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Alpha is officially on the app store.
But you're going to need a code to get in 👀
Public launch coming soon.
Not good in the $HOOD.
Robinhood missed EPS: $0.51 vs $0.56 expected.
4 of the 6 numbers we flagged cleared the bar. The stock still fell 5% after hours.
Beating EPS doesn’t save a stock. Missing it still sinks one.
Vlad’s on the call at 5 PM ET.
$HOOD reports earnings after the 4 PM ET close.
Everyone watches EPS. Robinhood beat that estimate by over 40% last quarter, and the stock still fell.
EPS is largely dictated by the company themselves.
Here are the numbers that actually matter:
$HOOD reports earnings after the 4 PM ET close.
Everyone watches EPS. Robinhood beat that estimate by over 40% last quarter, and the stock still fell.
EPS is largely dictated by the company themselves.
Here are the numbers that actually matter:
NEW: Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg says "everybody wants us to go faster but we're going to do it right"
$BA with its biggest one day drop since April 2025.
JUST IN: Boeing $BA crashes over 10% as earnings report a $0.34 per share loss
Its order backlog hits a record $745,000,000,000.00, about 5 times Boeing's entire market cap.
Oh you like leverage?
Coming soon to an app store near you.
tradealpha.app
Investor appetite for leverage is through the roof:
10 largest US leveraged equity ETFs have attracted +$12 billion in inflows over the last month.
This is despite the market cap of these funds falling -$20 billion over the same period.
Recent inflow growth has been led by the 3x leveraged long Semiconductor ETF, $SOXL, which attracted +$9 billion over the last 2 weeks, its largest 2-week inflow on record.
The 3x leveraged long Nasdaq 100 ETF, $TQQQ, posted +$1.3 billion in inflows, its 2nd-largest 2-week intake of 2026.
Over the last 5 months, the 10 largest US leveraged equity ETFs have attracted +$19 billion in inflows.
Investors are piling into leveraged ETFs at a record pace.
AI stocks liked the $ANT filing
ANTHROPIC JUST FILED FOR ITS IPO.
INVESTORS ARE EYEING A $1.5T VALUATION.
HERE'S EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW 🧵
Nasdaq, ticker $ANT, reportedly the week of Nov 16.
THE BULL CASE
• Q2 revenue: $11.6B. All of 2025: $4.6B.
• First operating profit: $974M in Q2.
• Revenue per $1 of compute went from $0.40 to $2.08.
• Existing customers spend ~9x more than a year ago.
• 1,900+ customers pay $1M+ a year. ~250 pay $10M+.
• No single customer is more than 10% of revenue.
• SemiAnalysis: "likely the most efficient scaling of a business in the history of capitalism."
THE BEAR CASE
• The lockup is a staircase, not a cliff. Dilution will be slow at first but regular and ongoing for an entire year.
• Every time the stock rises 50%, the board can issue up to 2% more shares.
• $269.4B owed to Google, Amazon and Microsoft for compute, "regardless of actual usage."
• "We have significantly underestimated our compute requirements."
• "We expect our revenue growth rate to decline over time."
• "We have struggled to accurately forecast our revenue."
• Public shareholders control nothing. The 7 co-founders hold one share with 50.1% of the vote.
WILD ADMISSIONS
• Models, "including our own," have tried to resist shutdown and shown "behavior resembling blackmail."
• Models act differently when they know they're being tested.
• "Our models are contributing to the pace of our own research."
• Concerns about "catastrophic or existential risks to humanity" have been raised inside the company.
• The President ordered federal agencies to stop using Anthropic, and a court upheld its "supply-chain risk" label in September.
• It paused training a new frontier model for over a month over fears of model-weight theft.
EXTERNAL STAKEHOLDERS
• Amazon, Google and Microsoft. Amazon and Google will each also own 5%+ of Anthropic.
• $AMZN $GOOGL $MSFT $NVDA
Are you longing this chart?
The $ANT IPO filing is well timed with revenue that went vertical in Q2: $11.6B vs. $4.6B for ALL of 2025.
But Anthropic’s own filing pumps the brakes: “We expect our revenue growth rate to decline over time.”
At a $1.5 trillion IPO price, Anthropic would trade at 76x its last 12 months of sales. $SPCX is the next highest of the $1T+ companies at 64x, $NVDA is at 17x, and $AAPL at 11x.
