@PredictIt

Buy and sell political futures. PSAs: - 95% ≠ Certainty - Forecasts ≠ Future - Turnout = Outcome

 Washington, DC
Predictit.org
Joined November 2013
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  • Followers40.4K
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@PredictItSep 23
Money in. Money out. $0. The 5% withdrawal fee is gone. ACH deposits and withdrawals are now free — effective immediately. predictit.org #thepeoplespredictionmarket
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We asked DC for their most unpopular political predictions. They did not hold back. 👀 Some are bold. Some are… very bold. Which one do you think actually happens?
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Canada 🇨🇦 wants to be the 🇪🇺 EU’s first associate member. Prime Minister @MarkJCarney hosts EU leaders in Montreal Oct. 29–30. Traders have Canada signed on by the end of 2027 at 4¢. The draft summit statement leaves the details to the 2027 summit. #AssociateEUMember #OhCanada
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Argentina’s Javier Milei called Lula a “thief” this week. Brazil called it foreign interference. Wednesday, in Madrid, he called Spain’s Pedro Sánchez a “disgraceful dictator.” Traders have Sánchez at 84¢ to be the next of 10 European leaders out. Spain votes Nov. 29. #NextOut
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Next European leader to leave office → predictit.org/markets/detail… New 🚨 Spain's snap election, Nov. 29→ predictit.org/markets/detail…

2026 Political Predictions | Next European leader out?

Find out which of these ten European leaders will leave office next. Get the latest predictions on PredictIt. PredictIt enables you to follow along with 2026 election predictions, politics, and much...

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Brazil’s last runoff was a photo finish: Lula beat Jair Bolsonaro by 1.8 points in 2022, the closest since 1989. This week’s polls have Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula within about two points. There’s a market on Sunday’s margin, in two-point ranges. #Brazil #Elections2026
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Brazil runoff margin → predictit.org/markets/detail…

2026 Brazil Presidential election | What will be the margin in the 2026 Brazil Presidential...

See real-time odds for the 2026 Brazil Presidential election runoff. Buy and sell shares on the margin of victory. Start trading on PredictIt today.

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Lula’s closing argument is a 40-hour week. Brazil’s Senate passed his bill cutting the maximum from 44 hours, and 54% of Brazilians like it, per an AtlasIntel poll for Bloomberg News. Traders still have Lula at 20¢ to win Sunday’s runoff. #LulaBolsonaro #Brazil2026 #Elections
PredictIt graphic, Brazil, Lula’s closing argument. Photo of Lula in a Brazil jersey giving a thumbs-up. Lula 20 cents to win Sunday’s runoff. A 40-hour week, and 54% like it. AtlasIntel poll for Bloomberg News.

ALT PredictIt graphic, Brazil, Lula’s closing argument. Photo of Lula in a Brazil jersey giving a thumbs-up. Lula 20 cents to win Sunday’s runoff. A 40-hour week, and 54% like it. AtlasIntel poll for Bloomberg News.

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Brazil president → predictit.org/markets/detail… 📸: Lula’s campaign, via Facebook.

2026 World Elections | Brazilian presidential election winner?

Find out who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. Get the latest 2026 predictions on PredictIt. PredictIt enables you to follow along with 2026 Election predictions, and more! You can...

predictit.org
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Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball ratings change Ohio Governor Toss-up —> Lean D Link to article: centerforpolitics.org/crysta…
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France had a weekend of riots. The first poll since, by Ifop-Fiducial, barely moved. Traders did. Far-right leader Marine Le Pen is at 58¢ to win next spring’s presidential vote, up from 54¢ over the weekend. Jean-Luc Mélenchon is at 24¢. #France2027 #FrenchPresident #LePen
PredictIt graphic, France president 2027. Watercolor portrait of Marine Le Pen. Le Pen 58 cents, up 4 cents since the weekend. France rioted. Le Pen ticked up. The first post-riot poll, by Ifop-Fiducial, barely moved.

ALT PredictIt graphic, France president 2027. Watercolor portrait of Marine Le Pen. Le Pen 58 cents, up 4 cents since the weekend. France rioted. Le Pen ticked up. The first post-riot poll, by Ifop-Fiducial, barely moved.

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France president → predictit.org/markets/detail… . . . Watercolor from a 📸 Julie Sebadelha/AFP via Getty Images.

French Election Odds | Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?

