Bitcoin Quantile Framework ⎮ Math Models

*Not financial advice*
Joined September 2020
My keynote is now the 6th most-viewed from BTC Prague 2026, and it’s closing in on 60,000 views!m.youtube.com/watch?v=QYFHdk…
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That wait is over - my BTC Prague Keynote is LIVE! 😎 Watch me walk through Bitcoin's unique power law math, the importance of setting a stack target, and how Bitcoin's price path is a double-edged sword. Stack Early, Stack Hard! Full video in reply 👇🏻
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More fire Bitcoin content from Sminston! Must follow account.
My good friend Monte Carlo and I ran Bitcoin out to 2034. 5,000 times 🎲 Not one run ended below today's $80K. The median finish: $1.48M 🚀 - - - Each line on the chart is one run, and the pink curve on the right shows the final distribution in 2034. Even the bottom 5% finish around $464K, almost 6x from here. He's very optimistic, and honestly so am I 😄
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My good friend Monte Carlo and I ran Bitcoin out to 2034. 5,000 times 🎲 Not one run ended below today's $80K. The median finish: $1.48M 🚀 - - - Each line on the chart is one run, and the pink curve on the right shows the final distribution in 2034. Even the bottom 5% finish around $464K, almost 6x from here. He's very optimistic, and honestly so am I 😄
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My keynote is the 8th most-viewed from BTC Prague 2026! Every keynote ahead of it has been up 11 to 18 times longer. Watch it here: youtu.be/QYFHdkREq5Y
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Up to the 7th spot now.
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47,000 views. One of the most viewed keynotes from Prague!
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My keynote is now one of the most watched keynotes from Prague. Crossing 35,000 views already in only 3 days!
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Turns out I am a real person 😉
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Bitcoin: What percent are you currently sidelined?
18%80% to 100%
11%50% to 80%
12%20% to 50%
59%0% to 20%
1,900 votes • Final results
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4-year cycle crew and bears are on the ropes. Bitcoin is within 2,000 USD of landing the knockout blow.
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At what Bitcoin price will you be confident that the major low is in?
33%Already Confident
25%$85,000
15%$90,000
27%$100,000+
1,482 votes • Final results
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Bitcoin is a few thousand away from everyone that is sidelined starting to FOMO back in.
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Bitcoin just needs to clear and confirm a breakout above the May 2026 highs.
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I hope her shorts got liquidated.
“Lower lows coming” - Layah Heilpern, forever edition. June 25: BTC at $58K “Time to start shorting with me.” 😂
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Is the 2026 Bitcoin low in?
64%Yes
36%No
3,011 votes • Final results
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At over 90k this poll should go to 90%.
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