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Ireland
Joined January 2024
Join us on Wednesday 28th October at 5.30pm for Progress Ireland’s monthly meetup. @Keyes will kick things off with a short talk on how Ireland can escape its certain fate of endless traffic. Register to save your seat: luma.com/25uj3vmz
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Progress Ireland retweeted
I was nominated for some of my writing for @ProgressIreland. The winners were a paper on the effects of Irish rent control, and a report on demography. progressireland.substack.com… esri.ie/publications/the-sup… nesc.ie/publications/buildin…
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Congrats @Sam__Enright, finalist in the Foundation for Fiscal Studies’ Miriam Hederman O’Brien prize. Link to his award-nominated piece below
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Progress Ireland retweeted
I have a special fondness for niche professional prizes. An honour to be a finalist for Ireland's fiscal policy research award!
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Dublin is on track for 3m people. Do we want it to be: A city with a strong centre accessed by rail, like Munich (on the left...) OR... A city with jobs spread out along highways like Dallas (right)? Without deliberate planning and investment, we'll end up more like Dallas.
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Ireland relies on the UK for its gas, and the UK's gas store is alarmingly low.
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In the worst-case scenario, the UK could run out of gas. That could happen if winter is colder than forecast and Russian gas that currently supplies the European market is cut off. The result would be rolling blackouts across Ireland and the UK. Even if it doesn’t come to blackouts, Ireland might have to quickly buy gas on the open market at a time of global shortage, leading to very high prices to keep the lights on and homes warm. Gas now costs two and a half times what it did before the Iran war and could rise a further 30 per cent if gas exports from the Gulf remain blocked this winter.
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Without its own gas storage, Ireland is vulnerable to shortages. Ireland is planning to build a liquefied natural gas (LNG) storage facility, called the Strategic Gas Emergency Reserve, but this could take years. The planning application for it is due by the end of this year. Until it’s built, Ireland runs the risk of running out of gas, or paying soaring prices to plug an emergency gap.
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Environmental planning rules make it harder to build upwards, even though it’s the most climate-friendly way to add new homes. Take Dublin. It has limited space available to accommodate everyone that works in the city. So people move further out to commuter towns in Kildare, Meath, and Wicklow. They travel long distances to get to work, or see family and friends.
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But rebuilding at higher density saves on emissions. Imagine a single-family home in the suburbs with an energy rating of F. The owner could keep the house as is, retrofit it to bring it up to an A rating, or demolish it and build three apartments. To understand the carbon impact of these options, consider where the three households that could potentially live on this plot would otherwise live. One of them will live on the plot in the existing or retrofitted home. But if the home stays as just one dwelling, the other two households need to live elsewhere. Suppose they end up living in single family homes in commuter towns, and need to commute 30 minutes by car every day to work. Their daily commute would release far more greenhouse gas than building a new apartment block in the suburbs.
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This holds even if the commuters drive electric vehicles, for two reasons. Firstly, the electricity that powers the car isn’t emission-free. Almost half of Irish electricity comes from burning natural gas. Secondly, electric cars take more emissions to create than petrol or diesel cars. This isn’t to say that EVs aren’t better for the environment than petrol or diesel cars, they are. But not driving at all is a much cleaner option than driving an EV to work every day.
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Four ways Ireland could build more homes and rail with €0 additional spending, from Progress Ireland’s submission to Budget 2027. 1/
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Delivering Metrolink the way that the best-performing countries do could save the state up to €14.9 billion. MetroLink’s forecasted cost ranges from €9.5 billion to €24.4 billion for 18.8km, or €505m to €1,300m per kilometre. The cheapest metros, in places like Spain and Finland, come in at $100m to $200m per kilometre. Ireland could follow the example of the best systems by ensuring the Metrolink delivery agency is staffed with experts and given enough autonomy to drive value for money.
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