoming active?
Which topics lower the threshold for participation?
Which members trigger others?
Which reactions make the environment feel safer?
Pay attention to how participation thresholds are shaped inside your team and community. This may turn out to be the very cascading solution.
#ThresholdModels #CollectiveBehavior
🦶Threshold Models of Collective Behaviour
Every person has their own internal threshold for joining a collective process.
Some people are ready to start posting when an idea gets support from just 2 or 3 others. Some need to see 100 active participants before they speak up for the first time. A huge number of people stay silent until the biggest moments inside the community.
It is important to understand this. A community does not wake up evenly. People gradually reach their internal thresholds by observing the process, reactions, and behaviour of other members.
Silence is often mistaken for a lack of support or indifference. But in reality, a silent member can be deeply involved, especially if they have been inside the team from the very beginning.
Many factors affect someone’s willingness to become active. They may lack confidence. They may be waiting for someone else to express the thought better. They may want to see that the topic is safe to participate in.
When participation feels risky, the entry threshold rises. What if people judge me? What if this is a scam? What if I misunderstood something? etc. It is normal.
These thoughts keep people in observation mode. When the environment becomes safer, the threshold for participation goes down.
The community has people who wield disproportionate influence over others' thresholds. When they are inactive, others keep waiting. When they post, it gives many people the green light for actions.
These people are not always the founders of the community. Sometimes, this role belongs to respected observers, strong analysts, or simply old members who have earned trust over time.
Think about your own community.
Do you have people like that?
❌Negativity also spreads through thresholds.
One person decides to write a critical message. A second person sees that this can now be said out loud and joins in. A third adds their own frustration. Then the process can start moving down the chain.
In the moment, it may feel like “everyone is against it.” But often this is an emotional distortion: the loudest voices come from the part of the community whose threshold for negative expression has already been crossed.
📊External factors can also work as threshold signals.
A familiar situation. The token price rises⬆️, and people find it easier to believe in, write about, and defend the project. Suddenly, you see people showing up with the vibe of “I’ve been here since childhood.”
When the price goes down⬇️, thresholds change. “Healthy scepticism” appears, and under certain conditions it can turn into collective distrust.
🤔You have probably seen this many times.
A threshold model allows you to see a community as a system of readiness.
🟰Readiness builds up, crosses a line, and thresholds are triggered one after another. From the outside, it looks like a wave. The same logic works in the opposite direction, too. Only the result is silence.
How many people are already close to becoming active?
Which topics lower the threshold for participation?
Which members trigger others?
Which reactions make the environment feel safer?
Pay attention to how participation thresholds are shaped inside your team and community. This may turn out to be the very cascading solution.
#ThresholdModels #CollectiveBehavior
🤓The sandpile effect, SOC, describes the shape of what is happening quite well: a small signal can sometimes cause big changes in a system.
It is very useful for visualising complex processes.
But when we talk about a social environment, SOC can be misleading, because a community has factors that a sandpile does not.
In a regular sandpile, grains of sand do not change the rules of falling, discuss the slope, or build new channels for transmitting tension.
In a community, this happens all the time.
I am vibe-coding my product, Cascade Engine, and closely observing the Bitcoin and NAT communities.
My task is to avoid falling into the distortion trap, where everything that happens is interpreted through a single theory.
🟰Starting with this post, I want to cover a wider range of concepts that help me pursue my interests, develop, and stay unbiased.
➡️Tomorrow we’ll talk about threshold models of collective behaviour.
#Sandpile #CollectiveBehavior
