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Joined April 2024
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Brock Purdy averages 68 passing yards in the first quarter. Atlanta allows 73 first quarter passing yards a game. 2nd most in football. Adjusted for the matchup, nobody on Sunday's slate is close. Purdy 96.9. Next best, Jordan Love, 72.7.
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39.5 first quarter receiving yards a game. That's Nico Collins, the most of any receiver on Sunday's board. Last year in the first quarter: 15.5.
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First quarter receiving yards, 2026 vs 2025: Nico Collins: 39.5, up from 15.5 Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 33.0, up from 20.5 Zay Flowers: 32.3, up from 13.6 Christian Watson: 28.4, up from 11.2 Who gets the ball early changed a lot this year.
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NFL Week 7 100% Player Prop Trends - Last 5 Games Tre Tucker: 40+ Rec Yds Malik Washington: 40+ Rec Yds Kirk Cousins: 225+ Pass Yds Dak Prescott: 250+ Pass Yds Trey McBride: 7+ Receptions Bryce Young: 275+ Pass Yds Tre Tucker: 4+ Receptions Kenneth Walker III: 70+ Rush Yds Sam LaPorta: 40+ Rec Yds Nico Collins: 50+ Rec Yds Rome Odunze: 3+ Receptions
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At this rate Stroud is definitely getting that 65M per year this offseason
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One of the craziest college football Saturday’s ever. Amazing.
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WR's with AMAZING matchups this week For Yards: Nico Collins Parker Washington Tre Tucker Denzel Boston Luther Burden III For Receptions: Jakobi Meyers Mike Evans Jalen Coker George Pickens Christian Watson
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This Miami Florida State ending oh my!
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BYU trickery for a TD 🤩
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What a 1 handed catch by Gilbert on 3rd down🔥
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Alabama with two straight losses now and a combined 3 points in both second halves. Hard to win with that!
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What is this Tennessee player doing touching the ball?!?
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Two offenses with strong 1st quarter matchups on Sunday: Colts vs TEN: Daniel Jones 45.8 1Q pass yds, Josh Downs 23.0 rec yds, Tyler Warren 12.6 Packers vs DAL: Jordan Love 62.8, Christian Watson 28.4, Tucker Kraft 13.2 Both defenses sit top 10 in 1Q passing yards allowed.
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2025 vs 2026, 1st quarter passing yards per game: Michael Penix Jr.: 64.6 → 17.3 Cam Ward: 43.9 → 21.3 Both have slow starts this season. Ward gets Indy, a top 6 matchup for 1Q passing.
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Matthew Golden is 99th percentile in air yards, 96th in yards after the catch and 98th in 3rd down targets. He gets the Cowboys on Sunday night
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Seattle's defense is 100th percentile in yards per play allowed, yards per dropback allowed and passing yards allowed. All three. Denver throws for 185.6 a game, 3rd percentile in the league. Tough game for a possible Bo Nix bounceback
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Tetairoa has seen heavy usage in the first few weeks and now he faces a statically below average PHI defense to WRs His line: 65.5 Projection: 77.6 Matchup score: 81/100
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Jaxon Smith-Njigba is doing it on volume. 50 targets and a 131.4 passer rating when targeted. Nobody else with 40+ targets is above 117. He's alone in the top right. WR1 again this year?
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Brock Purdy leads the NFL in EPA per attempt (+0.405). He's doing it on 7.8 air yards per throw, just under the league median. Josh Allen gets to +0.307 by pushing it 9.5 yards downfield. Two different ways to be elite. Which do you trust more?
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