History and politic nerd. Like/retweets are not endorsements. he/him

St Louis, MO
Joined May 2013
New pinned! I have some politic-related personal projects, including: -a general projections spreadsheet -a project dividing US governors, senators, and house members into factions within their parties -an alt-history follow me if any of that interests you!
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I currently have Dems flipping the House with less seats than they did so in 2018 by but I'm praying polls are underestimating Dems like they had last year
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this is a fine response but I fear Cuban-Americans have a zero tolerance policy with this stuff
#FloridaSenate Angie Nixon on whether Cuba is a dictatorship in interview with CBS News: "That is what people have told me. I have never been to Cuba, and so I will have to take their word for it."
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do Republicans win 200 or more House seats next week?
0%yes
100%no
2 votes • 6 days
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None.
For science...how many Klombo Sprites have you found in the wild?
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it's underdiscussed how "poetic" it is that the first *imperial* dynasty in China was the Qin and the last was the Qing
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I think I said it earlier but I will happily sacrifice the Oregon governor's mansion so Hinajosa can win
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Politico: Republicans cautiously optimistic about Zach Nunn in Iowa’s 3rd district and Joe Mitchell in Iowa’s open 2nd District Link: politico.com/news/2026/10/23…
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If you vote "yes" on it I'll make sure you don't get re-elected.
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what drinks should I get for election night
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is this accurate so far?
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Bankhead should be expelled from the Democratic Party on November 4th
Montana U.S. Senate General Poll 🟥 Alme (R) 46% ⬜ Bodnar (Ind) 29% 🟦 Bankhead (D) 21% 🟨 Austin (L) 2% Quantus Insights (Oct 15–18, 686 LV)
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fuck it, OH-Gov -> Lean D
.@VivekGRamaswamy campaign responds:
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Donna Arthur lost custody of Amy Acton at age 12 after Acton's stepfather was charged with raping her. Arthur stayed married to him until his death. Acton and her brother have been estranged since. Multiple outlets cite 1978 court records of the charges. actonforgovernor.com/dr-amy-actons-… dispatch.com/story/news/pol…
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I hope this ends Ramaswamy's political career, disgusting move by him. might bump the race to Lean D if post-controversy polls look poorly enough for him
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Tilt D
2026 Ohio Senate 🔴 Jon Husted (inc): 49% (+6) 🔵 Sherrod Brown: 47% (+1) (+/- vs last poll) Rasmussen Reports poll | 10/12-10/14
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This is Tommy. Tommy had a question about my allegiances. Listen to the end to hear about his.
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Smartguy725 retweeted
I made a less deadly version
Replying to @kev_marciano
Apple did good with this feature.
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Maloney's jingoism post-9/11 is probably why she lost to Nadler in the 2022 primary
Congresswoman Carolyn Maloney (D-NY) gives a speech on the House floor in a full burqa to demonstrate the repressive conditions women and girls face under Sharia Law in places like Afghanistan.
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here's how the Crystal Ball is handicapping state legislative chambers. I used some discretion to split their "Likely" ratings into chambers that could conceivably flip (GA Senate, NH House, PA House) vs ones where supermajorities could break my tilts here are their tossups
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I don't think MS-Sen will be within 5. I do think it'll be within 10 though.
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