week 9 look ahead bets
NYG -102 at Phi (biggest edge)
NEP -2.5 v GB
TB +6.5 at Chi
Jax/Bal o48.5
Det/Mia o48.5 (biggest total edge)
Buf/Min u48.5
Power Ratings after 7 weeks
Spread between Seattle and everyone else grew.
Looks like moving Phi to #31 after Jalen got hurt was the right move.
Our NYG +350 NFCE bet had a big week!
Really enjoyed the way both QB’s played.
Got lucky to hit that over but also could’ve hit in the third quarter
SH8Model retweeted
In 25 years, Pardon The Interruption has covered many athletes across many sports.
@RealMikeWilbon and Tony Kornheiser discuss the most important stars they have talked about 🍿
SH8Model retweeted
Why has the #DallasCowboys star-studded offense gone silent under Brian Schottenheimer in 2026? Here is a look at the schematic changes from 2025 to 2026 that have Dallas’ attack scuffling the last two weeks. My latest for CBS Sports:
cbssports.com/nfl/news/cowbo…
SH8Model retweeted
8th. The over tax (hidden finding)
The biggest surprise of this whole test was hiding inside the player props.....but it also makes sense.
Sportsbooks price overs too high. Across 215,532 DraftKings props, overs were priced to hit 49.6% once the vig was removed, and they hit 48.1%. The gap was close to 2 points in NFL, NBA and MLB, and it showed up at every major sportsbook I graded.
That changes what CLV is worth... Beating a sportsbook's closing number on an under turned into wins 95% of the way. Beating it on an over turned into wins only about a third of the way.
Kalshi showed none of that lean and Novig about half of it, which is a big reason the exchanges carry the weight on props.
