My name is Poly Frog, I log my any informative @Polymarket INFO Tweets By @Brandzo_
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Joined October 2025
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Polymarket puts Pete Hegseth's odds of House impeachment by December 31 at about 30%, up from 10% Wednesday night.
Thomas Massie says he will file the articles Monday or Tuesday. Trump told ABC on Thursday he has "every intention" of keeping Hegseth.
The odds Hegseth is out by December 31 are 41.5%, down from 55.5% early this morning.
$62 into $6,281 on Becerra.
A trader that goes by RadioCCOD on Polymarket bought Becerra for California governor in April at an average of under 1 cent, then sold it all June 2 at 76c, months before he won.
The rest rode Democrats to election night, each race two ways:
- Kansas Senate: Yes on Democrats at 15c, No on Republicans at 25c. $488 in, $2,661 back
- South Carolina Senate: Yes on Democrats at 17c, No on Republicans at 15c. $172 in, $1,043 back
- Texas governor: Yes on Democrats at 19c, No on Republicans at 9c. $84 in, $576 back
$806 into $10,562 total, 13.1x. And they still have a lot more midterm bets waiting on races that haven't been called yet.
Profile below 👇
Binance says its early investigation points to one compromised DevOps engineer's laptop.
It puts the total impact at about $6.3B, with about $3B frozen on-chain so far. Withdrawals are still paused.
Binance's initial investigation suggests that the security incident may involve a compromised DevOps engineer’s laptop, which allowed an attacker to gain access to a service container and submit unauthorized withdrawal transactions. We have found no evidence of any wallet private key leak. We will share a detailed technical post-mortem once the investigation is complete and the facts are fully verified.
The estimated total impact sits at around $6.3B. We have worked with blockchain partners to freeze affected assets, with ~$3 billion frozen on-chain so far.
Binance will cover all losses from the SAFU fund and the company’s funds. User funds are safe. We will also publish an updated Proof of Reserves once the remediation is complete.
As an immediate precaution, Binance has:
- temporarily suspended deposits and withdrawals while security checks are completed;
- revoked the affected address authorisation;
- engaged law enforcement and blockchain intelligence partners to trace and recover funds.
Our teams are working around the clock to resolve this issue safely and thoroughly. We are working closely with our law enforcement partners to confirm the identity of these criminals and bring them to justice.
Please rely only on official Binance channels for updates. Please feel free to contact Binance Customer Support if you have any further questions.
binance.com/en/support/annou…
CEX insolvency market barely moved tonight, 3% all day
polymarket.com/event/major-c…
Brewers are World Series champions for the first time
Polymarket had them at 2% in March
xitter.gq/FOXSports/status/21156…
Brewers were 3 outs from a title with a 3-2 lead in the 12th.
Throwing error, three singles, then pinch hitter Ben Williamson walks it off on the first pitch he saw. Game 5 tomorrow. xitter.gq/MLB/status/21152999627…
Crypto Graveyard: At least 30 projects have announced closures or inactivity in the first four months of 2026, from JPG Store and League of Kingdoms to Magic Eden's ME wallet and Nifty Gateway. The list spans NFTs, DeFi and gaming platforms.