ANTHROPIC JUST FILED FOR ITS IPO.
INVESTORS ARE EYEING A $1.5T VALUATION.
HERE'S EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW 🧵
Nasdaq, ticker $ANT, reportedly the week of Nov 16.
THE BULL CASE
• Q2 revenue: $11.6B. All of 2025: $4.6B.
• First operating profit: $974M in Q2.
• Revenue per $1 of compute went from $0.40 to $2.08.
• Existing customers spend ~9x more than a year ago.
• 1,900+ customers pay $1M+ a year. ~250 pay $10M+.
• No single customer is more than 10% of revenue.
• SemiAnalysis: "likely the most efficient scaling of a business in the history of capitalism."
THE BEAR CASE
• The lockup is a staircase, not a cliff. Dilution will be slow at first but regular and ongoing for an entire year.
• Every time the stock rises 50%, the board can issue up to 2% more shares.
• $269.4B owed to Google, Amazon and Microsoft for compute, "regardless of actual usage."
• "We have significantly underestimated our compute requirements."
• "We expect our revenue growth rate to decline over time."
• "We have struggled to accurately forecast our revenue."
• Public shareholders control nothing. The 7 co-founders hold one share with 50.1% of the vote.
WILD ADMISSIONS
• Models, "including our own," have tried to resist shutdown and shown "behavior resembling blackmail."
• Models act differently when they know they're being tested.
• "Our models are contributing to the pace of our own research."
• Concerns about "catastrophic or existential risks to humanity" have been raised inside the company.
• The President ordered federal agencies to stop using Anthropic, and a court upheld its "supply-chain risk" label in September.
• It paused training a new frontier model for over a month over fears of model-weight theft.
EXTERNAL STAKEHOLDERS
• Amazon, Google and Microsoft. Amazon and Google will each also own 5%+ of Anthropic.
• $AMZN $GOOGL $MSFT $NVDA
Are you longing this chart?
ANTHROPIC JUST FILED FOR ITS IPO.
INVESTORS ARE EYEING A $1.5T VALUATION.
HERE'S EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW 🧵
Nasdaq, ticker $ANT, reportedly the week of Nov 16.
THE BULL CASE
• Q2 revenue: $11.6B. All of 2025: $4.6B.
• First operating profit: $974M in Q2.
• Revenue per $1 of compute went from $0.40 to $2.08.
• Existing customers spend ~9x more than a year ago.
• 1,900+ customers pay $1M+ a year. ~250 pay $10M+.
• No single customer is more than 10% of revenue.
• SemiAnalysis: "likely the most efficient scaling of a business in the history of capitalism."
THE BEAR CASE
• The lockup is a staircase, not a cliff. Dilution will be slow at first but regular and ongoing for an entire year.
• Every time the stock rises 50%, the board can issue up to 2% more shares.
• $269.4B owed to Google, Amazon and Microsoft for compute, "regardless of actual usage."
• "We have significantly underestimated our compute requirements."
• "We expect our revenue growth rate to decline over time."
• "We have struggled to accurately forecast our revenue."
• Public shareholders control nothing. The 7 co-founders hold one share with 50.1% of the vote.
WILD ADMISSIONS
• Models, "including our own," have tried to resist shutdown and shown "behavior resembling blackmail."
• Models act differently when they know they're being tested.
• "Our models are contributing to the pace of our own research."
• Concerns about "catastrophic or existential risks to humanity" have been raised inside the company.
• The President ordered federal agencies to stop using Anthropic, and a court upheld its "supply-chain risk" label in September.
• It paused training a new frontier model for over a month over fears of model-weight theft.
EXTERNAL STAKEHOLDERS
• Amazon, Google and Microsoft. Amazon and Google will each also own 5%+ of Anthropic.
• $AMZN $GOOGL $MSFT $NVDA
Are you longing this chart?
Apple sat out the AI spending race. It's the best Mag 7 stock this year.
Microsoft, Google and Amazon are spending $600B combined and they've underperformed the S&P 500.
They all report in the next 7 days.
Five Big Tech companies report earnings in the next 7 days.
Together they make up 22% of the S&P 500. Buckle up.
JUST IN: Meta $META beats with $64,600,000,000.00 in Q3 revenue, up 26% from a year ago.
It beat on revenue in July too. The stock still fell as much as 10% after hours.



























