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Brock Purdy averages 68 passing yards in the first quarter.
Atlanta allows 73 first quarter passing yards a game. 2nd most in football.
Adjusted for the matchup, nobody on Sunday's slate is close. Purdy 96.9. Next best, Jordan Love, 72.7.
39.5 first quarter receiving yards a game.
That's Nico Collins, the most of any receiver on Sunday's board.
Last year in the first quarter: 15.5.
First quarter receiving yards, 2026 vs 2025:
Nico Collins: 39.5, up from 15.5
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 33.0, up from 20.5
Zay Flowers: 32.3, up from 13.6
Christian Watson: 28.4, up from 11.2
Who gets the ball early changed a lot this year.
Outside Zone retweeted
NFL Week 7 100% Player Prop Trends - Last 5 Games
Tre Tucker: 40+ Rec Yds
Malik Washington: 40+ Rec Yds
Kirk Cousins: 225+ Pass Yds
Dak Prescott: 250+ Pass Yds
Trey McBride: 7+ Receptions
Bryce Young: 275+ Pass Yds
Tre Tucker: 4+ Receptions
Kenneth Walker III: 70+ Rush Yds
Sam LaPorta: 40+ Rec Yds
Nico Collins: 50+ Rec Yds
Rome Odunze: 3+ Receptions
Outside Zone retweeted
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Outside Zone retweeted
WR's with AMAZING matchups this week
For Yards:
Nico Collins
Parker Washington
Tre Tucker
Denzel Boston
Luther Burden III
For Receptions:
Jakobi Meyers
Mike Evans
Jalen Coker
George Pickens
Christian Watson
Alabama with two straight losses now and a combined 3 points in both second halves. Hard to win with that!
Two offenses with strong 1st quarter matchups on Sunday:
Colts vs TEN: Daniel Jones 45.8 1Q pass yds, Josh Downs 23.0 rec yds, Tyler Warren 12.6
Packers vs DAL: Jordan Love 62.8, Christian Watson 28.4, Tucker Kraft 13.2
Both defenses sit top 10 in 1Q passing yards allowed.
2025 vs 2026, 1st quarter passing yards per game:
Michael Penix Jr.: 64.6 → 17.3
Cam Ward: 43.9 → 21.3
Both have slow starts this season. Ward gets Indy, a top 6 matchup for 1Q passing.
Outside Zone retweeted
Matthew Golden is 99th percentile in air yards, 96th in yards after the catch and 98th in 3rd down targets.
He gets the Cowboys on Sunday night
Outside Zone retweeted
Seattle's defense is 100th percentile in yards per play allowed, yards per dropback allowed and passing yards allowed. All three.
Denver throws for 185.6 a game, 3rd percentile in the league. Tough game for a possible Bo Nix bounceback
Outside Zone retweeted
Tetairoa has seen heavy usage in the first few weeks and now he faces a statically below average PHI defense to WRs
His line: 65.5
Projection: 77.6
Matchup score: 81/100
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is doing it on volume.
50 targets and a 131.4 passer rating when targeted. Nobody else with 40+ targets is above 117.
He's alone in the top right. WR1 again this year?







