Investor. World-curious. Change & progress. Ambitious, in pursuit of freedom. Libertarian. Sharing my investment journey transparently - Not Financial Advice
Joined April 2018
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🧵 Thread and summary of the accounts I've followed that presented or discussed/mentioned the thesis of a final grand top in the 2030s, followed by a lost decade, instead of the common narratives of:
🔻 "AI is already the biggest Bubble ever" / "the biggest crash" / "a recession worse than 1929" happening soon, not years from now
🔻 the grand finale top happening around 2028 or before the 2030s
The accounts are listed below, and in the replies you'll find several of their charts and posts for reference.
🔹@ChifoiCristian
🔹@RESMcycles
🔹@CryptoCycleGod
🔹@TheCyclesTrader
🔹@SethCL now posting on @GroupFinom
You can bookmark this thread, as it is meant to be a reference post we can easily come back to in the future, instead of searching for posts individually in the X information chaos. I might keep adding charts and posts in the replies as they are published in the future.
You can also share it if you want to raise awareness of this thesis and the accounts above, some of which deserve many more followers, in my view.
And if this thesis eventually plays out, I want this thread to serve as a record of who was discussing it years in advance. Credit where credit is due!
OV Markets retweeted
#SPX Data below to be kept in mind, in my opinion.
"Next major top in 2028. No recession before 2029. Then 2029 potentially setting up for a significant correction/bear market (Shmita)."
OV Markets retweeted
Ce n'est pourtant pas compliqué.
Nous avons un voisin 🇨🇭 qui est le pays le plus riche du monde alors qu'ils ont 0 ressources naturelles, 0 accès à la mer, 0 cohésion linguistique, 0 projection militaire ou géopolitique ET que le pays est composé de 70% de montagnes.
Il suffirait de copier ce qu'ils font.
Je ne sais pas, merde.
Soyez moins cons.
OV Markets retweeted
$BTC Bitcoin - Reminder on the “According to historical data” that can be a bit misleading as a generality.
Again I'm a small account around here but let me remind you that:
Large audience ≠ expertise ≠ always being right ≠ guaranteed outcomes.
So it really depends on which conditions we choose to look at in the historical data. For example, according to Bitcoin’s short history, under the following conditions, previous major low areas held:
🔸Weekly RSI to oversold and then reclaim of 50w SMA
🔸Weekly RSI to oversold and then supertrend flips green
🔸Weekly RSI to oversold and then reclaiming 55
🔸Monthly RSI below 50 and then two monthly closes above the SMA10m
Probably a good reminder to be shared and spread around.
Crypto Bros when $BTC crashes under 60K over the next few weeks (according to Historical data):
"Okay but you have to understand there was manipulation, XYZ happened, MY ANALYSIS WAS ACCURATE! I WAS NOT WRONG. We just crashed because XYZ happened"
Markets don't care about the fan fiction version of what was supposed to happen, and the chart has no customer service department where you can dispute transactions.
Okay, enough making fun of the "I was right, but then reality happened" analysts. 😂
Let me introduce you to the REAL charting legends.
These are the people whose charts I actually pay attention to for confluence.
Phenomenal track records, years of receipts, Calls made publicly BEFORE the move, tweets stay up whether they are right OR wrong. No deleting history.
No moving goalposts, no "my analysis was accurate, but XYZ happened" bs, no blaming manipulation every time price disagrees with them.
Those are the analysts I respect. 🫡
Now let me introduce you to some absolute legends... 👇
@bitsofwealth
@Natnatx007
@CalvinWeight
@0xBadPrice
@DevEngineOz
@CryptoLandy
@NorthstarCharts
@WOLF_Crypto_X (William)
@WOLF_Terminal (the lined-drawOoOOoors crew)
Give them a follow and tag your favorites in the comments!
#SPX Data below to be kept in mind, in my opinion.
"Next major top in 2028. No recession before 2029. Then 2029 potentially setting up for a significant correction/bear market (Shmita)."
$BTC Bitcoin - Reminder on the “According to historical data” that can be a bit misleading as a generality.
Again I'm a small account around here but let me remind you that:
Large audience ≠ expertise ≠ always being right ≠ guaranteed outcomes.
So it really depends on which conditions we choose to look at in the historical data. For example, according to Bitcoin’s short history, under the following conditions, previous major low areas held:
🔸Weekly RSI to oversold and then reclaim of 50w SMA
🔸Weekly RSI to oversold and then supertrend flips green
🔸Weekly RSI to oversold and then reclaiming 55
🔸Monthly RSI below 50 and then two monthly closes above the SMA10m
Probably a good reminder to be shared and spread around.
Crypto Bros when $BTC crashes under 60K over the next few weeks (according to Historical data):
"Okay but you have to understand there was manipulation, XYZ happened, MY ANALYSIS WAS ACCURATE! I WAS NOT WRONG. We just crashed because XYZ happened"
Markets don't care about the fan fiction version of what was supposed to happen, and the chart has no customer service department where you can dispute transactions.
