Pinned Tweet
🚨FORECAST LAUNCH🚨
We have officially launched our state legislative forecasts for every state in the country.
We currently project Democrats (and Democrat-caucusing Independents) to have a net gain of 407 state legislative seats in November.
projects.statenavigate.com/2…
State Navigate retweeted
🚨NEW VIRGINIA POLL🚨
Virginia Congressional Generic Ballot
🔵Democrats +20
🔵59% Democrats
🔴39% Republicans
⚪️3% Undecided
⬅️ 16-point shift to Democrats from 2024
articles.statenavigate.com/v…
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🚨NEW VIRGINIA POLL🚨
Virginia Congressional Generic Ballot
🔵Democrats +20
🔵59% Democrats
🔴39% Republicans
⚪️3% Undecided
⬅️ 16-point shift to Democrats from 2024
articles.statenavigate.com/v…
🧵
🔶Spanberger is the floor. Democrats are winning over voters who, at this point, planned to vote for Winsome Sears in 2025. Most people who were undecided in the 2025 gubernatorial race have already decided to vote Democratic.
🔶The undecideds overall skew Republican-leaning based on their previous vote choices.
🔶Most partisans kept their party ID the same, but Democrats have gained in party ID over time.
State Navigate retweeted
.@StateNavigate has an article slated for early next week that I have been working on for about two weeks now on 2024 presidential recall. Hoping Tuesday. You don't want to miss it.
State Navigate retweeted
The @StateNavigate GA GOV poll goes into the field Friday, we expect results to be up by no later than Wednesday currently.
State Navigate retweeted
The @StateNavigate forecasts have been updated tonight to remove Wedgewood's polls from our Governor forecasts. Not much has changed anywhere. NE w/the largest margin change at 1.1%. Everything else 0.1%-0.3%.
GA, IA, KS, MI, NE, NV, OH, TX, WI are the states where there were Wedgewood polls in our forecasts. All are out now.
State Navigate retweeted
.@StateNavigate is now looking to raise funds for an upcoming Georgia poll we hope to start 1 week from now.
If you can make a tax-deductible donation to our polling fund, we would greatly appreciate it! We're trying to raise $2,000. I'll post updates:
statenavigate.org/donate/
State Navigate retweeted
🚨NEW PENNSYLVANIA POLLS🚨
SD-6 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
SD-16 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
SD-36 (Trump +15) | 🔴GOP +2 (FLIP)
HD-18 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +10 (FLIP)
HD-41 (Trump +5) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
HD-131 (Trump +10) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP)
HD-142 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +4 (FLIP)
HD-143 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
HD-145 (Trump +16) | 🔴GOP +3
HD-187 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP)
articles.statenavigate.com/p…
🚨NEW PENNSYLVANIA POLLS🚨
SD-6 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
SD-16 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
SD-36 (Trump +15) | 🔴GOP +2 (FLIP)
HD-18 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +10 (FLIP)
HD-41 (Trump +5) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
HD-131 (Trump +10) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP)
HD-142 (Trump +3) | 🔵DEM +4 (FLIP)
HD-143 (Trump +6) | 🔵DEM +3 (FLIP)
HD-145 (Trump +16) | 🔴GOP +3
HD-187 (Trump +9) | 🔵DEM +5 (FLIP)
articles.statenavigate.com/p…
State Navigate retweeted
Excited to share that I'm starting a new role as the Data Manager @StateNavigate today! I'm really looking forward to working with such a great org to build out their datasets for 2026 and beyond.
State Navigate retweeted
🚨NEW ARTICLE🚨
I wrote about the top 20 strangest state legislative races in 2026: 10 crazy, 10 interesting.
Arrested incumbents, write-ins, party-switchers, slurs, pedophiles, Nazis, and more.
Our best article of 2026. Enjoy!
projects.statenavigate.com/f…
State Navigate retweeted
🚨NEW PENNSYLVANIA POLL🚨
PA SD-46 (Trump +28)
State Senate
🔴Camera Bartolotta (R) [inc] 43%
🟢Jodi Borello (IND) 43%
⚪️Undecided 14%
Governor
🔵Josh Shapiro (D) [inc] 51%
🔴Stacy Garrity (R) 42%
⚪️Undecided 7%
articles.statenavigate.com/p…
ICYMI: we now have a national state legislative forecast simulator. Plug in what you think will happen in the general election and how demographics will vote, and see how it stacks up against our forecasts.
projects.statenavigate.com/2…













