CFA. Caution: will tweet a lot (of bad opinions) about sports (NFL/MLB), sabermetrics, movies (especially 00s comedies), and television. Sometimes my dogs too.
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Joined April 2009
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Friends: I started a Substack called "The Analytics Say..." where I'm going to be writing about thoughts that are too long for Twitter.
It is free and will always be free.
My first post is on where does the Royals organization goes from here
theanalyticssay.substack.com…
These are always so dependent on who they cut to playing the saxophone and when they get it right - like here - it fries me
I'll tell you what I did not have 4 game sweep* with a blowout on my bingo card for this World Series unless you just told me the coin landed on heads four straight times for the Brewers
Cool stuff. Having the NGS charting data that's also clickable is really a nice touch
Shaun Newkirk retweeted
My NFL site is finally live! Check out the ultimate interactive playground to deep dive into advanced NFL tracking data and stats such as passing charts, carry charts and route charts.
Data has been updated for yesterday's games.
Move on from the Garrett Wilson to the Chiefs fantasy. It's a first rounder plus for him and it's a late first probably, he's got 4.5 years left on his deal, he's 26, and the Jets aren't going to eat $7M in dead cap. They will be a completely different team in 2027.
Garrett Wilson to Chiefs?
@DangeRussWilson thinks the Chiefs should trade for Garrett Wilson
Ravens path to the playoffs (assuming Lamar plays) still very open even with a loss to Buffalo. RBDSM model has them at 92% with W over JAX/LAC/CAR/TB/PIT (4 home games) without considering other teams games. 2nd image is winning the games FPI favors them currently
FTF had this graphic today, had all these games but Buffalo on my list (which in retrospect should have been inlcuded). There was a game vs Denver I had on my list but it was closer than I remember, though Mahomes had 240 yards 0TD and 2 INT and KC made a ton of errors
I generally think of Karlaftis' pressures being more of the high effort variety than quick winning BUT this year he has the 8th highest quick pressure rate for the top 20 leaders in total pressures (per SumerBrain - Sumer does not disclose how they measure a pressure)
Chiefs defensive EPA/db when Chris Jones does or doesn't get a pressure (per SumerSports)
2026
Pressure −0.068
No pressure −0.072
2025
Pressure −0.406
No pressure +0.011
Like I know it would be a funny outcome but in all seriousness, Kirk Cousins going back to the Vikings would great. He's done pretty well this year despite no receivers and no run game behind him (Vikings have both)