Find out who will win the 2027 French presidential election. Get the latest 2027 predictions on PredictIt. PredictIt enables you to follow along with 2027 Election predictions, and more! You can even...

predictit.org
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Trump endorsed Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Oct. 18. Traders didn’t follow. Former military chief Gadi Eisenkot is at 60¢ to be Israel’s next prime minister, up from 50¢ that day. Netanyahu is at 45¢, right where he started. Israel votes Tuesday. #Israel2026 #Election
PredictIt graphic, Israel votes Tuesday. Trump endorsed Netanyahu. Traders didn’t follow. Channel 12 poll: 64% of Israelis say the endorsement won’t affect their vote. Next prime minister: Gadi Eisenkot 60 cents, up 10 cents since Oct. 18. Benjamin Netanyahu 45 cents, no change since Oct. 18.

ALT PredictIt graphic, Israel votes Tuesday. Trump endorsed Netanyahu. Traders didn’t follow. Channel 12 poll: 64% of Israelis say the endorsement won’t affect their vote. Next prime minister: Gadi Eisenkot 60 cents, up 10 cents since Oct. 18. Benjamin Netanyahu 45 cents, no change since Oct. 18.

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Israel prime minister → predictit.org/markets/detail…

2026 Israel Odds | Who will replace Netanyahu?

Find out who will replace Benjamin Netanyahu. Get the latest 2026 predictions on PredictIt. PredictIt enables you to follow along with 2026 election predictions and more! You can even make money on...

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Brazil votes Sunday, and the polls have it tied. Quaest has right-wing Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro at 45% and President Lula at 44%. Traders have Flávio at 82¢ to win the runoff. Since 1989, no candidate who trailed in the first round has come back to win one. #LulaBolsonaro
PredictIt graphic, Brazil runoff Sunday. Watercolor portraits of Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. Flávio Bolsonaro 82 cents, highlighted as the leader. Lula 20 cents. Tied in the polls. The market isn’t close. Quaest poll: Flávio 45%, Lula 44%.

ALT PredictIt graphic, Brazil runoff Sunday. Watercolor portraits of Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. Flávio Bolsonaro 82 cents, highlighted as the leader. Lula 20 cents. Tied in the polls. The market isn’t close. Quaest poll: Flávio 45%, Lula 44%.

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Brazil president → predictit.org/markets/detail… Runoff margin → predictit.org/markets/detail… 📸 Lula’s and Flávio Bolsonaro’s Facebook campaign pages.

2026 World Elections | Brazilian presidential election winner?

Find out who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. Get the latest 2026 predictions on PredictIt. PredictIt enables you to follow along with 2026 Election predictions, and more! You can...

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Michigan’s Senate debate is tonight: Mike Rogers (R) vs. Abdul El-Sayed (D). Traders have El-Sayed at 70¢ going in. Watch the price move live. #MichiganSenate #ElSayedRogers #SenateControl
Candidate portrait from Michigan's Senate race featuring Abdul El-Sayed (D).

ALT Candidate portrait from Michigan's Senate race featuring Abdul El-Sayed (D).

Candidate portrait from Michigan's Senate race featuring Mike Rogers (R).

ALT Candidate portrait from Michigan's Senate race featuring Mike Rogers (R).

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Michigan Senate → predictit.org/markets/detail…

2026 US Senate Predictions | Which party will win the Michigan Senate race?

Find out which party will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race. Get the latest predictions on PredictIt. PredictIt enables you to follow along with 2026 election predictions, politics, and much more!...

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Trump’s super PAC moved $277 million from Sept. 1 to Oct. 14, per Bloomberg. Super PAC checks have no ceiling. On PredictIt, nobody can put more than $3,500 into a contract, the same as the limit on a check to a candidate for Congress. #ThePeoplesPredictionMarket #Midterms2026
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Senate control → predictit.org/markets/detail…

2026 Political Betting Odds | Who will control the Senate after 2026?

Get the latest 2026 midterm election predictions on PredictIt. PredictIt enables you to follow along with 2026 political betting odds, like which party will win the Senate and much more! You can even...

predictit.org
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Trump in Kansas on Monday: “With Roger Marshall in the Senate, we will make year-round E-15 permanent. But if Adam Hamilton is in, I’m not doing it.” Traders have Sen. Roger Marshall (R) at 59¢ against Hamilton (D) at 40¢. #SenateControl #MarshallHamilton #KSSenate
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Kansas Senate → predictit.org/markets/detail…

2026 US Senate Predictions | Which party will win the Kansas Senate race?

Find out which party will win the 2026 Kansas Senate race. Get the latest predictions on PredictIt. PredictIt enables you to follow along with 2026 election predictions, politics, and much more! You...

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