Whale just opened a $98M BTC short at 25x while going 30x long the S&P 500. Macro hedge or absolute degen move? Stupid or genius?

Gold’s $4k support is finally reacting. Daily RSI is nearing oversold, MACD diverging, and $3.8k lines up with the 0.382 Fib + monthly FVG. Could sweep $3.85k, even $3.2k-$3.5k, but the secular bull stays intact. I’m holding physical. Leverage can wait

$BTC: Got a bid parked at 78.5K. That’s the old range POC, lining up with the FVG that kicked off the push through 83K. Would love one more fill there

If you can’t stomach a little drawdown during a bull market pullback, how do you expect to make money? My 81.8K $BTC long is slightly underwater SL is 72K, so I’m not worried. Even if we sweep below 75K, I doubt we hit it. I’ve got more bids at 78K and 74.5K.

Can someone explain like I’m 9 how $BTC is holding up this well while oil is going absolutely parabolic?

There’s ALWAYS a reason to panic sell in a healthy uptrend. The traders who win are the ones buying that fear and sitting through the ugly chop while everyone else loses patience

Can’t believe this fits on one page. A full algo trading cheat sheet: Sharpe, Sortino, Calmar, VaR, CVaR, expectancy, MAE and drawdown. The metrics quant funds check before risking a dollar. I used to judge bots by win rate

my setup is pretty much on autopilot now: • Automating weekend RWA perps over on @kototrade so I can actually touch grass • Raking in the extra Arcus points (for rwa) in the background

#Ethereum: CLEANEST SETUP On the daily chart, RSI is nearing oversold, just like in 2025. Too many similarities across the indicators and price action. I’m long from the latest sweep of the lows, but there’s room for one more. No way it repeats, right? $ETH

There’s roughly $10B in short liquidity around $88.5K on $BTC, right at the key zone I’ve been calling out for weeks in the massive monthly supply range. If we sweep the lows for that liquidity, I’m adding to my long. First swing target: $89K, then hopefully $93K–$94K.

This range looks a lot like September. In an uptrend, price often sweeps the range lows before pushing to new highs. Not saying it has to repeat, but I’m watching if white support gets tested again. The first reaction to that sweep looks short-term bullish to me. $BTC

Wild setup. Extreme fear across the board, VIX ripping, AI getting smoked while defensives and energy hold up. S&P 500 is still just 2.5% off the highs. Looks like a rotation as the AI trade got way too crowded. $SPX

Kevin Warsh right now

Bitcoin chads in 2021 vs. Bitcoin orthodox macro analysts today. Totally different species

$BTC 4H update: retest and rejection ✅ Still holding my long from 81.8K. Expecting more chop. PA looks constructive, but we’re not out of the woods yet. Good to see 81.5K–82.5K holding. We’ll likely keep testing it, so we need to see strong rejections

higher

Honestly, the best part of this Singapore trip was having industry leaders come up to us in person

$BTC 4H update. Got the retest, just like we expected

When #Bitcoin hits resistance or dips into support, check your emotions. You’ll start spotting the same feelings all over CT. A few days ago, BTC looked ready to break higher. Everyone was euphoric, aping into longs. Bears were calling for a much deeper dump

$BTC 4H setup Bitcoin reclaimed the channel fast and is back above the 200 SMA. If it retests and gets rejected, we’re probably heading back to $86K.