Ryan (@Section31ops) header
Ryan (@Section31ops) profile picture

Finance World. Compare my predictions to your furu. Not advice.

Joined December 2010
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I'm voting against the next candidate that texts me.
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BREAKING: The Iran war has now cost the US more than $47 billion, according to estimates from US military officials reported by The Washington Post. That’s more than $3 billion added in just the past several weeks, according to a document the Post reviewed.
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$GOOG - If the stock cannot reclaim $294.63 within 3 bars, this is not a mean reversion setup, it is a continuation lower.
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312 AD : Constantine I won the Battle of the Milvian Bridge and converted to Christianity. reportedly after seeing a cross in the sky bearing the words "In this sign, conquer." - Vivat Jesus
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well market liked those extra meetings
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US 10 year forecast
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$VEA is on get out of dodge watch. not time to leave yet, but soon.
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$XLI is on get out of dodge watch. not time to leave yet, but soon.
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I would be looking for the exit with $XLU
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JUST IN: Pentagon tells Congress the Iran military operation has cost American taxpayers $47,100,000,000.00.
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$SPX $SPY we have been battling liquidity issues and thus the range.
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Because the bought all the domain names that end in SI
BREAKING: President Trump says he is banning the terms “Artificial Intelligence” and “AI.”
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$SPX - Dealers are structurally set up for a violent move but the market hasn't repriced that risk into realized volatility yet. looks like a classic calm before the storm & the options market structure is primed to amplify a selloff. If price breaks down through the gamma trough (toward 7,400–7,500), the vol should expand sharply to catch up to where the throttle says it "should" be.
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Some morning meditation and coffee before mass.
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this morning the auto-forecast lined up with exactly this $TLT
I still see a chance for the US 10 year to hit 6%-ish and not because there is a problem.
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BYU got hosed on that roughing the kicker
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BREAKING: Executives at an Alaska gas venture tied to a Trump family friend have left after raising concerns about hidden Russian financing, per The New York Times and Financial Times. The company, Polar LNG, has sought US approval to buy equipment from a sanctioned Russian gas project owned largely by Novatek. One of its investors is Gentry Beach, a friend of Donald Trump Jr. Beach also said he separately signed a deal with Novatek last fall to develop gas in Alaska. According to the reports, Novatek allegedly concealed its financial involvement through a UAE-linked intermediary. CEO Joel Riddle, who raised concerns about the financing and possible sanctions violations, left in September, followed by other executives, who urged the administration to investigate. Vladimir Putin reportedly discussed Alaska energy cooperation with Trump envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner during Russia–Ukraine talks. The White House says the project came up only briefly, and there’s no evidence Witkoff or Kushner knew of the alleged financing. Polar LNG denies wrongdoing.
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Pope Leo is that guy. He woke up from surgery, said mass and started making calls to Putin and Zelensky. Now a Ceasefire has been SECURED in Oleshky.
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Astonishing. I've been tracking Trump admin corruption and self-dealing for the last 20 months. Here are 10 stories (!!!) from just the last three weeks. Literally. Every single one from October.
JD Vance: "I've not seen a single shred of evidence that Donald Trump participates or sanctions in that corruption ... I've not once seen evidence that Donald Trump has enriched himself"
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US President Trump invokes the Defense Production Act of 1950 to boost domestic oil production and refining. The order would allow the White House to use tax payer money to support oil projects (plus fast-track any project, including oil pipelines). whitehouse.gov/presidential-…
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