Tim

3/3 The war is already leaking into the Black Sea littoral. A drone strike sank a merchant ship in Bulgaria’s exclusive economic zone. Crew missing. Sofia called it a gross violation of international law. Rescue was later halted. Separate Russian claims about tankers hit off Russia’s own coast keep the shipping lane on edge. Zaporizhzhia stays a pressure valve. Moscow said Ukrainian drones hit a lab and a waste plant at the Russian-held site. A driver was killed in that account. Kyiv has not commented in the pack. External power at the plant has been fragile for weeks. Second order. Germany is Europe’s biggest Ukraine backer. That makes Berlin a priority target for hybrid pressure, not a bystander. Air defence transfers and industrial capacity now sit next to domestic resilience. Leipzig was not a one-off anecdote in the intel hearing. It was the exhibit. Watch next. Whether the strike wave deepens against Ukrainian energy. Whether hybrid hits on EU logistics continue. Whether Berlin’s public warning hardens into concrete protection for critical sites. Receipts reuters.com/world/europe/rus… reuters.com/world/europe/rus… reuters.com/world/ukraines-z… ft.com/content/44788116-0ff7… reuters.com/business/finance… reuters.com/world/drones-str… reuters.com/world/europe/rus…