Market Analyst | Trader | Video Host BTC | Stocks | Commodities Scenario-based Analysis Are you done chasing certainty?
Germany
Joined April 2022
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Being early and being wrong often looks exactly the same...
Panthi´s Perpetuals 🐈⬛
ℹ️ These are my currently active swing trades.
🟢 Long
#SOL: Leave-runner left for potential higher prices, risk-off.
#BABA: Currently in drawdown.
#NKE: First bounce from entry.
#XAUT: Currently in drawdown (hedge position)
🔴 Short
#XAUT: TP2 hit, risk off.
➡️ Follow & Notifications on to keep track of my next plays, such as
#BTC, #SOL, #XRP, #HYPE
#SPCX, #TSLA, #US100
#USOIL
Stay prepared, not biased.🤝🐈⬛
🤖 Made with AI
Panthiczek retweeted
JUST IN: Jim Cramer assures investors the AI stock selloff is not another dot-com crash.
Back deep into "Fear"... #crypto
ℹ️ BTC is only down ~14% from recent highs.
🔁 Never a reason to go all-in, but always the time to start looking for buys.
A new rally could start within weeks!
We did it boys! First time since Aug 20 to be back in "Neutral" territory. #crypto
ℹ️ btw, BTC is only down ~6% from the highs.
➡️ Do you think we´ll go back to fear or greed next?
Panthiczek retweeted
BREAKING: South Korea’s KOSPI collapses -9%, triggering a trading halt, after opening for the first time since today’s US market decline.
The index is now down -47% from its record high.
So far, so good.
ℹ️ DCAing some ripple:native if we reach this area of interest highlighted on the chart.
🔁 No matter whether you´re all in already or have no exposure at all, there´s always opportunities to adjust your positioning step by step. That´s how you
Stay prepared, not biased! 🤝🐈⬛
Panthiczek retweeted
What just happened?
The Nasdaq 100 just posted its largest daily drop since the 2020 Pandemic, with the S&P 500 erasing -$3 trillion today.
Just 24 hours ago, the Dow surged +1,600 points after the Democrats "swept" the Midterms.
So, what changed? Let us explain.
(a thread)
HUNT THE ON BACK IS PANTHI
ℹ️ Our first attempt to ride a potential #US100/ $QQQ Long toward ~32k-34k points got stopped out in profits. Now we´re getting ready for attempt No. 2.
🐾The HTF plan remains unchanged. However, I don´t have a strong preference on the micro structure. Adding the scenarios on the chart adds too much clutter, hence I removed them for this post.
🐾Based on the scenarios and their respective common target levels, I´ve drafted a Long position as on the chart.
🐾Even if we were to come lower toward the entry zone, a bounce into micro resistance is possible before that.
🔁 Let the market commit first.
➡️ What´s your take on this setup?
No hype, just structure. 🤝🐈⬛
So many questions... bitcoin:native
Where are the bullish posts today? I guess V stood for "vanished"?
What does your favorite influencer blame this time?
ℹ️ Back to constructive chart analysis.
🐾 The suggested ABC formation doesn´t look completed yet.
🐾 Overall, I´d expect a slow bleed over the next couple of days to eventually bottom out in the $73k-$71k area. This is my next POI.
➡️ It could develop into something more bearish, but for now there is no evidence on the chart.
🎯This is swing long territory. A bullish continuation toward $95k-$107k is possible, but we can at least expect a significant bounce into resistance if our long POI holds.
🔁 Let the market commit first.
Stay prepared, not biased! 🤝🐈⬛
Not every V stands for Victory...
🔴 Timeline is turning incredibly bullish on bitcoin:native for no reason at all.
👀 Take a look at all these V shape recoveries from the last month or so.
🐾 How often did we set a lower low shortly after?
🐾 How often did we retrace most of initial move up?
Yes, there´s some spot buying. But realistically, with OI coming down while price goes up... mostly short covering.
➡️ Does it mean this will happen again with absolute certainty? No. But probabilities favor another lower high to form, potentially already around the relevant Micro resistance.
🔁 Price recovered, structure ain´t convincing yet.
Stay prepared, not biased! 🤝🐈⬛
Panthiczek retweeted
What's happening in stocks right now is crystal clear.
Fundamentally, nothing has changed over the last 60 minutes.
This is the product of record levels of leverage colliding with a sudden shift in market sentiment.
Sentiment is the ultimate driver of price.
For months, we have been commenting on the historic levels of leverage in today's markets.
This is precisely what happens when sentiment reverses in an overleveraged market.
We will have more to say on this shortly.
Our scenario so far is playing out beautifully. hyperliquid:native
🐾 As indicated on the chart, the (b) wave may or may not be completed by now.
🐾 A potential continuation of the (b) wave could make for an excellent short swing setup.
🐾 A basic trigger could be a higher timeframe SFP.
🎯 $71.3 - $62.5
🔁 Let the market commit first.
➡️ Are you currently positioned on HYPE?
Will keep you posted! 🤝🐈⬛
$70 per hyperliquid:native. Tragic or realistic?
🐾 Our analysis around the move from ~$50 to $90-$100 was spot on.
🐾 We might have set a very meaningful top already or could develop it very soon.
🐾For the coming weeks, I expect a slow and painful consolidation toward $71-$50 similar to the June-August period from the quoted post.
🔁 I am looking to short especially potential higher highs back into Support.
➡️ What´s your take on HYPE?
Will keep you posted! 🤝🐈⬛
Panthiczek retweeted
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