@PunkPredictor

AI valuations for CryptoPunks See your profit, grade & edge vs fair value 👇 https://xitter.cf/t.co/O1tlwCficS

PunkPredictor.xyz
Joined March 2024
  • Tweets4.6K
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  • Followers1K
4KMedia
I built Collector Briefs: a weekly email about your Punks ● What changed ● Sales and bids around your collection ● What price to sell at ● What you can expect if you prefer to borrow ● Few details you might have missed Here’s Wilcox’s punkpredictor.xyz/me
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CryptoPunk 5084 was bought for 31 ETH versus PunkPredictor's 33.49 ETH estimate and the 29.19 ETH floor. Seller 5762 held it for 7 days and exited at 31 ETH for a 2.27 ETH profit after acquiring it for 28.73 ETH.
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ultracleanpunks bought CryptoPunk 6897 for 28.99 ETH, just below PunkPredictor's 29.15 ETH estimate and the 29.19 ETH floor. The seller exited after about 3 hours with a 0.55 ETH profit on a 28.44 ETH basis.
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0x22d7... ranks as a top 1.4% trader in the scorecard. 2 punks. +180.8 ETH realized. punkpredictor.xyz/share/wall…
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CryptoPunk 6897 was bought for 28.44 ETH, below PunkPredictor’s 30.52 ETH estimate and the 30.5 ETH floor. The seller exited after about 6 years, turning a 26.49 ETH basis into a 1.95 ETH profit.
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CryptoPunk 9176 was bought for 30.5 ETH, below PunkPredictor’s 34.31 ETH estimate and right at the 30.5 ETH floor. The seller had held it for about 6 years and exited with about 12 ETH in profit.
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JiaoJuly bought CryptoPunk 4381 for 31 ETH versus PunkPredictor's 39.97 ETH estimate and the 30.69 ETH floor. Clown Hair Green appears on only 148 CryptoPunks.
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CryptoPunk 2486 was bought for 29 ETH, below PunkPredictor’s 29.42 ETH estimate and the 30.69 ETH floor. It found a buyer about 1 minute after the latest ask.
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Oct 19-25 recap: 21 Punks were bought this week, and we priced every one before it hit. Within ~15.2% on average. Closest call: Punk #1930 was bought for 29.98Ξ vs the model's 30.37Ξ. Biggest market surprise: Punk #4405 was bought for 88Ξ, ~109.8% above where the market had it. Someone overpaid ~46.06Ξ. The more useful question: how much edge have you left on the table? Drop your wallet in and every Punk in your wallet history gets scored against fair value at the time. Your best steals, your biggest donations, the ETH you walked away from. Free, no wallet connect: punkpredictor.xyz/wallet?utm… (Full access: 7 of 20 seats open. Top 15%? Your wallet page will tell you if you qualify for 7 days free.)
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CryptoPunk 3662 was bought for 30 ETH versus PunkPredictor's 28.98 ETH estimate and the 30 ETH floor, from 5762. 5762 exited with a 0.85 ETH profit relative to a 29.15 ETH basis after holding for about 21 hours.
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CryptoPunk 9404 was bought for 29.5 ETH, just below PunkPredictor's 29.89 ETH estimate and the 30.7 ETH floor, from dopepunks.eth. dopepunks.eth exited with a 0.2 ETH loss versus a 29.7 ETH basis after about 6 months.
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5762 bought CryptoPunk 3662 for 29.15 ETH, below PunkPredictor’s 30.37 ETH estimate. The seller exited after about 12 months with an 8.75 ETH loss versus a 37.9 ETH basis.
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3 Punk loan events (3 defaults). Total 76.9 ETH. - Punk 7221 DEFAULT: 30.0 ETH, 81.9% orig LTV, 87.7% LTV at default on GONDI - Punk 3262 DEFAULT: 23.5 ETH, 71.0% orig LTV, 72.0% LTV at default on GONDI - Punk 7332 DEFAULT: 23.5 ETH, 63.4% orig LTV, 64.4% LTV at default on GONDI
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CryptoPunk 3262 defaulted on GONDI after borrower 0x571… failed to repay 23.5 ETH. The 30-day loan opened at 71.0% LTV, slipped to 72.0% at default. CirrusNFT, usually a steady hand with 1.8% defaults, records its 10th loss and second with this borrower.
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CryptoPunk 7332 defaulted on a 23.5 ETH loan on GONDI. The 30 day note at 14.0% APR began at 63.4% LTV and edged to 64.4% when borrower 0x571... missed repayment. Veteran lender CirrusNFT, holder of 568 loans, now claims the Punk, the second default in their six deals with this wallet.
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PunksOTC bought CryptoPunk 5264 from 5762 for 31 ETH, below PunkPredictor’s 33.5 ETH estimate and just above the 30.7 ETH floor.
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5762 bought CryptoPunk 5264 from Maxand98 for 30.24 ETH, below PunkPredictor’s 33.5 ETH estimate. Maxand98 held it about 2.1 years and exited at a 1.26 ETH loss versus a 31.5 ETH basis.
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0x9ddf... ranks as a top 12.7% trader in the scorecard. 2 punks. 6B/6S last 30d. +8.6 ETH realized. punkpredictor.xyz/share/wall…
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PunkPredictor has been live and predicting for 3,700 CryptoPunk sales Typical accuracy: 95.35%. A reference for your next pricing decision. Full track record: punkpredictor.xyz/performanc…
PunkPredictor: 3,700 tracked CryptoPunk sales, 95.35% typical accuracy (100 minus median absolute percentage error). Chart shows the full history of cumulative median accuracy, ending at the headline value.

ALT PunkPredictor: 3,700 tracked CryptoPunk sales, 95.35% typical accuracy (100 minus median absolute percentage error). Chart shows the full history of cumulative median accuracy, ending at the headline value.

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xuhaozheng.eth of sancrypt bought CryptoPunk 8879 for 45 ETH, below PunkPredictor’s 47.35 ETH estimate and above the 30.98 ETH floor. From Miro_X_AI.
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0x8e7d... ranks as a top 2.8% collector in the scorecard. 4 punks. +240.0 ETH realized. punkpredictor.xyz/share/wall…
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