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3 Best NFL Upset Picks - Week 9
LAST WEEK
✅ Cardinals over Cowboys
✅ Bears over Seahawks
✖️ Ravens over Bills
Check out what @slimbach21 has for Week 9.
WATCH: youtube.com/watch?v=WOxQEVta…
Our NFL Prop Pickers are 21-9 in the last five weeks.
Their top picks for Week 9:
pickwatch.com/post/6-value-b…
See our spread pick on this Ravens-Jaguars matchup 👇
pickwatch.com/post/ravens-vs…
Ravens vs. Jaguars Player Props - TNF Week 9
Both on the Ravens 👇
1. Ravens WR Rashod Bateman Over 14.5 Rec Yds
(-102, FanDuel)
This one isn’t glamorous. You might spend most of the night waiting for Bateman to make a catch.
But the Ravens are 10-point underdogs against a top run defense, so they’ll likely throw more than usual.
The matchup helps too. The Jaguars rank first in EPA allowed on short passes and 29th on deep passes, so there’s room for Bateman to get downfield.
That depends on Fagnano making the throw, and he hit Bateman for a 22-yard gain last week (three total targets to Bateman).
One decent catch probably gets this over.
FanDuel’s -102 is also the best price on the board, compared with -118 at DraftKings and -115 at BetMGM.
2. Ravens RB Derrick Henry Under 69.5 Rush Yd
(-110, bet365)
JAX has the best run defense in the league by EPA per carry allowed...also allow the fewest rushing yards per game and rank fourth in yards per carry allowed.
With Lamar Jackson out, Henry has run for 58, 45, and 53 yards over the last three games.
Now third-string QB Joe Fagnano is under center, so the Jags can stack the box and dare Baltimore to throw.
Henry hasn’t had more than 17 carries since Week 5.
On top of that, if the Ravens’ offense stalls the way it should, drives end early and Henry gets fewer chances to break one (which is what happened last week).
Sunday NFL injuries (update 11:20 am ET)
Lamar Jackson (In)
Saquon Barkley (In)
Rashee Rice (In)
Tyler Warren (In)
Jeremiyah Love (In)
Aaron Jones (In)
Zach Charbonnet (In)
DJ Moore (In)
Ladd McConkey (In)
Michael Wilson (In)
Dalton Kincaid (In)
Pat Surtain (In)
Jaylen Waddle (Q)
George Pickens (Q)
DeVonta Smith (D)
Dontayvion Wicks (D)
Carnell Tate (D)
Tyjae Spears (D)
Breece Hall (Out)
TreVeyon Henderson (Out)
RJ Harvey (Out)
AJ Brown (Out)
Rashid Shaheed (Out)
Emeka Egbuka (Out)
Ravens QB: Lamar Jackson is still feeling pain in his ankle, but he will play through it.
Jets backfield: Breece Hall is out again, so Braelon Allen gets the start.
Patriots offense: TreVeyon Henderson and AJ Brown are both out.
Broncos: Jaylen Waddle is trending toward playing vs. KC in the late window, and Pat Surtain returns after missing the last few games.
Eagles: Saquon Barkley is off the injury report and playing through his hamstring injury, but DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks are doubtful.
3 NFL Upset Picks for Week 8
1 - Longshot upset of the week
2 - Super Bowl contender loses?
3 - Upset in Primetime
Watch: youtube.com/watch?v=eNqMrIo-…
Sunday NFL injuries (update 10:30 am ET):
Baker Mayfield (In)
Josh Jacobs (In)
Jordan Addison (In)
T.J. Hockenson (In)
Adonai Mitchell (In)
Christian Gonzalez (In)
Puka Nacua (Q)
Saquon Barkley (Q - MNF)
Breece Hall (D)
Pat Surtain (D)
Nick Bosa (D)
Jalen Hurts (Out)
Lamar Jackson (Out)
Rashee Rice (Out)
Deebo Samuel (Out)
Mike Evans (Out)
Davante Adams (Out)
Zach Charbonnet (Out)
Tyler Warren (Out)
Emeka Egbuka (Out)
DeVonta Smith (Out)
Dontayvion Wicks (Out)
Jeremiyah Love (Out)
David Montgomery (Out)
Antoine Winfield Jr. (Out)
Sauce Gardner (Out)
Ravens QB: Lamar Jackson is out, so Snoop Huntley starts again.
Rams WRs: Puka Nacua is a game-time decision with Davante Adams already out.
Bucs WRs: Baker Mayfield returns from his thumb injury, but Emeka Egbuka is out.
Chiefs OL: Both starting tackles are out (Simmons IR, Moore OUT) vs. a Seattle pass rush that ranks 2nd in pressure rate.
Giants secondary: Could be down 4 of 5 starting DBs at Houston. Newsome and Holland are out, Adebo and Nubin are Q.
Jets backfield: Breece Hall is doubtful, so Braelon Allen remains QB1.
Eagles offense: Saquon Barkley is pushing to play MNF, while DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks are out. Dallas Goedert is Q.
The Falcons will also give out fake mustaches on Sunday to honor someone important in their history.
3 favorite NFL upset picks (in 5 minutes) 🎥
No fluff, no filler.
Just @slimbach21 giving you the picks 👇
WATCH: youtube.com/watch?v=TjjbQtJy…
