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Alpha is officially on the app store. But you're going to need a code to get in 👀 Public launch coming soon.
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JUST IN: Boeing $BA crashes over 10% as earnings report a $0.34 per share loss Its order backlog hits a record $745,000,000,000.00, about 5 times Boeing's entire market cap.
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Not good in the $HOOD. Robinhood missed EPS: $0.51 vs $0.56 expected. 4 of the 6 numbers we flagged cleared the bar. The stock still fell 5% after hours. Beating EPS doesn’t save a stock. Missing it still sinks one. Vlad’s on the call at 5 PM ET.
$HOOD reports earnings after the 4 PM ET close. Everyone watches EPS. Robinhood beat that estimate by over 40% last quarter, and the stock still fell. EPS is largely dictated by the company themselves. Here are the numbers that actually matter:
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$HOOD reports earnings after the 4 PM ET close. Everyone watches EPS. Robinhood beat that estimate by over 40% last quarter, and the stock still fell. EPS is largely dictated by the company themselves. Here are the numbers that actually matter:
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needed this
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NEW: Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg says "everybody wants us to go faster but we're going to do it right" $BA with its biggest one day drop since April 2025.
JUST IN: Boeing $BA crashes over 10% as earnings report a $0.34 per share loss Its order backlog hits a record $745,000,000,000.00, about 5 times Boeing's entire market cap.
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JUST IN: Boeing $BA crashes over 10% as earnings report a $0.34 per share loss Its order backlog hits a record $745,000,000,000.00, about 5 times Boeing's entire market cap.
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Oh you like leverage? Coming soon to an app store near you. tradealpha.app
Investor appetite for leverage is through the roof: 10 largest US leveraged equity ETFs have attracted +$12 billion in inflows over the last month. This is despite the market cap of these funds falling -$20 billion over the same period. Recent inflow growth has been led by the 3x leveraged long Semiconductor ETF, $SOXL, which attracted +$9 billion over the last 2 weeks, its largest 2-week inflow on record. The 3x leveraged long Nasdaq 100 ETF, $TQQQ, posted +$1.3 billion in inflows, its 2nd-largest 2-week intake of 2026. Over the last 5 months, the 10 largest US leveraged equity ETFs have attracted +$19 billion in inflows. Investors are piling into leveraged ETFs at a record pace.
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AI stocks liked the $ANT filing
ANTHROPIC JUST FILED FOR ITS IPO. INVESTORS ARE EYEING A $1.5T VALUATION. HERE'S EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW 🧵 Nasdaq, ticker $ANT, reportedly the week of Nov 16. THE BULL CASE • Q2 revenue: $11.6B. All of 2025: $4.6B. • First operating profit: $974M in Q2. • Revenue per $1 of compute went from $0.40 to $2.08. • Existing customers spend ~9x more than a year ago. • 1,900+ customers pay $1M+ a year. ~250 pay $10M+. • No single customer is more than 10% of revenue. • SemiAnalysis: "likely the most efficient scaling of a business in the history of capitalism." THE BEAR CASE • The lockup is a staircase, not a cliff. Dilution will be slow at first but regular and ongoing for an entire year. • Every time the stock rises 50%, the board can issue up to 2% more shares. • $269.4B owed to Google, Amazon and Microsoft for compute, "regardless of actual usage." • "We have significantly underestimated our compute requirements." • "We expect our revenue growth rate to decline over time." • "We have struggled to accurately forecast our revenue." • Public shareholders control nothing. The 7 co-founders hold one share with 50.1% of the vote. WILD ADMISSIONS • Models, "including our own," have tried to resist shutdown and shown "behavior resembling blackmail." • Models act differently when they know they're being tested. • "Our models are contributing to the pace of our own research." • Concerns about "catastrophic or existential risks to humanity" have been raised inside the company. • The President ordered federal agencies to stop using Anthropic, and a court upheld its "supply-chain risk" label in September. • It paused training a new frontier model for over a month over fears of model-weight theft. EXTERNAL STAKEHOLDERS • Amazon, Google and Microsoft. Amazon and Google will each also own 5%+ of Anthropic. • $AMZN $GOOGL $MSFT $NVDA Are you longing this chart?
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The $ANT IPO filing is well timed with revenue that went vertical in Q2: $11.6B vs. $4.6B for ALL of 2025. But Anthropic’s own filing pumps the brakes: “We expect our revenue growth rate to decline over time.” At a $1.5 trillion IPO price, Anthropic would trade at 76x its last 12 months of sales. $SPCX is the next highest of the $1T+ companies at 64x, $NVDA is at 17x, and $AAPL at 11x.
