Associate director for political research @pewresearch. Former @politico. Once a @NJHotline-er, always a @NJHotline-er.
Washington
Joined February 2009
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I understand the economics of buying a national ad during the World Series for the Florida Senate race — the state has 10 media markets — but it only works if you believe the Tampa Bay Rays have fans.
Steven Shepard retweeted
Bananas story about how one of DC's top pols could be ineligible to win the election he's supposed to win on Tuesday. dc.citycast.fm/dc-politics/r…
Steven Shepard retweeted
You know what could block "wayward shots"? Trees.
Trump tonight adds a new reason he must renovate the golf course "immediately," one that DOJ didn't mention in months of litigation:
"Narrow fairways ... leading to a constant barrage of people being hit with wayward shots." truthsocial.com/@realDonaldT…
Steven Shepard retweeted
President Trump's planned 250-foot-tall arch would cast shadows on many graves and monuments in nearby Arlington National Cemetery, the @washingtonpost's 3-D analysis found.
On some days, Trump's arch would even shade the grave and eternal flame of JFK.
Steven Shepard retweeted
10 of 11 quality polls in Maine show no clear leader.
In Iowa, the last 5 have.
In Michigan, it's the last 3.
In Texas, it's 5 of the last 6.
Other races are just outside the margin of error or have no quality polls.
The range of Senate outcomes is enormous.
cnn.com/2026/10/27/politics/…
Steven Shepard retweeted
NEW: Republicans' super PAC cash advantage has masked a more challenging problem — a shrinking online donor base that's still focused around Trump
-The GOP has fewer donors this cycle compared to the last midterm
-22% of WinRed donors gave to Trump but no other Republicans
Steven Shepard retweeted
A federal judge has granted a preliminary injunction in the fight over Trump’s East Potomac golf plan, barring further tree removal without a court order and requiring advance notice before closures to the park. Big win for plaintiffs
wapo.st/3UMpVRe
Steven Shepard retweeted
BREAKING: Judge Reyes has issued a preliminary injunction over the golf course and begins with this:
"Rarely, if ever, has the United States Department of Justice urged a federal court not to believe the sitting President."
ecf.dcd.uscourts.gov/cgi-bin…
Steven Shepard retweeted
BREAKING: 9th Cir. panel, 2-1, denies Trump demand for immediate order to segregate mail-in ballots from 20K suspected foreigners on CA rolls. Majority: Bennett (Trump), Sanchez (Biden). Dissent: Bumatay (Trump). Doc: storage.courtlistener.com/re… Earlier: politico.com/news/2026/10/25…
Steven Shepard retweeted
This is a terrible look for the WNBA -- and there is no way spin it.
I realize all the potential solutions sucked but the prospect of crowning a champion on a Thursday afternoon is just brutal optics (and will be brutal television ratings.) If you are the league, you are praying for a G7.
NEW YORK, Oct. 26, 2026 – Game 6 of the WNBA Finals between the Golden State Valkyries and Atlanta Dream will be played at State Farm Arena in Atlanta on Thursday, October 29 at 12:30 p.m. ET, the WNBA announced today.
The game, originally scheduled for 8 p.m. ET, will still air on USA Network and stream on Peacock.
To accommodate the Finals game, the NBA’s Atlanta Hawks have agreed to move the start time of their regular-season game versus the Cleveland Cavaliers to 8:00 p.m. ET.
Steven Shepard retweeted
#SCSEN: Annie Andrews gets a joint endorsement from former Govs. David Beasley (R) and Jim Hodges (D). Hodges unseated Beasley in 1998. youtube.com/watch?v=ARZ5yG35…
Steven Shepard retweeted
Scoops on scoops: Lotta journalistic secrets revealed in @realBobWoodward's new memoir, including how he gained entry to former CIA Director Bill Casey's hospital room to extract his confession on Iran-contra.
My story, based on advance copy of the book:
wapo.st/3UbZzrD
Steven Shepard retweeted
NEW —
The super PAC for DATA CENTERS has arrived.
Meet Building the Future. The group is spending millions for Darline Graham in the homestretch, a preview of fights to come in 2028.
With @ELaserDavies:
nytimes.com/2026/10/26/us/po…
Shades of George W. Bush stumping for Conrad Burns (Bush +21 in ‘04) in the final weekend of ‘06. And Burns lost!
Steven Shepard retweeted
I think folks aren't quite getting the scale of this late GOTV spending from Maga Inc. It has only been spending for about a week on Facebook/Instagram.
Yet it is already the largest spender in last 90 days.
Our story from a few days ago as it began:
nytimes.com/2026/10/20/us/po…
Steven Shepard retweeted
Against a backdrop of continued concern about inflation & the economy, Dems maintain a lead in a bid for a House majority.
Currently on pace for 229 seats in our CBS News House model estimate, which translates voters' congressional preferences into seats.
Potential range of outcomes could reach into the 230s, but Reps do still have a very narrow path to hold.
tinyurl.com/324de9rt
Steven Shepard retweeted
Read about it here! inquirer.com/politics/electi…
