The Five Hohl

Hockey analytics is about measuring what we can observe, then using those measurements to infer what we actually care about. But how do we know those inferences work? A look at hockey analytics, testing, models, and the problem of measuring defense. 🔗 thefivehohl.substack.com/p/t…

We're back. Connor Hellebuyck wants out, the #NHLJets have a very different roster, & we’re somehow heading into 2026-27 with a whole bunch of questions. So… who are the Jets now? A look at the analytics, camp lines, & Scott Arniel’s new approach. 🔗: thefivehohl.substack.com/p/t…

I dug into HockeyViz, Evolving-Hockey, and All Three Zones to break down what the #NHLJets are actually getting, where each player helps, and where they don't heading into 2026-27. 🔗 open.substack.com/pub/thefiv…

The #NHLJets didn't fall 34 points because of bad luck. The warning signs were there last summer. Why the decline was predictable, what went wrong with the roster, Connor Hellebuyck's role in it all, and why #GoJetsGo needs to rethink how it builds a hockey team. 🔗 in replies

The #NHLJets move on from Logan Stanley & Luke Schenn. Ironically, the trade may undo problems the organization started nearly a decade ago. #GoJetsGo Breaking down the deal, the Rosén addition, and why this move might actually be tidy work by Cheveldayoff.👇

#NHLJets lose 4-1 to Tampa, drop to 1-2-1 in their last four, and once again the wheels come off late. Some bright spots, but the same problems remain. Game 53 recap ⬇️

The #NHLJets finally win. 5-1 over LA, strong goaltending from Comrie, real secondary scoring, and a reminder that even in a blowout, the third pairing still matters. Game 43 recap below. #GoJetsGo

Nine straight losses. Process slightly better, results much worse. From Presidents’ Trophy to last place, the #NHLJets are out of runway. #GoJetsGo Games 40 recap (+ Microstats for games 38-40) ⬇️

This isn’t just a secondary scoring problem. It’s a roster construction problem. The #NHLJets are missing multiple piecess, not just one quick fix. Here’s what the data actually says, and questions I have for Chipman, Chevy, et al., in replies. #GoJetsGo | #NHLJets

My recap slowly devolved into a rant on organizational beliefs and roster construction... #NHLJets blanked 1–0 by St. Louis as underlying issues persist. Shot quality, deployment decisions, and roster philosophy all under the microscope in Game 33 in replies ⬇️

#NHLJets were inches away from two points, but settle for one in an OT loss to Ottawa. Stronger 5v5 play, continued not hitting the net issues, and one puzzling deployment decisions. Full Game 32 analytical recap ⬇️ #GoJetsGo

This week’s #NHLJets Weekly Review is a big one. Season results vs underlying numbers, prospect updates, and a deep microstats dive into why transition and secondary scoring remain issues. Full breakdown in replies. #GoJetsGo

The Jets dominate a good Capitals team in every way that matters. Strong underlying numbers, secondary scoring, special teams, and Connor Hellebuyck back in net. My full Game 31 recap with microstats breakdown in replies. #GoJetsGo #NHLJets

The Jets fall 4-3 to Dallas, but the microstats tell a more complicated story. Strong shot share, mixed xG results, and another night of line juggling as Winnipeg searches for answers. Full Game 29 breakdown in replies. #GoJetsGo #NHLJets

#NHLJets bounce back with a 4-1 win over Buffalo, but chances and microstats tell a much tighter story. Comrie shines, the middle six vanishes from the slot, and defensive transition issues remain a problem. Full Game 27 recap now up. Link in replies. #GoJetsGo

The Weekly Review is here. The #NHLJets are slipping, the Moose are rising, and three big questions are defining the season: Toews, transition/speed, and how to fix this roster. Full breakdown, prospects, and solutions below in replies.

The #NHLJets drop Game 26 in a shootout to Montreal. Lots of chances, not enough on net, and the top line once again doing the heavy lifting. Microstats, breakdowns, and why this loss fel different to Buffalo in today’s recap. #GoJetsGo Article in replies:

Part two of the Weekly Review is here. A full breakdown of #NHLJets scoring talent, underlying impacts, player value models, and microstats at the quarter point. Plus where the #GoJetsGo roster still has major structural gaps. Link in replies.

Weekly Review (pt1) is up. The #NHLJets are losing more but quietly improving under the hood. Plus #MBMoose updates, global prospect notes, & why this week marks a key point in the season. Microstats & #GoJetsGo Player Performances drop tomorrow. Link below in replies.

The #NHLJets won the xG battle again but fell 4-3 to Washington. Late pushes, sloppy passes, and a top-heavy offense tell the story. Salomonsson’s debut had more highs than lows, and the slide continues. #GoJetsGo Full breakdown in the replies.