Seahawk Nerd (@SeahawkNerd) header
Seahawk Nerd (@SeahawkNerd) profile picture

Professional data analyst bringing mathematical thinking to all things Seattle Seahawks and the NFL. https://xitter.gq/t.co/4EWmPSFbd2

Joined May 2021
Photo by Seahawk Nerd (@SeahawkNerd)Photo by Seahawk Nerd (@SeahawkNerd)Photo by Seahawk Nerd (@SeahawkNerd)Photo by Seahawk Nerd (@SeahawkNerd)Photo by Seahawk Nerd (@SeahawkNerd)Photo by Seahawk Nerd (@SeahawkNerd)Photo by Seahawk Nerd (@SeahawkNerd)Photo by Seahawk Nerd (@SeahawkNerd)Photo by Seahawk Nerd (@SeahawkNerd)Photo by Seahawk Nerd (@SeahawkNerd)
Hubbard accounted for 41% of the Panthers offensive yards Watson had 8 catches for 113 yards Young had 209 passing yards Love had 3 passing TDs Jacobs ran in a TD Final score 27-19
Panthers vs Packers thoughts before kickoff: I think Hubbard gets quite a few receptions and the GB offense runs through Watson. Would expect GB to win this game and Bryce Young to be held under pass 250 yards. 2 TDs for Love, 1 for Jacobs, final score something like 24-17
10
733
Called it
Panthers OL continues to struggle as the Packers have gotten a pressure on 47.6% of dropbacks and Bryce has been down tremendously bad when pressured (via @SumerSports)
2
467
Seahawk Nerd retweeted
The Chiefs are signing kicker Justin Tucker to the practice squad, a source tells The Star.
1,494
3,972
296
39,770
2,028,104
Seahawk Nerd retweeted
"OK let's bracket JSN and get four eyes on him. Let's jam him at the line, too. That'll do it." *33 yards later*
36
93
20
2,798
219,312
I'd trade a 3rd for Adonai
15
1
29
5,698
Seahawk Nerd retweeted
The NFL Trade Deadline is expected to have a lot of fireworks Here's 20 trade candidates estimated values Let me know who else you'd like to see or check yourself on syndicate32.com/trademachine (use scenario adjustments for most accurate projection)
After talking to several NFL teams and GMs over the last hour, my expectation is the trade deadline will be even crazier than anticipated. Chicago’s all-in move will cause other teams to react and try to be bold as well. In the words of one source: “All hell is going to break loose over the next week and a half. Get your popcorn ready.” 🍿🍿🍿
40
33
14
552
313,009
Panthers vs Packers thoughts before kickoff: I think Hubbard gets quite a few receptions and the GB offense runs through Watson. Would expect GB to win this game and Bryce Young to be held under pass 250 yards. 2 TDs for Love, 1 for Jacobs, final score something like 24-17
2
1
11
1,910
Seahawk Nerd retweeted
Rashod Bateman
86
515
173
5,365
630,715
The Bears are coming into Lumen Field for a loud, raucous, primetime home game against a Seahawks defense that is still the best in the NFL. Would expect to see Chicago suffer from false starts and offensive holding in this game. Could be a very rough night for the Bears offense.
