Cyclicality pre 2026:
Shorts lose on swan/squeezer -> Money transferred to retail chasers -> Longs chase junk stocks -> shorts “get it back” on exaggerated range + longs bagged -> reset = healthy cycle
Cyclicality in 2026:
Market dead -> shorts blown out on China rig -> China riggers go to Macau to gamble your money away -> Market dead/no locates -> repeat.
Are you enjoying “adapting” and addressing your “skill issues” this year?
$OMH $HUHU $BDMD $YMAT $IWM
The only solution to avoiding this extinction-level period for HTB shorts is for manipulators to start pumping “thicker” small cap floats > 10M.
This was very much a thing in the Covid era due to high organic chaser volume, ie for the rigger it was much easier to move larger mcap stocks with the help of chaser longs.
We now know those longs have left the arena. What’s left is riggers vs shorts and the easiest stuff to pump and trap is nanofloats. No synthetic locates, so a 2-3 big players can easily locate most of the available float leaving you with nothing to short daily.
Pray some regulations are coming that will force them to run up larger floats. Otherwise, you should have been planning your exit from this edge eroded game a while ago. $RUBI $OMH $MI $SMX $HUHU $PEPG
8
24
2,911
Folks are now paying 50% of the stock price in locates and gambling on the chance it is not a $BIYA. You should have started making contingency plans a while ago. It’s not a cycle.
The music has stopped a while ago and you’re still dancing. $RBNE $SHFS
The China cap (small cap) market has evolved into three modes:
1. GM market dead (current)
2. China squeezers that will teleport you 5000% pm or halt auction scam you (early August)
3. Intermediate mode with some plays but accompanied by zero/unreasonable locates (June/July).
Pick your poison and enjoy “adapting”.
$ARBE $BNC $BJDX $TWG
6
36
5,062
$WFF on October 12, 2026: the end of RTH and MDR shorting.
8
31
4,368
$BIYA on October 7th, 2026: The end of PM shorting.
Not a low volume parabolic, non-IPO, had full AH + 4 hours of pm runtime with substantial volume , decent price, not a fresh chart.
Can one of the high IQ short bros please explain to me how to approach these going forward without just “holding through” hoping the broker risk team is asleep? $BIYA $SXTC
Adverse selection is an ever increasing component of edge erosion.
“Good play” that fades - no locates, some BP/short prohibited restriction, or absurd locate costs.
“Bad play” all day squeezer - plenty of cheap locates and max BP available.
El Farol bar is only getting more full by the month $AIXI $IPDN $FRGT $OLOX
2
21
3,176





