@OddStats

Retired finance professional. I can't see the future and neither can you; anyone who says different has something to sell. NOTHING I SAY IS INVESTMENT ADVICE.

 [email protected]
oddstats.substack.com
Joined April 2013
  • Tweets27.9K
  • Following136
  • Followers97.7K
2.7KMedia
You all can't possibly be this fucking stupid.
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QQQ set a new 26-trading-day low on a -2.75% day for the 7th time during the 0DTE era. And where was QQQ 6 months later? +33.8% +14.8% +21.4% +14.6% +15.5% +5.2%
Tim P@Sneeze72823h
Replying to @OddStats
wheres the promised bullish stat
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Well, holy shit. At one point today, QQQ was down -7.99% from a peak set within the past 12 days. Would you like to know how QQQ did the "next day" the last 6 times the same thing happened? -2.0% -2.0% -0.8% -6.2% -2.2% -1.1%
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Today ▪ SPY was down at least -1.1% ▪QQQ was down at least -2.5% ▪ TLT was up at least +1.8% ▪ VIX closed under 20.00 That... Had never happened... In the history of the market... Until today.
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Bluekurtic handing out free money as usual.
Bluekurtic Market Insights
@BluekurticOct 20
This is weird. For only the 11th time in $SPY history, a 1% down day was followed by two consecutive days within that day's open to close range. That's unusually rangebound after a sharp decline. The S&P 500 was positive in 10/10 prior cases in next 2 months with strong gains.
Bluekurtic chart showing a rare S&P 500 pattern in which a decline of over 1% is followed by two consecutive sessions confined within the declining day's open-to-close range. Since 1993, this pattern has occurred only eleven times, including October 20, 2026. In all prior instances, SPY was higher two months later.

ALT Bluekurtic chart showing a rare S&P 500 pattern in which a decline of over 1% is followed by two consecutive sessions confined within the declining day's open-to-close range. Since 1993, this pattern has occurred only eleven times, including October 20, 2026. In all prior instances, SPY was higher two months later.

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CoreWeave stock now -69% from all time highs.
FinancialJuice
@financialjuiceOct 20
CoreWeave dollar-denominated bonds slump - TradeWeb Data $CRWV
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Whoa. VIX just went ▪ 50+ straight days under 19.00 ▪ jumped over 22.00 for exactly one day ▪ then remained fully under 19.00 the next day That has now happened TWICE. Ever. Today and June 7, 2005.
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Would you believe me if I told you that the S&P 500 has closed higher every single trading day in October 2026 than it did for the month of September?
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Do you guys want to hear something fucking crazy? Today, on a positive SPX day, the entire daily range was within yesterday's OPEN/CLOSE candle body. Whatever. That's not the weird part. [1/3]
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What's weird is, this exact candle type has now happened during ▪ the third week of October ▪ just before an American election ▪ for FIVE STRAIGHT ELECTIONS [2/3]
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There have only been 27 of these candles in the past 8 years *total* and 5 of those happened during the 3rd week of October every even year. I fucking looked it up. The Odds of this happening are only 1 in 151,728. [3/3]
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Who wants to guess how low the odds are of the event you're counting on happening this week?
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Here's the last time the S&P Index (500 stocks since 1957) closed <this far> away from all time highs.
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This fucking app. I spend dozens and dozens of hours a week creating red hot, original content for this fucking site. I have a decent following. I follow the rules. Then this account, with 850k followers, posts this fucking screenshot of a reddit post from SEVEN AND A HALF FUCKING YEARS AGO and it gets 1.7m impressions and 539 reposts. I thought X was getting rid of this shit with the new program? I thought we no longer had to wade thru a FOR YOU that was, in fact, FOR NOBODY and was just screenshots from other social media platforms from almost a fucking goddamn decade ago.
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October 19th has fallen on a Monday five times since 1987 (#6 is in a couple days). Here are the SPX daily returns for those sessions. -1.6% +0.0% +0.9% +0.6% +0.8% I hope you find a way to recover from this sort of carnage.
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S&P 500 - TRUMP DEC 2020 3,647 - BIDEN JAN 2022 4,796 +31.5% INCREASE I know he counts on you having no idea how a calculator works or how to Google basic facts, but this took less than 30 seconds to look up.
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VIX closed Friday 4.49 pts above its average close the past 50 trading days. This is the 4th time that's ever happened on a Friday in October when SPX was down at least -1% that day. And how did SPX do going forward after the other 3 events in history? Really. Fucking. Well.
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VIX just spent 50+ days fully under 20 before seeing a mid-day spike at least 3.00+ higher than the highest point of the past 50 days. Here are these SPX 3-day forward returns after every event like this in the past 20 years -2.8% -7.7% -0.1% -1.3% -2.6% -0.1% +0.9% -1.8% -0.8%
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According to my data, this is the first time in history that VIX will spend a weekend at exactly 19.99 I have no idea why anyone would find this interesting.
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Well, SHIT. QQQ just dropped -7.29% in exactly 7 trading days from a new all time high. You should see the 1-week forward returns and 5 day draw downs after QQQ dropped at least this much in exactly 7 days from an ATH with VXN under 40.
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SPX just had multiple -1% days within a 3 day stretch after going 50 trading days without a single one. And would you like to know how SPX did going forward after the other 4 times it did this in the past 50 years?
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