Ten_Bagger retweeted
Blev nyfiken att testa denna enkla strategi utifrån säsongsmönster. Att endast vara investerad på Stockholmsbörsen under november - maj har gett 1 % högre CAGR till lägre risk de senaste 100 åren.
I likhet med min sedvanliga strategi för pensionen har jag nu börjat växla in i aktiefonder på nytt. Förra veckan köptes exponering mot Sverige (indexnära fond) och kommande veckan (5-10 dagar) kommer resten av korträntefonden att växlas mot någon amerikansk aktiefond.
Artikel på ämnet från oktober 2023:
marketmate.se/vinnande-strat…
Ten_Bagger retweeted
Bad headline, but OK core details from the PPI.
Core CPI likely to be soft enough to put the September hike in doubt tomorrow
Bagge @Ten_Bagger med ett stadigt grepp om TJUREN
#finanstwitter
Ten_Bagger retweeted
*US JULY CONSUMER PRICES RISE 0.1% M/M; EST. +0.1%
*US JULY CONSUMER PRICES RISE 3.4% Y/Y; EST. +3.4%
*US JULY CORE CPI RISES 0.2% M/M; EST. +0.2%
*US JULY CORE CPI RISES 2.5% Y/Y; EST. +2.5%
LEOPOLD’S SITUATIONAL AWARENESS FUND BLOWUP TIMELINE
JULY 1: LEOPOLD’S HEDGE FUND SITUATIONAL AWARENESS REACHES $45 BILLION UP 450% YTD
JULY 10: SK HYNIX US IPO MARKS TOP OF THE AI SECTOR
JULY 10-20: MAJOR SELLOFF ACROSS ALL AI STOCKS, MOST DOWN 30%+ IN 2 WEEKS
JULY 10-20: HIS SHORT POSITIONS START GOING UP CAUSING MORE LOSSES (HE WAS SHORT ADOBE AND OTHER SOFTWARE STOCKS)
JULY 24: HE SENDS INVESTORS A LETTER CALLING THE SELLOFF A BUYING OPPORTUNITY AND ASKS FOR MORE MONEY
JULY 27: CITADEL SECURITIES SAYS THE FED IS GONNA DO A SURPRISE RATE HIKE
JULY 28: THE MARKET SELLS OFF AFTER CITADEL’S REPORT & LEOPOLD TRIES TO RAISE & BORROW MORE MONEY
JULY 29: BANKS MARGIN CALL HIM
JULY 30: CITADEL COMES IN AND BUYS HIS ENTIRE PORTFOLIO FOR A MASSIVE DISCOUNT
LEVERAGE IS THE MAIN REASON PEOPLE GO BROKE IN THE STOCK MARKET ALWAYS BE CAREFUL
Ten_Bagger retweeted
Sponsrad artikel åt Societe Generale
Marketmate: Köpa Silver med warranter
marketmate.se/kopa-silver-me…
Ikväll går jag igenom hur man kan exponering mot Silver via warranter inför en potentiellt bättre studs för ädelmetallen in i hösten.
Investeringar innebär risk. Hävstång ökar risken.
Ten_Bagger retweeted
Gold traders got this gloomy after $GLD shed nearly 30%.
The last 8 times sentiment got this washed out since 2008, it was higher 1 month later. Every one of them.
A year out, same story.
Read full analysis: users.sentimentrader.com/use…
Ten_Bagger retweeted
BREAKING: OpenAI is now "leaning toward" pushing its IPO until 2027, per NYT.
Details include:
1. "Choppy" markets in recent weeks have led OpenAI to reconsider the timeline of the IPO
2. The company is worried it may not find much enthusiasm from retail investors
3. Advisors are recommending OpenAI either wait until 2027 to IPO at $1 trillion or lower the valuation for a quicker IPO
Recent volatility in tech stocks has raised concerns around OpenAI's IPO.
Ten_Bagger retweeted
Maybe the most important chart in the world: the AI arms race.
