#NBAtwitter Data Analysis and NBA First Basket Plays - Up 100 units over last 4 seasons.

Indy
Joined January 2021
Thanks for following along this season- I've enjoyed the interaction with all of you. Posted my fewest plays in a long time, but am proud of the result acheived this year. Hopefully you found the data provided useful to you.
4
48
24,496
PG strikes again!!!
Going back to the Celtics tonight for first baskets 0.5 units each DK- Mitchell Robinson +720 FD- Paul George +500 Quickpickbot links below. 7:30pm start
12
79
9,608
Going back to the Celtics tonight for first baskets 0.5 units each DK- Mitchell Robinson +720 FD- Paul George +500 Quickpickbot links below. 7:30pm start
3
1
36
15,870
Game and Player data for Tuesday. Thru 1 week of the season, free plays have risked 6.8 units with a profit of 2.9 units for a 42% ROI. Jumpers listed in green have the most likely chance to win the tip tonight. Might be back with a play later today.
2
6
71
15,326
No matter how likely Wemby is to score first, I can't bet him at his current odds (+240 to +270). This implies roughly a 40% chance to score first.
3
7
4,012
PG with a first basket!
Game data and a play for Monday. Will add Player data this afternoon. BOS and MIA have the biggest tip-off advantage tonight. I like BOS to score first. Tatum scored 1st team basket in both games this yr. 0.5 units each. B365- Tatum +600 FD - George +500
6
2
75
12,677
Player data for Monday Dropped Tatum/PG as plays earlier today. Adding 1 more. FD - Adebayo +550 risk 0.5 units (not adding another player here) DAL is 2nd worst team in league allowing C to score first basket in 33% of games. Quickpickbot link below
4
3
31
11,943
Game data and a play for Monday. Will add Player data this afternoon. BOS and MIA have the biggest tip-off advantage tonight. I like BOS to score first. Tatum scored 1st team basket in both games this yr. 0.5 units each. B365- Tatum +600 FD - George +500
2
1
57
20,007
Damn- hate seeing injuries like this.
Jalen Williams has suffered a serious ankle injury, and they are bringing out the stretcher Sending prayers. 🙏
3
1
12
13,218
Pacers win the tip. Siakam misses a 3 but Zubac makes a running layup for a first basket!!
Pacers-Nets play I think Zubac wins the tip. Risking 0.5 units each DK - Siakam +620 FD - Zubac +650
7
61
14,745
Pacers-Nets play I think Zubac wins the tip. Risking 0.5 units each DK - Siakam +620 FD - Zubac +650
2
2
1
39
20,437
Game and Player data for Sunday. Might be back with a play early this evening. Nothing stands out to me at the moment. A couple of backup centers starting took away the few I thought there was an edge.
1
1
32
11,555
Nba.com is the source of truth for all first baskets. First basket bets include free throws. If you bet 1st FG, Watson hit it.
9
2
80
25,074
Interesting. Usually they get it right. I was watching the game so didn’t look until comments popped up. All good.
1
4
3,131
Jarrett Allen gets fouled and makes a free throw for a first basket!!!
Playing Cavs first basket tonight for 0.5 units each Bet365 - Mobley +550 FD - Allen +470 Nets gave up first basket to C or F position LY in 73% of games. I calculate probabilites of 28% for Allen and 19% for Mobley. Good luck if you tail!
14
3
1
62
14,113
Playing Cavs first basket tonight for 0.5 units each Bet365 - Mobley +550 FD - Allen +470 Nets gave up first basket to C or F position LY in 73% of games. I calculate probabilites of 28% for Allen and 19% for Mobley. Good luck if you tail!
1
42
18,547
Game data for Saturday. Last day of fall break for me then will get back to posting player data. The Heat, Cavs, 76ers and Spurs have the best chance to win the opening-tip today. Those are the games I'd focus if making any plays.
1
39
12,063
Bam had a first basket attempt and misses
2
17
14,470