I talk about Canadian 🇨🇦 Oil | Low cost-of-supply permabull | Won some cool awards 🏆 | Not a qualified financial advisor, but a very qualified SAGD expert ♨️

Calgary, Alberta
Joined May 2020
Me watching Suncor $SU.TO watching others acquire each other... 😐🪒
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That is also why $LGN.V is gone. CEO just confirmed on BNN....RIP. 🪦🫡🪒
Nuvista was purchased b/ of this molecule: Hexane (and Pentane) aka diluent, aka condensate, aka condy, aka liquid rich cut, aka oil/liquid phase rich...you get the idea... $ARX.TO is the other one with the highest composition wt% in it's flow rate🫡🪒
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Chinese merger idea between Cenovus and Suncor will be called Cen-Sun lolz 😂🪒
Yeah, the Chinese could buy and merge They could call it Cen-Sun🤔
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With Cenovus acquiring MEG Energy and Athabasca while Ovintiv picks up NuVista and Logan, the next step could be the funniest thing ever: the two companies merging to form a new company called Encana.🫥🪒
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Logan halted and getting acquired by $OVV.TO Management teams identified the “asset collectors” and front running their M&A moves. $ATH.TO gone…If you produce liquids in the Montney at >40% you won’t exist...same happened to Arc and Nuvista, Condy is too valuable. Another one gone… soon there won’t be nothing to discuss. RIP Logan 🪦🫡🪒
Reminder: We have an active and very sophisticated asset collector in the Canadian thermal market. Bears will do bears things, but reality is reality. I don't make the rulez. I know some executive dudes are following me for the untouched thermal assets. You guys know what's up. Deploy cash now! get aggressive now!! OR prepare to be eaten. 🫡🪒
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$CVE Cenovus Energy Q326 Preview
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The Sep-26 reported monthly OIL production rate for $SCR.TO STRATHCONA RESOURCES LTD. TUCKER LAKE SAGD asset was 22,660 bbl/d. Previous month oil production was 22,613 bbl/d, yielding change in production oil rate of +0.2%.The average injected STEAM rate was 107,751 bbl/d from the identified 92 SAGD injectors, with overall Steam to Oil Ratio of 4.75. Source: AER, Petrinex 🫡🪒
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Flushing contributed but for September 250,000 bbl/d 🫡🪒
The Jul-26 reported monthly OIL production rate for $CVE.TO Cenovus Energy FOSTER CREEK SAGD asset was 245,637 bbl/d. Previous month oil production was 185,953 bbl/d, yielding change in production oil rate of +32%. Now, context here is important as production was down in June for maintenance and now restored+ flush production. The average in prior months was closer to 226,000 bbl/d. Expecting further flush in August numbers. In July, the average injected STEAM rate was 539,068 bbl/d from the identified 228 SAGD injectors, with overall Steam to Oil Ratio of 2.2 Source: AER, Petrinex 🫡🪒
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Razor Oil retweeted
they gonna get acquired thats why.
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Everyone enjoying some good ol' shake and bake? 😗🪒
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The Sep-26 reported monthly OIL production rate for former MEG ENERGY CORP. $CVE.TO Christina Lake North asset was 116,772 bbl/d. Previous month oil production was 115,076 bbl/d, yielding change in production oil rate of +1.47%. The average injected STEAM rate was 243,638 bbl/d from the identified 152 SAGD injectors, with overall Steam to Oil Ratio of 2.0 This number is going to 150,000 bbl/d in the upcoming years. Data source: AER, Petrinex 🫡🪒
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$ATH.TO Leismer asset completed cored wells and image log wells within the development area boundaries. This is not unique to this asset. These companies are not "E&P" Exploration and Production companies but should be seen as oil manufacturing businesses. The geology and oil in place is well understood and derisked. As shown below, between 2010-2015 , Statoil/Equinor spent significant amount of capital studying the asset resulting in drilling of Pad L8 in recent years, and the rest is history. The reality of having a paid for CPF producing 40,000 bbl/d from this resource for the next 50 years is not appreciated.🫡🪒
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One important observation I have noticed from people on X commenting, often emotionally, while closely following the price action of a stock: everyone seems to be a great historian and prophet of cash flows and prices, yet I rarely see any real analysis of the assets themselves....like the quality of these assets what the future looks like for these assets.... There’s little discussion of geology, development, or the certainty of delivering future barrels. After all, isn’t that the most important thing about a business, as an example: its ability to spend less and produce more of something? Or in other words being low cost of supply for longer...But no, the easy shiny object is the oil price, which is simple to understand and watch, and that’s about it. $100 Good, $60 Bad...due diligence accomplished....So sad....🫡🪒
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API Inventory Moves 10/20. Welp... Crude -4.93 million (est. -1.3 million) Gasoline -2.0 million Distillates -2.6 million Cushing +900,000 SPR actual -300,000 #oott #gasline #crudeoil #API #distillates
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Razor Oil retweeted
French school students understandably upset about repeated failures to find replacement teachers for their romantic poetry classes
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New recovery scheme CAGD- Cone Assisted Gravity Drainage 🫡🪒
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