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TickerTapX retweeted
BAIRD SLASHES NVIDIA PRICE TARGET 60%, WARNS OF AI SLOWDOWN
Baird downgraded Nvidia ($NVDA ) to Neutral from Outperform, slashing its price target to $200 from $500.
Analyst Tristan Gerra warns that 2027 data-center forecasts face delays amid supply constraints, potentially softer demand and reduced visibility.
Hyperscaler AI spending growth could slow to 40% or less in 2027, while 10–30% of channel orders may face preemptive cuts.
Despite strong H300 demand, Baird also flags uncertainty surrounding CEO Jensen Huang's tenure into 2027.
The warning: Nvidia's AI business remains strong, but growth expectations and leadership risks could weigh heavily on the stock.
TickerTapX retweeted
Baird downgraded Nvidia $NVDA to Neutral and cutting its PT to $200 from $500., citing a potential slowdown and a lack of visibility, in a note titled "'Icarus' Rise and Fall; Company Will be Fine"
It would be comical if the father of AI would also be the downfall of it. $NVDA
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TickerTapX retweeted
CoreWeave $CRWV CFO:
"We expect the contracted cash flow from our existing customer commitments to be sufficient to service and repay the debt we have outstanding today as well as any additional debt we expect to raise to deliver these contracts."
"That includes both asset-level secured debt and unsecured debt sitting at the parent level, and that is before counting renewals."
It has already paid down more than $4B of debt.
TickerTapX retweeted
Coreweave $CRWV +13%:
Beat across the board: revenue +168%, backlog +138%. Raised its 2026 guide, nudged capex up.
Financing visibility looks much better:
No new unsecured debt planned through '27 at current yields & less than $5B of new parent-level capital expected.
Its next loan is expected to be investment-grade, yield 7%-7.5%, and fund over 90% of the capex it's tied to. Over 75% of committed capex through 2027 is tied to investment-grade and enterprise customers.
About $9B in customer prepayments and deposits is expected over the next 3 months from signed contracts. Over $3B is for already-paid-off GPUs, requiring no new capex or debt service.
DEMAND ISN'T THE ISSUE.
It's "largely sold out through 2027," and all 2028 capacity offered so far has sold. Qualified demand is 10x available capacity through 2027, while 2028 demand is already several times supply.
The older GPU fleet is getting more valuable, not less.
Ampere and Hopper pricing jumped 30%-50% QoQ, above their original contract rates. Over 130K GPUs roll off contract in 2027 and ~170K in 2028. Re-renting them at today's prices could generate nearly $10B in additional annualized revenue with no new capex, none of it in the backlog yet.
New 4-5 year deals now price at $20M-$25M per megawatt a year. Short-term capacity goes for over $40M and can pay back its capex in 6-18 months.
Margins are improving: adjusted operating margin went 1% → 5% → 10% across Q1-Q3. Management expects positive adjusted net income in 1H 2028.
Capex can flatten. If it only builds the committed backlog, 2027 capex stays around 2026's $37B-$39B while revenue and EBITDA grow.
WHAT'S STILL OPEN:
Q3 capex was $14.5B on $3.7B of revenue, and interest expense of $846M was over 4x GAAP operating income of $207M, with Q4 interest guided above $1B.
The parent raise could tap its new ATM for up to 35M shares, but management didn't specify. And there's no quantified downside case if GPU supply catches up and shortage pricing fades.
COREWEAVE $CRWV Q3’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS
🔹 Revenue: $3.66B (Est. $3.55B) 🟢; +168% YoY
🔹 Adj. Operating Income: $379M (Est. $234M) 🟢
🔹 Adj. EBITDA: $2.26B (Est. $2.04B) 🟢; +169% YoY
🔹 Adj. Net Loss: -$529M (Est. -$677M) 🟢
🔹 GAAP EPS: -$1.27
Raises FY26 Guide:
🔹 Revenue: $13.0B-$13.3B
🔹 Adj. Operating Income: $1.3B-$1.4B
🔹 CapEx: $37B-$39B; from $35B-$39B
🔹 Active Power: >1.85 GW
🔹 Run-Rate Revenue: $20B-$21B
Other Q3 Metrics:
🔹 Revenue Backlog: ~$132.5B
🔹 Active Power: >1.7 GW; +200 MW added
🔹 Contracted Power: >4.6 GW; +900 MW added
🔹 International Power: >1.3 GW
Announcements:
🔹 CoreWeave Forge: AI development environment launched
🔹 Vera Rubin NVL72: 4.8x greater token throughput
🔹 Convertible Notes: ~$4.2B raised
🔹 DDTL 5.5 Facility: $2.6B closed
Comments:
🔸 “This was a breakout quarter for CoreWeave, with revenue increasing by more than $1 billion sequentially and adjusted operating margins reaching double digits a quarter ahead of plan.”
