Ernesto retweeted
Jesse Livermore made and lost fortunes multiple times.
Stan Druckenmiller shorted $200M worth of internet stocks in 1999 and lost $600M within weeks. Every one of those companies eventually went bankrupt. He was right about the businesses but was wrong on timing.
Kristjan Kullamägi grew his account to $105M, then gave back nearly $60M in about eight months.
Dan Zanger turned a five-figure account into $42M, then reportedly suffered a 75% drawdown.
Paul Tudor Jones lost 60 to 70% of the equity he was managing on a single cotton trade. He nearly quit trading.
These are some of the greatest traders to ever do it. People who understood markets better than most ever will. None of that made them immune to devastating losses.
I was doing my usual re-listen of “Best Loser Wins” by Tom Hougaard, and two stories really stayed with me.
One was about Adam, a brilliant trader with extraordinary patience and discipline. He had built great wealth through his trading. Then one heavily leveraged trade went wrong and wiped out nearly half of it.
But that loss alone wasn’t what destroyed him. It was his inability to accept it and move on. He abandoned the discipline that made him successful in the first place, started doubling down, and desperately tried to make it all back fast.
He went on to lose everything. His money, his home, his family. He ended up homeless.
Then Hougaard talks about another friend who had been trading full-time for 15 years.
He never made “f**k you” money. He earned what someone in a well-paid corporate job would. He paid his bills, took his family on vacations, bought a nice car, and was home when his kids got back from school.
We spend so much time admiring huge returns and huge accounts. And rightfully so. They’re worth admiring, even aspiring to. But we rarely talk about what it takes to keep what we’ve made, or what we’re willing to give up chasing more and more.
Very very few end up as Market Wizards. Then there is the guy who is home when his kids get back from school.
Ernesto retweeted
After 16 years of trading, 20,000+ trades...
And $10M+ in total profits. I’ve learned what actually works, and what keeps traders unprofitable.
Here are the 10 most important lessons every successful trader must know:
Dear Nasdaq. If you’re reviewing potentially erroneous trades in $BIYA, these cases deserve the same scrutiny.
Extreme moves should be investigated consistently. @Nasdaq @edu_trades
@agarciacapelo @kelanfar @timothysykes
Ernesto retweeted
Replying to @The_Avg_Bear
thx for this share, it resonated with me more than most trading posts, perhaps because I started on August 1, 2025, almost exactly when your own journey began, and, looking at your results, we even seem to share a remarkably similar month-by-month profitability profile, which probably means that, despite trading different tickers or expressing it through different setups, we are extracting something similar from the market and experiencing many of the same emotional cycles along the way.
the only thing I would try to reduce is the comparison with other traders, because from the outside we can never reconstruct the complete equation, like their starting capital, opportunity set, risk, variance, previous experience, hidden drawdowns, or simply the sequence in which favorable market conditions arrived, and their results are therefore most useful not as a ranking in which we need to locate ourselves, but as evidence of what may be possible.
you honestly seem to have exactly the mindset required to continue: aware that the returns come from exposure to asymmetric and fat-tailed risk, respectful of the possibility of ruin, and still capable of operating without confusing confidence with certainty and in my experience, most of the growth in dollar terms is not unlocked by suddenly becoming ten times better, but by becoming progressively accustomed to higher temperatures, until the same water that once felt unbearably hot begins to feel normal.
I understand completely what you mean about risking an identity rather than merely money, because at one point I did lose both the money and the identity I had built around being a trader, and for a while it felt as though the person I had become had disappeared with the P&L; but what I eventually discovered is that, even if you lose the identity of “the trader who made this amount,” you may replace it with a deeper and more durable one, the identity of a trader who has fallen, lived through everything that comes after the fall, and found that he still possesses the ability to climb back into the saddle and rebuild. At the end of the day , the market can take away your results and, temporarily, your confidence, but it cannot so easily take away the person capable of finding a repeatable risk premium in an extremely hostile environment, nor the knowledge that, having rebuilt yourself once, you may be capable of doing it again.
we appear to be walking almost the same road at almost the same time, so I’ll be following your journey with genuine interest, and for what it’s worth, someone who has survived the first year profitably, with this degree of self-awareness, is very far from being among the worst profitable traders...he is simply standing close enough to a few extreme outliers that his own outlier result has started to look ordinary.
well done, good luck for year number 2.
