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I have some politic-related personal projects, including:
-a general projections spreadsheet
-a project dividing US governors, senators, and house members into factions within their parties
-an alt-history
follow me if any of that interests you!
I currently have Dems flipping the House with less seats than they did so in 2018 by but I'm praying polls are underestimating Dems like they had last year
this is a fine response but I fear Cuban-Americans have a zero tolerance policy with this stuff
#FloridaSenate
Angie Nixon on whether Cuba is a dictatorship in interview with CBS News:
"That is what people have told me. I have never been to Cuba, and so I will have to take their word for it."
it's underdiscussed how "poetic" it is that the first *imperial* dynasty in China was the Qin and the last was the Qing
I think I said it earlier
but I will happily sacrifice the Oregon governor's mansion so Hinajosa can win
Politico: Republicans cautiously optimistic about Zach Nunn in Iowa’s 3rd district and Joe Mitchell in Iowa’s open 2nd District
Link: politico.com/news/2026/10/23…
Smartguy725 retweeted
Replying to @RogerMarshallMD @SpeakerJohnson
If you vote "yes" on it I'll make sure you don't get re-elected.
fuck it, OH-Gov -> Lean D
.@VivekGRamaswamy campaign responds:

ALT Attributable to Connie Luck, spokesperson for the Vivek Ramaswamy campaign: “We don't know what happened between Amy and her mother, who first spoke out about Amy in 2020, but we know that Amy Acton is a serial fabulist who has some serious problems with the truth that the public needs to be aware of before deciding who to entrust as governor.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Donna Arthur lost custody of Amy Acton at age 12 after Acton's stepfather was charged with raping her. Arthur stayed married to him until his death. Acton and her brother have been estranged since. Multiple outlets cite 1978 court records of the charges.
actonforgovernor.com/dr-amy-actons-…
dispatch.com/story/news/pol…
I hope this ends Ramaswamy's political career, disgusting move by him.
might bump the race to Lean D if post-controversy polls look poorly enough for him
Smartguy725 retweeted
This is Tommy. Tommy had a question about my allegiances. Listen to the end to hear about his.
here's how the Crystal Ball is handicapping state legislative chambers.
I used some discretion to split their "Likely" ratings into chambers that could conceivably flip (GA Senate, NH House, PA House) vs ones where supermajorities could break
my tilts here are their tossups
Damn, she lasted half a Scaramucci
BREAKING NYT:
Trump's new press secretary, Katie Zacharia, was fired Friday, after less than a week on the job, according to three people familiar with the matter. nytimes.com/2026/10/16/us/po…