Okay, enough making fun of the "I was right, but then reality happened" analysts. 😂
Let me introduce you to the REAL charting legends.
These are the people whose charts I actually pay attention to for confluence.
Phenomenal track records, years of receipts, Calls made publicly BEFORE the move, tweets stay up whether they are right OR wrong. No deleting history.
No moving goalposts, no "my analysis was accurate, but XYZ happened" bs, no blaming manipulation every time price disagrees with them.
Those are the analysts I respect. 🫡
Now let me introduce you to some absolute legends... 👇
@bitsofwealth
@Natnatx007
@CalvinWeight
@0xBadPrice
@DevEngineOz
@CryptoLandy
@NorthstarCharts
@WOLF_Crypto_X (William)
@WOLF_Terminal (the lined-drawOoOOoors crew)
Give them a follow and tag your favorites in the comments!
And you can also add the one shared by Osemka xitter.cf/Osemka8/status/2115389…
$BTC: Is this time different?
Monthly WTO confirmed a bullish momentum cross with October. No new lows ahead.
bitcoin:native Bitcoin still holding the horizontal level.
Marked my levels of interest below in case we breakdown.
OV Markets retweeted
In the post below, I showed how $TSLA and $ETH share similar burst + accumulation patterns in very HTF (months and years).
Some crypto OG coins have a similar pattern, but talking about such a long term view is madness in crypto.
Well, I won't be the one risking being left out of the best R:R structure in years.
Here is another example with clean patterns: $DOGE 1M
I have also overlaid $ETH because it shares a similar structure since the top in 2021.
If $ETH breaks such a long accumulation range to the upside, what do you think will happen to alts?
If you think it's hopium, then great, I don't want the crowd to agree here.
@ChristianSotoNJ
Retail wants to make money, but keeps thinking like small money and crypto is a clear example of such a newbie's market, amplified by "experts" on X that are mostly scammers and gamblers.
You can't join the Big Boys' markets and behave like a 9-5 slave who can't stick to a plan beyond a few days.
Mentality shifts first and money follows. Is it hard? Yes. Is it the way to make it in a game where you are at MMs' mercy? Also yes.
I've been looking for charts with a similar range to $ETH's.
Here you have $TESLA, with almost the same kind of range after a breakout, both in structure and time.
What happened next? Wyckoff’s Law of Cause and Effect, i.e., the longer the accumulation phase (the cause), the stronger and more violent the subsequent expansion or reaction (the effect).
$TESLA produced a 15x since its breakout in Dec 2019 to the top in Nov 21.
OV Markets retweeted
$IWM Russell 2000 US Small Caps
🔹Bouncing again from the January 2026 local top area and around the 50w.
🔹Currently recovering both the 50w and the 200d.
OV Markets retweeted
Reminder: Bitcoin & Gold/Silver structures are very different and the comparison does not hold imo
Don't fall for the comparison between the Gold/Silver June/July bottom (now making new lows) and the Bitcoin June bottom, suggesting that Bitcoin could now follow Gold and Silver and make new lows too.
There are several important differences that make this comparison no longer reasonable or convincing to me.
To name a few:
🔸 Bitcoin's bottom was formed with a weekly RSI bullish divergence. This did not happen for Gold and Silver.
🔸 Bitcoin made a Higher High (HH) in both price and RSI, while Gold and Silver made Lower Highs (LH) in both price and RSI.
🔸 Bitcoin's weekly Supertrend flipped green and bullish, while Gold and Silver remained red and bearish.
Of course, I would never tell you it's a 100% guarantee that Bitcoin won't make new lows. But these are different technical structures. Bitcoin now shows a bullish structure, whereas Gold and Silver have maintained their bearish structures.
So I don't think we can simply compare them and expect the same outcome.
Just my view.
$BTBT has been beaten quite hard. I’m heavily underwater on this one, let see if it can make a furious come back.
$IWM Russell 2000 US Small Caps
🔹Bouncing again from the January 2026 local top area and around the 50w.
🔹Currently recovering both the 50w and the 200d.
And one from Orion xitter.cf/OrionEngineApp/status/…
Small caps $IWM #Russell2000 looking very interesting at this level. Similar windows to the current YTD lead significantly higher.
The RSI was also at a similar spot showing a bullish divergence which was telling of a new uptrend beginning.
Another one from Cat for $IWM xitter.cf/cantonmeow/status/2115…
If the $IWM daily candle closes the way it does right now, I think the sell program is likely over.
Especially after we have had some pretty decent sell volume over the last couple of weeks.
$NBIS strong push off the low.
Would be great to close the week recovering the 50w and the 200d.
The position has been built during this correction, now let's see.