Ernesto retweeted
Giving away $16,900 in backtesting software 🚨
9 Elite accounts ($1,689.96 each)
+1 for the most-liked setup
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Ernesto retweeted
Start with the truth. The vast majority of people who try this lose money.
The ones who make a living at it are a rounding error.
That's not a reason to quit. It's the reason the rest of this list exists.
We have the regime score easing, the small cap fud mafia group of retards whining louder than ever and definitely easier conditions for short selling small caps.
Time to pull the accelerator harder!
credits to @Small_Cap_Lab
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Ernesto retweeted
Al final, todo es una relación:
- Probabilidad de BLACK SWAN = - EDGE
La clave es encontrar el punto donde sacrificas algo de rendimiento a cambio de una reducción mucho mayor del riesgo.
Y en este mercado, creo que merece la pena dedicar casi más tiempo a estudiar el RIESGO que las propias estrategias.
17/19
Hoy es un día de esos que odio las small caps... nada sale. Abraza la varianza, todo estará bien.
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Ernesto retweeted
Good traders aren’t tense people at war with the market. They’re optimistic, calm, open, and emotionally stable. Trading isn’t about catching every move; it’s about surviving uncertainty without letting fear, greed, regret, or ego hijack the process. The market rewards emotional consistency.
Average change from open, por días.
Está cabrona la cosa para el short últimamente...
créditos a @flash_research
A inspirarse!
La perspectiva del tiempo, confiar en el proceso y rodearte de personas que te impulsen a ser tu mejor versión.
Hoy, sin esperarlo, tuve un record day.
Me senté en la silla del escritorio con mal cuerpo, creo que la cena no me había sentado del todo bien. De hecho, el premarket fue bastante mediocre y apenas iba algo más de un +0,5% arriba en la cuenta.
Pero entonces llegó el trade de VEEE.
Sinceramente, confiaba bastante en él porque este tipo de operaciones últimamente me están saliendo realmente bien. Además, al ver que el precio me daba la razón rápidamente, prácticamente no reduje nada de size.
En este tipo de setup de FRD siempre había pecado de tratarlos como cualquier otro short. Reducía demasiado pronto y no aguantaba el tamaño como debería. Sabía que tenía que aprender a mantener más la posición cuando el contexto acompañara, y esta vez lo hice.
Solo en este trade hice más de $10.000.
Y eso me hace pararme a pensar y reflexionar.
Yo empecé en el trading hace ya muchos años, pero en small caps llevo exactamente dos. En 2024 empecé a operar este mercado en serio de la mano de @XVNTrading , y cuando miro atrás la evolución me parece irreal.
Aunque pensaba que me podía ir bien en este mercado, no esperaba llegar a estos números tan rápido y, sobre todo, con esta consistencia.
En julio de 2024, mi stop loss diario era de unos $50-$100 y mi mejor día no llegó ni a los $50.
En julio de 2025, conseguí mi primer mes superando los $10.000.
Y en julio de 2026, he conseguido hacer esos $10.000 en un solo trade.
¿Qué nos depararán los próximos años? No lo sé.
Pero hay que saber disfrutar de estos momentos, y eso es exactamente lo que estamos haciendo.
Gracias a todos y, en especial, a mi equipo, porque día tras día seguimos al pie del cañón, con humildad y trabajo, vamos a por más.
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Ernesto retweeted
scAMEX is a myth, HTB folklore. The same traits that make AMEX stocks "sketchy" (looser listing standards, weaker fundamentals, etc.) are exactly what make them a bit more reliable faders.
smallcaplab.com/research
Ernesto retweeted
Replying to @xavier_comas
Dia rojo-> odio mi vida-> gym-> a no esta tan mal mi vida, que hay de almuerzo?



























