This isn't hard, but one more time:
Election polling = Election polling
Independence polling = Independence polling
Election polling ≠ Independence polling
Consistently, a third of those who say they'd vote Labour say they support Independence, and some NOs even vote SNP!
Scottish Parliament (Holyrood) poll (Norstat/Sunday Times, 25/10/2026), rough seat estimate (electionpolling, change from SP2026)
SNP 52 (-6)
GRN 19 (+4)
LAB 19 (+2)
CON 16 (+4)
REFuk 14 (-3)
LD 9 (-1)
Unlike Survation poll two weeks ago, Green vote is still high.
Scottish Parliament (Holyrood) poll (Norstat/Sunday Times, 25/10/2026)
Constituency
SNP 34%
LAB 18%
REFuk 13%
CON 12%
LD 9%
GRN 7%
Regional List
SNP 28%
LAB 17%
GRN 15%
CON 13%
REFuk 13%
LD 9%
Scotland Westminster voting intention poll (Norstat/Sunday Times, 25/10/2026). Seat *estimate* (electoral calculus, change since GE2024)
SNP 39 (+30)
LAB 8 (-29)
LD 5 (-1)
CON 5 (-)
Scotland Westminster voting intention poll (Norstat/Sunday Times, 25/10/2026)
SNP 32%
LAB 21%
REFuk 15%
CON 13%
GRN 7%
LD 6%
Scottish independence poll (Norstat for the Sunday Times, 25/10/2026)
Should Scotland be an independent country?
YES 52%
NO 48%
If @heraldscotland is attempting to imply the commissioner of a poll affects the result of 'standard questions', thus would be further evidence of the mainstream Scottish media becoming increasingly and hysterically deranged.
A further Scottish Independence poll out today (Survation).
Should Scotland be an independent country?
YES 54%
NO 46%
General trend of polls suggest Scotland split almost 50/50 with probably a small yes lead.
This thread is Twitter in action. Guy asks airline straightforward question. Everyone gives their view: some right, some wrong.
Some check the website, but those who are wrong double down.
Airline even gives the answer.
People who are wrong still don't back down! 😆
Hello @easyJet I have a return flight booked with you next month.
Due to a change in my plans I intend to use the return portion only (i.e. not the outbound).
Do I need to do anything to preserve my right to use the return only? I realise no refund entitlement re outbound.
More in Common Scottish Election poll:
Constituency
SNP 36%
LAB 21%
REF 15%
CON 12%
LD 10%
GRN 3%
Regional
SNP 30%
LAB 20%
REF 17%
CON 13%
LD 10%
GRN 7%
Three Scottish Independence polls out today one with YES in the lead and two with NO ahead.
Should Scotland be an indendent country?
Survation
YES 52%
NO 48%
More in Common
YES 48%
NO 52%
YouGov
YES 47%
NO 53%
To state the obvious:
A General Election poll reflects current opinion for a General Election;
A Scottish Election poll reflects current opinion for a Scottish Election;
A poll on Scottish Independence reflects current opinion on Scottish Independence.
It's really not difficult!
Westminster Scotland poll (More in Common) seat estimate (poll checker, change from 2024 GE)
SNP 28 (+19)
LAB 17 (-20)
CON 6 (+1)
LD 5 (-1)
REFUK 1 (+1)
Westminster Scotland poll (More in Common, 15/10/2026)
SNP 30%
LAB 24%
REFUK 16%
CON 13%
LD 8%
RESTORE 5%
GRN 3%
To avoid dumb responses to polls:
Virtually all are commissioned. So long as they ask standard questions, results aren't influenced by the client.
They're snapshots in time; some can be outliers. The general trend matters.
It's normal to exclude Don't Know and 'unlikely to vote'.
Westminster Scotland poll (Survation 15/10/2026) seat estimate (pollcheck) (change from 2024 GE)
SNP 47 (+38)
CON 4 (-1)
LAB 3 (-34)
LD 3 (-3)
Scotland Westminster voting intention poll (Survation 15/10/26)
SNP 34%
LAB 20%
REFUK 18%
CON 12%
LD 8%
GRN 6%
Scottish independence poll (Survation 15/10/26)
Should Scotland be an independent country?
YES 52%
NO 48%
.@TheGreenParty Zionism motion (regardless of its substance) put @ZackPolanski in an impossible position. Had he attended, spoken against it and (inevitably) lost, the journalists criticising him for not attending would have been after him for not being able to control the party.





