
Investment Advisor/Portfolio Manager. Seeking Alpha subscription service https://xitter.gq/t.co/xyXQw0pGke. CIO @MarkHolder27
Broken Arrow, OK
Joined August 2011
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$BROS Dutch Bros down 16% on these numbers is a little ridiculous, especially with the stock already at the lows.
♦️FY26 sales to increase to $2.1B compared to an earlier range of $2.1B and $2.13B, which falls short of the $2.13B consensus estimate.
♦️Same shop sales are seen increasing by 5% versus a range of 5% to 6% previously
♦️Adj. EBITDA is now estimated to be ~$380M, down from an earlier range of $385M and $390M.
Wall St. Journal with an interesting take on the election. Talarico isn't a great example of the Dems doing anything different.
Republicans forgot how to win elections. It took arrogance to shrink the coalition while running unlikable candidates with bad personal character, writes @JohnCornyn
on.wsj.com/4iY6xKg
Commented on $COHR - Coherent: Lumentum Deal Is An Optics Networking Gift. seekingalpha.com/article/496…
$SNAP grew revenue by 14% and grew EBITDA by over $200M. The stock shouldn’t be down with these earnings, nor should Snap trade in the $5s in the 1st place.
Don't really have a problem potentially capturing some taxes in these areas, but the issue with the US govt is spending. Besides, taxing donations just reduces funds that go to charities that help with food, healthcare, etc.
Backs my view that AI data centers weren’t on the ballot. What’s going to happen is the non-sense around water and power will disappear. Data centers will get approved for on-site power and the large tax benefits plus union construction jobs.
Data center bans were not Dems’ ticket to winning Gov races.
- Dems won every competitive race called so far, regardless of stance. Ford, Sand, and Hobbs weren’t pro-ban
- What Dem flips had in common: ratepayer protections (5 of 5), energy/water limits (5 of 5), ending tax breaks (4 of 5)
- Both nominees backed a ban in 5 states (MI, NH, OH, OR, TX). Dems won 4 of 5, so the ban didn’t decide those races
- Banning didn’t work for Rs either: GOP noms who backed a ban went 1 for 7.
$DDOG is a 30% grower wrapped up in volatile quarterly numbers due to 1 big customer - OpenAI
Datadog ($DDOG) expects growth to slow from 35% to 25%, because of one customer.
Per today's earnings, Q4 sales should be $1.19B to $1.20B, flat with Q3.
Every past Q4 forecast had called for growth over Q3.
Its largest customer, widely reported to be OpenAI, cut usage in Q3.
The forecast assumes that customer pays only its contract minimum.
Without that customer, Datadog says growth would be in the low to mid-30s.
AI data center 👻
Sooooo ...
Does this election impact data center developments in NJ? Nope.
Virginia? Nope
West Virginia? Nope.
Pennsylvania? Nope.
Georgia? Nope - the big OpenAI one was approved in August.
Texas? Guess what happens next month, folks? Oh, the current data center moratorium EXPIRES.
New York? Guess what happens in July 2027? Oh, the current moratorium on data centers expires.
Florida - Edgewater voted against data center development .. of which there isn't any happening anyway.
Kansas? El Dorado voted to ban massive projects but guess how many massive projects are going on there? NONE Emporia? Also voted against data centers ... of which none are being built (one was abandoned already). Ottawa KS? Oh they banned "utility-intensive" data centers. Guess how many are being built in Ottawa? NONE
Maine? Berwick banned large projects of which there are NONE. Peru, Wiscasset and Wells implemented 180 day moratoriums on projects that also don't exist.
Missouri? The towns of Chouteau, Granite City voted against data centers ... guess how many are being built/proposed there? ZERO
Illinois? The towns of Nameoki and Venice did the same thing. As for projects impacted? ZIPPO
Colorado? Boulder voted against data centers. Take a guess how many applications for data centers are in process there? Did you guess ZERO?
North Dakota? Uh, the people of Mandan actually voted in FAVOR of a data center and natural gas generation campus is in the planning stages by Stark Power.
Ohio appears to be the only state where meaningful projects may be impacted. Maybe.
People litterally voted against ghosts yesterday.
New Congress can't negotiate with Iran. Trump needs to stop negotiating and tell Iran what is going to happen. Besides, Middle East oil is back to pre-conflict levels. The issue is refining capacity in Russia.
The #1 *economic* priority for the new Congress should be:
(and I didn't use 'affordability' as an option as all of these roll into that ... and I recognize Iran isn't pure 'economic' but goes to macro energy policy)
15%Tax policy
31%Tariffs
8%Data Centers
46%Energy policy (Iran)
1,013 votes • 1 hoursMy prediction is that the Blue Tsunami turns the Democrat public view on AI data centers. Suddenly, Dem leaders will start pushing the data center benefits for union workers and local taxes while the non-sense around power and water disappear.
$QCOM Qualcomm with a big mobile networking win with Starlink Mobile for tens of thousands of sites starting in 2027 and transitioning from 5G to work on 6G.
SpaceX has selected Qualcomm #Dragonwing Cellular Infrastructure solutions to support @Starlink Mobile’s nationwide terrestrial 5G network in the U.S.
Any wise investor knows that politicians lie. These drama queen posts are comical.
If Talarico wins I think $ORCL is in trouble.
Not even counting all the SPV and off-balance sheet financing they did (w/ OpenAI) alone puts Oracle in default risk at some point. Yes, default risk. Oracle. You’re reading this correct.
I expect massive ATM offerings to come in the near future to carry the burden.
Talarico ran on pausing construction and wiping the state sales tax credit on data center construction.
Something to consider. I’m not American but just an observation because I have seen many people on this app say “Oracle is so cheap” without actually factoring in balance sheet risk and now … Stargate delays.
Correct me if I’m wrong on this American friends.
$AMD barely missed Client revenue estimates, which doesn't matter when having leading AI CPU/GPU chips.
$AMD apparently guided to 80% revenue growth in 2027. The company forecast 2026 revenue of $52.2B based on $17B in Q4. The 2027 guidance amounts to $94.0B while our forecasts have long pushed a $100B+ target for next year.
Glad to see the company pushing towards this target!
our prior research highlighting a $1,200 target with 2027/28 revenues smashing consensus analyst estimates.
seekingalpha.com/article/495…
Oil supply starting to outpace demand. WTI could quickly fall to $60.
seekingalpha.com/news/466435…





















