Say no to multiple arbitrage. https://xitter.cf/t.co/PKZxXdYUJp

Joined May 2011
Choose compute Choose HBM. Choose CoWoS. Choose X-ray metrology. Choose a fucking big SiC fab. Choose substrates, T-glass substrates. Choose PCBs. Choose a japanese bottleneck and wondering who the fuck you are on a Sunday morning reading about tungsten drills. Choose returns.
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Part of managing money is that despite some good runs the market always humbles you. It's always somewhat painful, but the sooner you listen the more profitable despite the pain.
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October, always such a treat
Waking up, beautiful morning, getting ready for the customary spanking on the markets later on 🫠
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The chart of the Canadian banks (TD for example) is absolutely horrible. Highest valuation is many years too. Idk why I shorted those and bought housebuilders, in which world do I win?
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Narrator: Charts don't matter
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I hate earnings season
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I see we are getting excited on ARR renting GPUs and people still debate if there's a bubble
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You know the oil price is unsustainably high when even the Kurdistan producers are... Starting to drill again!!
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short ANT
Replying to @AnthropicAI
Working with @citrini, we asked Claude to design proteins that bind to five scorpion toxins (covering the part of the toxin that latches onto cells). Over the next 64 hours, Claude generated over 300,000 designs; we sent 211 to @adaptyvbio and @TwistBioscience for lab testing.
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A lot of charts looking like this, wouldn't be short these...
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The vibes are bad. AI seems totally bust, no resulting of Hormuz and real rates are too high. Not the ideal environment for me, but I just hope copper gets murdered (long overdue)
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I have 11.5% of my pf in European AI plays, P&L today is 130bps of losses. I see, we might not be curing cancer next year?
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I am not buying more, but many homebuilders refuse to make new lows even after that print
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So the AI build out is going to crowd out housing and the real economy but at the same time AI is so over
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Rodrigo Benedetti retweeted
Many $QURE bulls are posting this but has anyone looked at what it shows? None of the 4 comparisons were statistically significant (even without correcting for multiple comparisons which would require a much lower p value). Look at the error bars on those charts...
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It's all taken from the Elon/Trump playbook. 'merica! Need your moneys please
"Think of it as the opposite of HSBC. They were banking the cartels, desperately trying to avoid government interventions that would make that clear to the public markets." @PalmerLuckey explains how Erebor is different from every other bank: "Put Erebor at the other end of that spectrum." "There are a lot of banks that — whether they are good or bad people is irrelevant — you might have good people who nonetheless are very beholden to European markets, Chinese markets, other foreign markets that they need to keep happy. Either because they want to keep them happy to make money, or because they don't want their executives in those jurisdictions to get arrested." "Erebor is taking a very different approach. We're an American company, we're an American bank, that supports American companies, and we will comply with US law, but we will not comply with spurious rulings from people who have no real jurisdiction or authority over us. And you'll have a very hard time finding a bank that takes that position. I'm not aware of any other than us."
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These exchanges are reminiscent of 2021
Remarkable alpha: dismiss the study’s lead scientist’s warnings about small N and mean reversion a week before the data, add more, watch your pet stock crater 60%, then ridicule the guy who traded the pump while you bagheld the dump. 🤡 Watch the cycle repeat if it's approved.
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There's the hero made by the bubble and the critical thinker. Some people really have only one neuronal path working at the same time, and they can't hold opposing views at the same time. As I've grown older, I think being able to do it is a small superpower.
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These exchanges are reminiscent of 2021
Remarkable alpha: dismiss the study’s lead scientist’s warnings about small N and mean reversion a week before the data, add more, watch your pet stock crater 60%, then ridicule the guy who traded the pump while you bagheld the dump. 🤡 Watch the cycle repeat if it's approved.
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Oil up 3% and bonds green... A baggie can dream
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Down when the market goes down, flat when the market goes up... The definition of a shitty pf
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