The question whether a 10% "intelligence gap" which translates into a 90% lower cost, will determine if $5+ trillion in capital is being misallocated
Ten_Bagger retweeted
FED LIFTS RATE PATH, INFLATION OUTLOOK RISES
Federal Reserve projections show the median fed funds rate rising to 3.8% in 2026 (from 3.4%), 3.6% in 2027, and 3.4% in 2028, with the long-run rate unchanged at 3.1%. Officials now expect higher inflation through 2026, with PCE not returning to the 2% target until 2028. Growth is slightly lower, unemployment broadly steady. Only 18 of 19 policymakers submitted projections.
🪙 En dubbling av guldet ligger i korten. Och silver kan gå ännu starkare.
@Ten_Bagger köper.
#finanstwitter
Ten_Bagger retweeted
⚠️Is the AI pricing bubble starting to burst?
The LLM Token Expenditure Index has fallen to $1.67, the lowest since mid-April, down -20% from its May peak.
This index tracks how much companies are willing to pay per million tokens across AI models of different capabilities, measuring the market's marginal willingness to pay for AI output over time.
Token prices have declined in 11 of the last 12 days.
This comes as cheaper AI models and open-source alternatives are becoming increasingly competitive, with a combination of three mid-tier models recently matching the performance of the most advanced frontier models at roughly HALF THE COST.
The key question for the AI industry is whether lower token prices drive enough additional demand to offset the rapid erosion of pricing power among the leading AI labs.
When AI becomes a commodity, trillion-dollar valuations become difficult to justify.
Ten_Bagger retweeted
Man blir så glad varenda gång @Ten_Bagger syns i rutan!🙌🏼🫶🏼🙏
Kolla in jobbet han gjort med marketmate.se , man gräver guld med all den info på trades som man kan tillgodose sig där…dessutom HELT GRATIS!🥂🐸💼#finanstwitter
Han är på plats – @Ten_Bagger har laddat med spaningar om silver, guld och nästa börsbotten.
Dessutom blir det snack om Ericsson, Bure, Elekta och Munters.
På det: riksbanksbesked och ett besök i Sergelskrapan.
#finanstwitter
Ten_Bagger retweeted
$SPCX - SPACEX IPO: THE BIGGEST BET IN MARKET HISTORY
SpaceX is really three businesses under one stock:
Starlink is the profit engine, generating $11.4B in revenue and $4.4B in operating profit in 2025. Subscribers grew from 2.3M in 2023 to over 10M by early 2026.
SpaceX Launches generated $4.1B in revenue but lost money due to massive investment in Starship, the rocket intended to dramatically lower launch costs.
AI (xAI + X) generated $3.2B in revenue but lost $6.4B in 2025, consuming all of Starlink's profits and more.
Without AI, SpaceX was profitable. With AI, it lost nearly $5B in 2025 and another $4.3B in Q1 2026 alone.
The IPO values SpaceX at $1.77 trillion, but only 4.3% of shares will trade initially. That limited float could drive strong early demand and volatility while making true price discovery difficult.
Retail investors are getting access to just 1.3% of the company, while insiders and major funds remain largely locked up. Those restrictions begin easing within months, potentially increasing selling pressure.
SpaceX will not immediately join the S&P 500, as it currently fails key inclusion requirements, delaying an estimated $14B of passive index-fund buying.
The biggest risk is valuation. At roughly 90x sales, SpaceX is trading at a premium far above the largest technology companies. Historical IPO research shows that highly valued, low-float, unprofitable IPOs often deliver strong first-day gains but weaker long-term returns.
The bullish case is simple: SpaceX dominates satellite internet and commercial launches, and Starship could reshape the economics of space. The bearish case is that investors are paying an unprecedented price today for profits that may arrive years from now.
Bottom line: SpaceX may become one of the most important companies of the century. But this IPO looks designed to maximize demand in the short term, while much of the future selling pressure arrives later. For retail investors, the excitement is obvious—the risk is whether today's valuation already prices in most of the future success.
Ten_Bagger retweeted
Just think of the surge in stocks once Trump announces a ceasefire is imminent at 9:28am ET
Oil Jumps After Israel Strikes Military Targets In Iran, Ignoring Trump Pleas Not To "Strike Back" zerohedge.com/geopolitical/i…


























