Melbourne, Victoria
Joined December 2010
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Saving this one for the weekend bike ride. Always love Joe's work.
I was on Joe Walker's podcast.
It is easy to be a good guest when you have a good host.
Cc @joewalkerpod
youtu.be/GY5YyPLfqp0?si=OUAS…
Spoiler alert that isn't a spoiler: he'll be nauseatingly pro United's title chances #NBL27
Sublime coaching from Will Weaver. Came with a plan which was well executed by his troops. They continue to defy the odds, finding wins where few others thought possible #NBL27
Seb Greenway retweeted
Your parents won’t be here to watch you grow old. Your partner never knew the little child you once were. And your children may never truly realize how young you were when you raised them.
You are the only person who will witness every version of yourself, from the beginning until the very end. The child you once were, the person you are today, and the person you are still becoming.
So, be gentle with yourself. Take care of yourself.
Seb Greenway retweeted
BESTON & GREENWAY: NBL Quarterback Season Report
- NBL Q1: How is the league tracking?
- Schedule, intensity & injuries
- Are players complaining too much?
- Round 7 Picks
- Unqualified Wisdom
#NBL27
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/6WH…
Apple Podcasts - podcasts.apple.com/au/podcas…
Seb Greenway retweeted
BESTON & GREENWAY: NBL Round 5 Review
- Is coaching underrated and talent overrated in the NBL?
- Isaac Humphries retires
- Round 6 Predict the Lines and Picks
- Unqualified Wisdom
#NBL27
Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/3pl…
Apple Podcasts - podcasts.apple.com/au/podcas…
The Oracle is built on a handicap model so it's unlikely to see value in ML.
NBL Oracle: SEM v Brisbane
Tip: SEM by 10 (78%)
Bet: SEM -7.5 @ $1.90, covers 59% on its numbers. Bullets without Velicka a big factor. #NBL27
NBL Oracle: NZ v Sydney (Canberra)
Tip: Sydney by 9 (76%).
Bet: Breakers +13.5 @ $1.91, covers 64% on the numbers. My view is Sydney probably cover though. #NBL27
Seb Greenway retweeted
BESTON & GREENWAY: NBL Round 4 Review
- The Davis v Cotton Feud
- Breakers lose PJC. Who can blame Herbert for frustration?
- Raul Neto to Brisbane
- Buy Cairns or still skeptical?
- Round 5 Picks
#NBL27
Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/2HD…
Apple Podcasts: podcasts.apple.com/au/podcas…
NBL Oracle: Cairns v Illawarra
Tip: Illawarra by 5 (66%)
Bet: Illawarra -1.5 @ $1.91, covers 61% on my numbers. H2H $1.83 also value.
Market has it near even after the Hawks' slow start, so Oracle calling the bluff. #NBL27
NBL Oracle: Adelaide v Sydney
Tip: Sydney by 10 (78%)
Line: Sydney -9.5 covers 52% on my numbers
Bet: none. The market's right on the Oracle's number. #NBL27
Good catch. Model didn't initially count for PJC, adjusted numbers are:
Tip: Perth by 6 (67%)
Bet: Breakers +8.5 @ $1.89, covers 59% on the numbers Model doesn't factor in +/- for Knight yet. Needs more data. #NBL27
NBL Oracle: NZ v Perth
Tip: Perth by 2 (56%)
Bet: Breakers +8.5 @ $1.89, covers 70% on my numbers.
Market has Perth -8.5 with Knight debuting. Big gap, according to the Oracle #NBL27
NBL Oracle: Melbourne v SEM
Tip: SEM by 3 (61%)
Bet: SEM +2.5 @ $1.94, covers 68% on my numbers. H2H $2.18 also value.
Market has United -2.5, so model is well apart. #NBL27
Sorry for the late tweet, eating tacos and beers. NBL Oracle: Tasmania v Illawarra
Tip: Illawarra by 1.5 (55%)
Line: Illawarra -1.5 is a coin flip on my numbers (50%)
Bet: none. The market's right on my number tonight. #NBL27
On the one hand, apparently we got "fleeced" by the Saints for giving pick 14 for Marshall, yet on the other apparently it's unfair we bring in players and need to be banned from the trade period? I can't keep up.
NBL Oracle: Brisbane v Cairns
> Tip: Cairns by 4 (62%)
> Line: Cairns -2.5 covers 55% on my numbers
The market's come to us (Cairns in from $1.90 to $1.68), so the value's gone. #NBL27