🔸 “approximately $9 billion in customer prepayments and deposits expected in the next three months alone.”
TickerTapX retweeted
Guess these guys were on to something after all.
The comments in this thread back in May are a fun read 😅
NEW: We are short Nvidia $NVDA. We believe Nvidia has a significant China problem. Please see our full report and disclosures now available on our website, link in bio.
TickerTapX retweeted
NEW: Ring unveils new patrol drone and robot to surveil homes and businesses by flying room to room.
The drone is able to fly back to its charging station on its own after patrolling around the home.
Here are some more details on the drone and robot:
- Patrol drone costs $250.
- Patrol rover costs $1000.
- The drone can fly for up to 8 minutes at a time.
- The drone has 148-degree peripheral vision and can quickly rotate 360 degrees to identify threats.
- Both require a subscription fee of $5 per month.
"For years, customers told us they wanted eyes in the places a fixed camera couldn’t reach, and peace of mind in the spots they’d never want one," said Ring founder Jamie Siminoff.
"The honest answer wasn’t more cameras; it meant reimagining what a security device could be. That kind of invention is hard, and it takes time."
"But we kept at it until we got it right and that’s Ring Robotics. It’s not just a new category of security; it’s the beginning of a future where proactive, autonomous protection is something every home and every business can have."
TickerTapX retweeted
$CRWV CoreWeave is raising ARR from $18.5b-$19.5 to $20b-$21.
TickerTapX retweeted
$CRWV
"Our growth is supported by multiple sources of funding, including financing backed by customer contracts, operating cash flow, and approximately $9 billion in customer prepayments and deposits expected in the next three months alone. That financial flexibility positions us to keep delivering the infrastructure and software customers need to build, run, and scale AI."
This is what the market wants to hear from CoreWeave: what viable tools do you have for the CapEx build?
TickerTapX retweeted
COREWEAVE $CRWV RAISES FY REV. TO $13.0B - $13.3B, SAW $12B TO $13B
TickerTapX retweeted
$CRWV CoreWeave Q3 Earnings
Loss per share $1.27, est. loss $1.46
Revenue $3.66B, est. $3.56B
Net loss $709M, est. loss $850.4M
Operating income $207M, est. $63.7M
Adjusted operating income $379M, est. $245.8M
Adjusted EBITDA $2.26B, est. $2.05B
Adjusted EBITDA margin 62%, est. 57.6%
Raises FY 2026 revenue guidance
Raises annualized run-rate revenue guidance
TickerTapX retweeted
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TickerTapX retweeted
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TickerTapX retweeted
$CRWV CoreWeave earnings are coming up after hours.
I think the overall #'s don't matter that much here. The greater question is whether or not they can effectively raise funds, what the payoff periods look like for the business, and whether they will need to slow the buildout in the future.
The latter is a realistic possibility and could limit their upside (though the stock is very undervalued here). However, if we see that $IREN's 90% prepayment at $23m/mw for 5 years wasn't an aberration, this shows that CoreWeave still has plenty of options aside from current measures.
I'd also love to get greater visibility on what the renewals are looking like, and how much they have of those fully-paid GPUs coming off contract into a renewal period.
TickerTapX retweeted
BREAKING: Alice Huang has known Jensen Huang, and identified her real company, Shanghai Century Litong, which enabled at least $7.5B Nvidia chips sales to China since 2023, bigger than previously reported, per the Information
TickerTapX retweeted
Trump was reportedly warned at least twice that Nvidia ( $NVDA ) CEO Jensen Huang had a relationship with a suspected Chinese intelligence asset, including a May briefing by Secretary of State Marco Rubio aboard Air Force One, contradicting Trump’s claim Monday that he had been unaware, according to The New York Times.
•Intelligence Briefings:
Rubio warned Trump during a stop in Alaska after learning Huang would join the president’s China trip. Trump reportedly received an earlier warning in late 2025 but took no action. A separate intelligence memo circulated among senior officials was not shown to Trump.
•Presidential Response:
Trump allowed Huang aboard despite Rubio’s warning. On Monday, he defended Huang, said the executive denied knowing the woman was a spy, and indicated he would not raise the matter with Chinese President Xi Jinping.
•Upcoming China Visit: Trump
confirmed Huang will not accompany him to China next week, reversing earlier suggestions that he might be invited again.
•Chip Export Policy:
Huang has advocated broader U.S. chip sales to China. The administration permitted restricted H200 exports to approved buyers but has not authorized advanced Blackwell sales, amid opposition from Huang’s critics within the administration.


























