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Swingtrader retweeted
JPM Trading Desk on how markets will react to election outcome
Blue Wave — This has a 66% likelihood, with the $SPX falling 0.25% or rising 0.50%.
Split Congress (Democratic House, GOP Senate) — This has a 26% likelihood, with the $SPY gaining 0.5% to 1%.
Red Wave — This has a 7% likelihood, with the $SPX climbing 1% to 1.25%.
Split Congress (GOP House, Democratic Senate) — This has a 1% likelihood, with the $SPY rising 0.25% to 0.75%.
Swingtrader retweeted
APPLE $AAPL Q4’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS
🔹 Revenue: $114.50B (Est. $113.39B) 🟢; +12% YoY
🔹 EPS: $2.10 (Est. $1.99) 🟢; incl. tariff refund
🔹 Gross Margin: 47.9% (Est. 47.5%) 🟢
🔹 Greater China: $17.54B (Est. $18.55B) 🔴; +21% YoY
Segment Revenue:
🔹 iPhone: $57.58B (Est. $56.48B) 🟢; +17% YoY
🔹 Services: $31.57B (Est. $31.58B) 🟡; +10% YoY
🔹 Products: $82.90B (Est. $81.46B) 🟢; +12% YoY
🔹 Mac: $10.79B (Est. $9.69B) 🟢; +24% YoY
🔹 iPad: $6.23B (Est. $6.83B) 🔴; -10% YoY
🔹 Wearables: $8.30B (Est. $8.99B) 🔴; -8% YoY
Geographic Revenue:
🔹 Americas: $48.68B; +10% YoY
🔹 Europe: $32.01B; +12% YoY
🔹 Greater China: $17.54B; +21% YoY
🔹 Japan: $6.54B; -1% YoY
🔹 Rest of Asia Pacific: $9.71B; +15% YoY
Financials:
🔹 Gross Profit: $54.82B; +13% YoY
🔹 Op Income: $35.63B (Est. $34.52B) 🟢; +10% YoY
🔹 Net Income: $30.71B; +12% YoY
🔹 FY26 Operating Cash Flow: $145.1B
Capital Return:
🔹 Dividend: $0.27/share
Key Updates:
🔹 Tariff refunds: 1 percentage point gross-margin impact; $0.05 EPS impact
🔹 September quarter records: total company revenue, iPhone revenue, and EPS; Services reached an all-time high
Comments:
🔸 “Today, Apple is proud to report a September quarter revenue record of $114.5 billion, up 12 percent from a year ago, with iPhone reaching a September quarter record and Services reaching an all-time high, capping off our best fiscal year ever”
🔸 “We generated $28 billion in operating cash flow during the quarter, allowing us to return $28 billion to shareholders. Thanks to our very high levels of customer satisfaction and loyalty, our installed base of active devices reached a new all-time high across all major product categories and geographic segments.”
