Sa'ad Aw Muse

𝐂𝐈𝐒𝐒 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐜𝐲 𝐁𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐟 | 𝐒𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐠𝐢𝐜 𝐀𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝐔.𝐒.-𝐈𝐬𝐫𝐚𝐞𝐥 𝐖𝐚𝐫 𝐨𝐧 𝐈𝐫𝐚𝐧 - This policy brief analyzes the pre-war drivers, key strategic aspirations of the actors involved, and post-war trajectories of the 2026 U.S.-Israel-Iran war. The scope of the war has engulfed the entire region and would shape new regional realities after the end of hostilities. The complex nature of regional dynamics means the future order would be shaped by enduring structural drivers and a limited number of high-impact uncertainties. The future of Middle Eastern geostrategic order after the end of the war would not converge towards a single, strategic equilibrium. - The war was not triggered by a single incident but resulted from a convergence of several factors: collapse of nuclear diplomacy, intensifying regional rivalries, and the normalization of force as statecraft. The Strait of Hormuz emerged as a central economic and geopolitical flashpoint, while Israel’s regional military posture and Washington’s regime-change ambitions further escalated tensions. The issue of Iran’s nuclear programme underlay the U.S.-Iran tensions. 𝐑𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐅𝐮𝐥𝐥 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐜𝐲 𝐁𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐟: ciss.org.pk/policy-brief-apr… • • 🔗 𝐡𝐭𝐭𝐩𝐬://𝐜𝐢𝐬𝐬.𝐨𝐫𝐠.𝐩𝐤 🏛 𝐂𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫 𝐅𝐨𝐫 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐒𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐠𝐢𝐜 𝐒𝐭𝐮𝐝𝐢𝐞𝐬 📘𝐅𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐰 𝐂𝐈𝐒𝐒: 𝐟| 𝐗| 𝐢𝐧| 📸| 📱 #US #Pakistan #Iran