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NFL statistical analysis. Team ratings & game projections modeled on ratings and associated point value of every NFL player.

Joined December 2011
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This has to be one of the most surprising NFL playoff fields in recent history
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530
Only 1 of 8 division favorites won. 6 of 8 division winners came from outside the top 15 ranked teams.
343
Does anyone else find it obnoxious that both ESPN & NFL Network commentators see the draft picks before viewers, and then play a silly game of acting like they're predicting who will be taken when they already know full well who was?
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516
Our not very serious USFL rankings: 1. Birmingham Stallions 2. Philadelphia Stars 3. New Jersey Generals 4. New Orleans Breakers 5. Michigan Panthers 6. Memphis Showboats 7. Houston Gamblers 8. Pittsburgh Maulers
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1,520
The overall NFL experience remains similar to last year, which is slightly below the XFL & AAF. This is the first league to have real carry-over as almost half the players appear to have been on the same team last year.
874
Our account was hacked and turned into a different username spreading crypto scams for the past week before Twitter corrected it. Apologies to anyone who saw or was confused. Now back to normal.
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1,185
Check out our full NCAA Tournament advancement odds here: profootballlogic.com/sports/…
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Our not very serious XFL ranks: 1. St. Louis Battlehawks 2. Vegas Vipers 3. Arlington Renegades 4. Seattle Sea Dragons 5. D.C. Defenders 6. San Antonio Brahmas 7. Houston Roughnecks 8. Orlando Guardians
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1,615
The overall caliber of XFL players appears similar to past leagues, with the USFL standing out as a bit worse
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1,113
No one can probably be that great at predicting these leagues, but there has been some correlation between our team ranks (x) and team wins (y) for the 3 past leagues:
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869
The list of QBs that have been on their team the longest might be the most shallow in decades, and getting worse: GB Rodgers: 18 yrs LV Carr: 9 DAL Prescott: 7 KC Mahomes: 6 SF Garoppolo: 5.5
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885
Call it crazy, but the NFL may actually be better if they just got rid of the game clock and gave each team 10 possessions
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1,320
Watching teams try to score is just more fun than watching them manage the clock. And the offensive efficiency today makes the clock bigger than ever before at the end of games. Yes "innings" give the last team an edge, but it may be worth the cost.
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979
Team ratings that fit betting lines for this week & Super Bowl champ odds: KC: 4.0 this week for Mahomes inj, 6.5 for SB CIN: 6.5 PHI: 6.0 SF: 6.5
These are the team ratings we get if we scale ours in our playoffs model to match betting odds for Super Bowl champ odds & this week's lines.
1,060
Jaguars had the penalty to justify it, but even without it going for 2 when down 4 late is probably always the right choice. Make = turns overtime into a W Miss = turns overtime into a W/L gamble of needing 30 more yards
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760
Annual reminder that most teams should call way more QB runs/options during the playoffs, as the risk/reward ratio is much different from regular season
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1,271
Every Wild Card game is a rematch: Wk 3: BUF 19 at MIA 21 Wk 15: MIA 29 at BUF 32 Wk 5: CIN 17 at BAL 19 Wk 18: BAL 16 at CIN 27 Wk 3: JAC 38 at LAC 10 Wk 2: SEA 7 at SF 27 Wk 15: SF 21 at SEA 13 Wk 16: NYG 24 at MIN 27 Wk 1: TB 19 at DAL 3
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1,088
These are the team ratings we get if we scale ours in our playoffs model to match betting odds for Super Bowl champ odds & this week's lines.
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2,136
Our playoffs model gives a bit under a 50% chance of the BUF-KC neutral site AFC Championship occurring, and each team's odds of making the Super Bowl about 5% different vs if it would be at KC.
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801
Activations of a player off IR (8 allowed): KC - 3 BUF - 1 CIN - 2 JAC - 1 LAC - 3 BAL - 6 MIA - 4 PHI - 7 SF - 8 MIN - 4 TB - 4 DAL - 2 NYG - 6 SEA - 2
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