#CHIvsSEA officiating crew cheat sheet Seattle is 7-4 all-time w' referee Shawn Smith, the most recent win their dominant 29-13 SuperBowl LX victory in February Seattle has only played two of their 11 games w' Smith at home, w' an 0-2 SU & ATS record, w' those games dating back to the Pete Carroll era An above avg 51% of #Bears overall penalties are via OFF-HOLD/FALSE STARTS, far higher than the #NFL avg of 39.6% Chicago ranks as the No.1 penalized ROAD team for OFFENSIVE HOLDING Seattle rank as a top 5 penalized team for FALSE STARTS Shawn Smith's crew have adopted a "let 'em play" approach in 2026, averaging the third FEWEST penalties per game However,of penalties called this season, they have assessed a disproportionately high 51% of their overall penalties via OFFENSIVE HOLDING & FALSE START It goes without saying, whichever team navigates that combination the best has a big advantage on MNF w' these guys in charge The @ChicagoBears offense is a top five BENEFICIARY of AUTOMATIC 1st DOWNS via penalty This crew's "let 'em play" approach has resulted in them awarding the second FEWEST AUTOMATIC 1ST DOWNS via penalty in 2026 The one area Smith's crew have focused on defensively is DEFENSIVE HOLDING The Seahawks rank as the No.1 BENEFICIARY & No.1 most penalized team for UNNECESSARY ROUGHNESS No referee has called more UNNECESSARY ROUGHNESS penalties dating back to 2023 than Shawn Smith, although he hasn't enforced it at the same rate in 2026 Those are some key points Chicago has reduced the PRE-SNAP infractions compared to last season, but it still looms as an issue, especially in Seattle & vs this defense The game itself, if Caleb Williams & Ben Johnson get a win vs Seattle in their house in a primetime window, it would represent a power shift in the NFL That may be easier said than done though Additionally, this could be a preview to a potential playoff game between these teams in January, & the outcome will have ramifications for home field in the NFC Seattle put it all together vs KC last week, recapturing the form that saw them win it all in 2025 Chicago's offensive firepower will make this contest more competitive, but defense wins championships And the @Seahawks "Dark Side" defense will be the best unit on the field in this match-up & they would benefit big-time if Smith's crew "let em play" vs a high powered Chicago offense Thats enough for me to side w' Seattle again this week, getting the win & cover as -3 pt favorites at home on #MNF #DaBears #GoHawks
3
1
98
2,864
Seahawk Nerd retweeted
Mike Macdonald confirms that Quenton Nelson will play left guard for the Seahawks -- the only position he's played in the NFL -- and that Grey Zabel will move to right guard.
11
51
28
1,364
148,070
Seahawks designated RB Jadarian Price for return to practice.
37
826
Dreaming of a world where Seattle makes a move for Rashod Bateman...
16
70
9,107
Wait I actually kinda agree with this. Saying they stunk is harsh but if the bar is top 5 offense then yeah they stunk since the Dolphins game. Weeks 3 through 5 pre-Mike Evans injury, SF was 15th in EPA per play in a neutral game script. I'm not bullish on them going forward...
This was such a bad take it had @grantcohn stunned. I myself was stunned. #FTTB || #49ers
25
1
74
12,633
The Seattle Seahawks are taking on a team a tier above them, the Chicago Bears, on Monday Night Football this week. Big opportunity to prove that the team from Weeks 1-6 is behind them.
Week 8 Power Rankings The NFC North is absolutely stacked and the Ravens miss Lamar. Current projected playoff picture: 1 seed - SF / BUF 2 seed - MIN / JAX 3 seed - ATL / KC 4 seed - NYG / CIN 5 seed - CHI / NE 6 seed - GB / DEN 7 seed - SEA / PIT
6
46
6,795
Week 8 Power Rankings The NFC North is absolutely stacked and the Ravens miss Lamar. Current projected playoff picture: 1 seed - SF / BUF 2 seed - MIN / JAX 3 seed - ATL / KC 4 seed - NYG / CIN 5 seed - CHI / NE 6 seed - GB / DEN 7 seed - SEA / PIT
4
1
1
13
8,995
A Macdonald/Flores game in the wild card round would feed families
2
521
Seahawk Nerd retweeted
Rebuilt box score site to be a million times faster and have more information about the game. Check it out rbsdm.com/box_scores/#2025_2…
39
17
5
402
36,029
Just remembered the Chargers took Quentin Johnston over Zay Flowers and chuckled
1
22
1,242
YaYa Diaby? 🤔
The Seahawks could continue to be active at the trade deadline, per @JFowlerESPN “Seattle has already made a move with the deal for Pro Bowl guard Quenton Nelson. Edge rusher and running back are positions Seahawks GM John Schneider could monitor, as well.”
7
104
4,913
Seahawk Nerd retweeted
Interesting. Quenton Nelson wanted to be traded to a contender and chose Seattle, which offered less draft compensation than other teams who were interested. Good on the Colts organization for doing right by him.
The Commanders were never an option for Quenton Nelson per source. The Colts wanted to send Nelson where he wanted to go, and to a contender, and they took less compensation to do so. They think VERY highly of Q. Don’t crash out Washington fans, it was never happening.
34
77
7
3,401
145,931