ANTHROPIC JUST FILED FOR ITS IPO. INVESTORS ARE EYEING A $1.5T VALUATION. HERE'S EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW 🧵 Nasdaq, ticker $ANT, reportedly the week of Nov 16. THE BULL CASE • Q2 revenue: $11.6B. All of 2025: $4.6B. • First operating profit: $974M in Q2. • Revenue per $1 of compute went from $0.40 to $2.08. • Existing customers spend ~9x more than a year ago. • 1,900+ customers pay $1M+ a year. ~250 pay $10M+. • No single customer is more than 10% of revenue. • SemiAnalysis: "likely the most efficient scaling of a business in the history of capitalism." THE BEAR CASE • The lockup is a staircase, not a cliff. Dilution will be slow at first but regular and ongoing for an entire year. • Every time the stock rises 50%, the board can issue up to 2% more shares. • $269.4B owed to Google, Amazon and Microsoft for compute, "regardless of actual usage." • "We have significantly underestimated our compute requirements." • "We expect our revenue growth rate to decline over time." • "We have struggled to accurately forecast our revenue." • Public shareholders control nothing. The 7 co-founders hold one share with 50.1% of the vote. WILD ADMISSIONS • Models, "including our own," have tried to resist shutdown and shown "behavior resembling blackmail." • Models act differently when they know they're being tested. • "Our models are contributing to the pace of our own research." • Concerns about "catastrophic or existential risks to humanity" have been raised inside the company. • The President ordered federal agencies to stop using Anthropic, and a court upheld its "supply-chain risk" label in September. • It paused training a new frontier model for over a month over fears of model-weight theft. EXTERNAL STAKEHOLDERS • Amazon, Google and Microsoft. Amazon and Google will each also own 5%+ of Anthropic. • $AMZN $GOOGL $MSFT $NVDA Are you longing this chart?
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ANTHROPIC JUST FILED FOR ITS IPO. INVESTORS ARE EYEING A $1.5T VALUATION. HERE'S EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW 🧵 Nasdaq, ticker $ANT, reportedly the week of Nov 16. THE BULL CASE • Q2 revenue: $11.6B. All of 2025: $4.6B. • First operating profit: $974M in Q2. • Revenue per $1 of compute went from $0.40 to $2.08. • Existing customers spend ~9x more than a year ago. • 1,900+ customers pay $1M+ a year. ~250 pay $10M+. • No single customer is more than 10% of revenue. • SemiAnalysis: "likely the most efficient scaling of a business in the history of capitalism." THE BEAR CASE • The lockup is a staircase, not a cliff. Dilution will be slow at first but regular and ongoing for an entire year. • Every time the stock rises 50%, the board can issue up to 2% more shares. • $269.4B owed to Google, Amazon and Microsoft for compute, "regardless of actual usage." • "We have significantly underestimated our compute requirements." • "We expect our revenue growth rate to decline over time." • "We have struggled to accurately forecast our revenue." • Public shareholders control nothing. The 7 co-founders hold one share with 50.1% of the vote. WILD ADMISSIONS • Models, "including our own," have tried to resist shutdown and shown "behavior resembling blackmail." • Models act differently when they know they're being tested. • "Our models are contributing to the pace of our own research." • Concerns about "catastrophic or existential risks to humanity" have been raised inside the company. • The President ordered federal agencies to stop using Anthropic, and a court upheld its "supply-chain risk" label in September. • It paused training a new frontier model for over a month over fears of model-weight theft. EXTERNAL STAKEHOLDERS • Amazon, Google and Microsoft. Amazon and Google will each also own 5%+ of Anthropic. • $AMZN $GOOGL $MSFT $NVDA Are you longing this chart?
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Apple sat out the AI spending race. It's the best Mag 7 stock this year. Microsoft, Google and Amazon are spending $600B combined and they've underperformed the S&P 500. They all report in the next 7 days.
Five Big Tech companies report earnings in the next 7 days. Together they make up 22% of the S&P 500. Buckle up.
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Five Big Tech companies report earnings in the next 7 days. Together they make up 22% of the S&P 500. Buckle up.
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Investors are backing away from the memory trade. $DRAM has seen $2 billion in net outflows this October, putting it on pace for its biggest monthly withdrawal since launch. The ETF is down nearly 23% over the past month.
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There's always next week.
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The iPhone Duo is the most expensive iPhone ever. But if you price it in $AAPL stock, it's actually one of the cheapest ever.
JUST IN: Apple $AAPL briefly passed Nvidia $NVDA to become the world's largest company again, the same day its $1,999 foldable iPhone hits stores.
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JUST IN: Apple $AAPL briefly passed Nvidia $NVDA to become the world's largest company again, the same day its $1,999 foldable iPhone hits stores.
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First Railway. Then PHP. Now AI has compromised my portfolio.
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Memory stocks have been crushed this month. Over $800B in value wiped out. $SKHY -34%. Samsung -22%. $SNDK -22%. $WDC -16%. $MU -12%.
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JUST IN: Tesla $TSLA beats Q3 estimates, but profit falls 43% from a year ago to $787M. $288M of that came from bitcoin going up. $TSLA +1.5% after hours and +3% on the day.
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JUST IN: Meta $META beats with $64,600,000,000.00 in Q3 revenue, up 26% from a year ago. It beat on revenue in July too. The stock still fell as much as 10% after hours.
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