1/ Puckometry: NHL analysis built purely on the numbers. puckometry-eight.vercel.app/ Full profiles for every player. Team pages with lineups, cap sheets and prospects. GM Mode, where you run any club and every signing and trade gets graded. Plus a blog breaking it all down. What makes it different

Edmonton is a 77% favorite in tonight's Battle of Alberta (8:30 PM ET). Calgary actually has the better 5v5 shot share, 52.0% Corsi to 47.9%, but the Oilers' power play is running at 35.0%. #NHL #LetsGoOilers

Leafs at Kraken, 10 PM ET, is close to a coin flip with Toronto at 54%. Special teams are the gap. Toronto's PK is at 93.6% to Seattle's 70.6%, and the Leafs' power play is converting 28.9%. #NHL #LeafsForever

The Flyers come into Washington at 3-7-4 and our model gives them a 31% chance tonight (7:30 PM ET). The Capitals lead five of the seven categories. Philly's lone edge is a penalty kill at 83.0%. #NHL #ALLCAPS

Our model has Colorado at 55% tonight against the Devils (9 PM ET). New Jersey has been the better 5v5 team, 60.1 xGF% to 50.0, but the Avs are riding a 105.7 PDO. Process against bounces in Denver. #NHL #GoAvsGo

Utah matched Minnesota in xG, 3.30 to 3.23, but the Wild scored three straight from late in the second through the third to win 3-1. Quinn Hughes had two assists and the best game score in the building at +1.54. #NHL #mnwild

St. Louis put 46 shots and 4.95 expected goals on Montreal and got nothing for it. The Canadiens won 2-0 on 20 shots, with goals from Zachary Bolduc and Florian Xhekaj. A goaltending result if there ever was one. #NHL #GoHabsGo

Buffalo outshot San Jose 40-23 and won 2-0. Olen Zellweger opened the scoring 50 seconds into the second and Zach Benson sealed it late in the third. The Sabres led in xG 4.43 to 2.73. #NHL #LetsGoBuffalo

Carter Verhaeghe scored twice in the first 10:18 and Florida cruised in Winnipeg, 5-1. Expected goals were close at 3.29 to 3.09, so this one came down to finishing. Panthers PDO on the night was 116.8. #NHL #TimeToHunt

Nico Hischier scored twice before the second period was a minute old and the Devils rolled in Dallas, 5-1. Luke Hughes led New Jersey with a +0.97 game score. #NHL #NJDevils

Carolina outshot Boston 30-15 and nearly doubled them in xG, 3.88 to 2.05, but still needed Sebastian Aho at 10:19 of the third to win 2-1. Jackson Blake had the best game score on the ice at +1.35. #NHL #CauseChaos

The Blackhawks were 32% underdogs before puck drop and beat the Kings 2-1. Wyatt Kaiser's goal at 7:17 of the third flipped it from 41% to 74%. Patrick Kane posted Chicago's top game score at +1.03. #NHL #Blackhawks

Tied 1-1 early in the third, Vegas pulled away with three straight. Raphael Lavoie's goal at 8:01 was the turning point, moving the Golden Knights from 54% to 84% to win. Final, 4-1. #NHL #VegasBorn

The Islanders scored the first three goals, watched Nashville climb all the way back on Ryan O'Reilly's tying goal in the third, then took it in a shootout. Expected goals were nearly dead even at 3.60 to 3.45. #NHL #Isles

Vancouver trailed 5-2 midway through the third in Anaheim and won anyway. Jonathan Lekkerimäki scored twice in the comeback and Filip Hronek finished it 4:49 into overtime. The Canucks led in xG all night, 4.17 to 2.43. #NHL #Canucks

The Flyers were down 3-0 after one, tied it with 11 seconds left on Drysdale's goal, and still lost. Kent Johnson ended it 2:22 into overtime. Philly won the xG battle 3.65 to 1.81 and outshot Columbus 31-15. #NHL #LetsGoFlyers

Christian Dvorak finished +1.60 above his season-average game score against Columbus, the best mark of the night. Three of the top five were Flyers, which makes the 4-3 OT loss sting more. Alexandre Carrier had the roughest night at -1.79. #NHL