I love math, college sports, and I like to write about both. Staff writer, Chief Data Scientist & Optimism Officer for Spartans Illustrated. @Spartans_Illo
Michigan, USA
Joined May 2011
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My latest 2026 College Football Preview by the Numbers is now live on @SpartansRivals.
Using preseason rankings, projected spreads, and 100,000 simulations, I break down every game on Michigan State's schedule and the Spartans' path to bowl eligibility.
spartansillustrated.com/arti…
Dr. Green and White retweeted
The Michigan State men’s basketball program officially signed two top-60 2027 prospects Thursday: five-star PG Antonio Pemberton and four-star C Jaydn Jenkins.
"It was OKG — they were both 'our kind of guys,” Tom Izzo said.
Read on @Spartans_Illo: spartansillustrated.com/arti…
Vegas likes the Huskies, but my algorithm has caught the scent of a possible upset. Watch out, Huskies. The Spartan Dawgs are on the hunt, and they are after you. #GoGreen
spartansillustrated.com/arti…
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Dr. Green and White retweeted
Duke's two worst single-game offensive performances going back to last season in points per 100 possessions:
101.5 - 12/6/25 vs Michigan State
102.8 - 11/10/26 vs Michigan State
Tom Izzo may have the blueprint for slowing down Duke.
Dr. Green and White retweeted
Last night's victory over Duke was impressive by every every meaning of the word. Perhaps the better news: Izzo believes this team has more room to grow.
"We played our best basketball of the year, but we're three games into the year, so big deal."
spartansillustrated.com/arti…
Look at the dots in the upper left corner. 78% of all UofM wins over MSU came in years when UofM won at least 60% of their other games and MSU won less than 60% of their other games.
If MSU is good, UofM loses
If UofM is bod, UofM loses
That's what 75 years of data says.
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MSU can and has beat both good and bad UofM teams. The opposite is not true.
UofM's biggest wins over MSU in the past 75 years are:
-1955: handed MSU their only loss
-1989: beat an MSU team that finished 8-4
That's the list
UofM needs MSU to be is disarray to have a chance.
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The statement "MSU... only beats UofM when they are in complete disarray," is provably and laughably false.
In years when UofM wins over 70% of their other games, they are just 30-14 (68%) in games vs. MSU
If MSU wins over 70% of other games, they are 18-2 (90%) vs. UofM.
Dr. Green and White retweeted
Mathematically speaking, MSU had a 6.1% of beating Michigan football and Duke basketball.
Source: @PaulFanson, who knows this stuff.
Paul Bunyan on Saturday. No. 2 Duke on Tuesday.
MSU was the underdog in both games yet never trailed for a second across 100 minutes of football and basketball.
The Dan Bartholomae era is in full effect. His pitch to donors just got easier, too:
spartansillustrated.com/arti…
Dr. Green and White retweeted
They gave Duke basketball 37 free throws and Michigan football 70 phantom penalty yards to play with and neither team could come close to beating Michigan State 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
Dr. Green and White retweeted
Is there a new favorite in the Big Ten?
Going into the season Illinois was the overwhelming favorite to win the conference, but the Illini just lost at Texas Tech (despite nearly mounting a 22 point comeback), while Michigan State toppled #2 Duke in the Champions Classic.
Conversely, the Red Raiders may just be really good too, and should move into the top 10.
Dr. Green and White retweeted
January
February
IZZO
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
Dr. Green and White retweeted
40 MINUTES. ZERO LEAD CHANGES. 🤯
@MSU_Basketball led Duke from start to finish in a HUGE win over the Blue Devils!
Dr. Green and White retweeted
Beat Michigan in football on Saturday
Beat Duke in basketball on Tuesday
Pretty nice few days for Michigan State
Five Liam Boyd field goals. 15 points (that's three times five). Four turnovers. One Paul Bunyan Trophy headed home. Against All Odds, Week 10 is up on @SpartansIllustrated. #GoGreen spartansillustrated.com/arti…
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There is nothing earth-shattering here. The bracket is set up as expected.
IF there were smaller, regional conferences that could play closer to a full round robin schedule, I think the sacrifice of losing the conference title games MIGHT be worth it
This graphic explains how the seeding works and who gets home games in the new 24-team CFP. There will now be 16 postseason games on campus.
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Many pundits are saying that a 9-3 final record will not make the CFP, but my analysis suggests that the expected value of Power Four teams with at least 10 regular season wins is now at 10.24.
More likely than not, at least one 9-3 team is going to make the playoffs.
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Dr. Green and White retweeted
The next five Spartans Illustrated annual subscribers will receive a green or white $49.99 Paul Bunyan trophy hoodie from @NudgePrinting.
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Click here to subscribe and send me a DM afterwards (or email [email protected]): spartansillustrated.com/pay?…
