Crypto Investor & analyst. Not Financial Advice
Joined May 2020
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Anthropic will IPO in a few weeks at a valuation of $1.5T-$2.0T.
In 2022, SBF led Anthropic's Series B round using $500M of capital from FTX.
During bankruptcy in 2024, this position was sold for $1.33B.
2 years later and it is worth ~$45b.
One of the biggest fumbles ever.
Bitcoin is trading at a significant discount on coinbase even as the US spot BTC ETFs saw net inflows to start the week.
Someone in the US is dumping a lot of $BTC, the question is who ... and why?
Anthropic is currently trading at a valuation of around $1.88T on pre-IPO perps, which would make it the 8th largest public company in the world.
Microsoft just offered voluntary buyouts to 60,000 of their 223,000 employees.
This is just the most recent of several efforts to lower their headcount as they attempt to increase efficiency and focus on meeting the demand for AI compute.
Is AI-driven job displacement about to become a major narrative again?
Strategy repurchased $204.9M of $STRC last week.
They did not buy any bitcoin.
BRAZIL'S STOCK MARKET IS CRASHING.
$EWZ has fallen -19% tonight as Lula has taken a last minute lead in the polls and is now expected to win the election.
US PCE and core PCE inflation data for September will be released on Thursday.
Core PCE is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, and it has been stuck at 2.5-3.0% for over 2 years now.
US futures markets will open in 1.5 hours.
If you are prepared, there will be a lot of opportunities over the next 5 days.
It's going to be a big week.
Monday:
-Strategy 8-K filing
Wednesday:
-Fed rate decision
-Warsh press conference
-BoC rate decision
-GOOG and MSFT earnings
Thursday:
-US PCE inflation September
-US Q3 GDP growth rate (advanced)
-US personal income/spending September
-ECB rate decision
-AMZN, INTC, SNDK, MSTR, and COIN earnings
Friday:
-BoJ rate decision
$BTC is about to close its 3rd straight red weekly candle for the first time since May.
Where are the bulls?
It's going to be a big week.
Monday:
-Strategy 8-K filing
Wednesday:
-Fed rate decision
-Warsh press conference
-BoC rate decision
-GOOG and MSFT earnings
Thursday:
-US PCE inflation September
-US Q3 GDP growth rate (advanced)
-US personal income/spending September
-ECB rate decision
-AMZN, INTC, SNDK, MSTR, and COIN earnings
Friday:
-BoJ rate decision
With 1 week left in the month, $BTC is on track for its worst October performance since 2018.
If it drops another -0.6%, it will be the worst October since 2014.
These two wallets on hyperlqiuid will each be liquidated for $100M+ if $ETH drops to $2220-$2250.
It is not uncommon for large onchain positions like these to be hunted, especially during illiquid weekend hours, and when the liquidation is only a 3% move away.
Lots of traders are being shaken out of leveraged positions right now.
During just the past 24 hours, over 221,000 positions were liquidated with a total of $700M of longs and $134M of shorts rekt.
Prediction market traders are biased bullish on $BTC through the end of the year with 52% odds for BTC to rise to $90k vs 36% odds that it falls to $70k.
Bitcoin has fallen back down to test $81k as support once again, but crypto sentiment remains neutral.
I guess nobody is worried about a potential move lower?
Global oil prices are pushing even higher today with Brent seeing its highest price since June 2022.
After seeing >$1B of inflows to start the week, US $BTC ETFs just saw huge outflows of -$635.6M on Thursday.
This was the largest single day of outflows since June 25th, and comes as the US spot BTC ETF cost basis of ~$81k is being tested as support.
