Trading Volatility (@TradeVolatility) header
Trading Volatility (@TradeVolatility) profile picture

Market structure, options positioning & the macro that moves them. Gamma | Flow | 0DTE | Skew | Vanna | VIX/VXX/SVIX Stock & options trade automation.🇺🇸

Joined May 2010
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After today's FOMC meeting, odds of a Dec 9 rate hike increased to 81%.
Current odds for FOMC rates decisions for next 3 meetings: - Oct 28: 95% no change - Dec 9: 77% for 25bp increae - Jan 27: 64% no change; 34% 25bps increase
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Current odds for FOMC rates decisions for next 3 meetings: - Oct 28: 95% no change - Dec 9: 77% for 25bp increae - Jan 27: 64% no change; 34% 25bps increase
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Odds of a French debt rating downgrade by Moody's rose 14 points to 32% in 24 hours.
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Brazilian real falls 10.74% against US dollar in ECB reference-rate data. $EWZ -19.6% on the day
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The govt financing situation in France is getting dire. France already taxes take 52% of GDP. 57% of govt spending goes to the public. Debt is unstable with OAT-Bund spread reaching 172 bp -- widest since 2011 Euro crisis.
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Trading Volatility retweeted
Sector trends about the same as last week. Upward: $XLB $XLE $XLF $XLP $XLU $XLV $XLY Downward: $XLC $XLI $XLK
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Sector Trends snapshot! upward: $XLY $XLV $XLP $XLK $XLE $XLC downward: $XLI possible bottoming: $XLU $XLF $XLB
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Sector Trends snapshot Friday upward: $XLB $XLC $XLE $XLY $XLU $XLV $XLP downward: $XLF $XLI $XLK
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Sector trends about the same as last week. Upward: $XLB $XLE $XLF $XLP $XLU $XLV $XLY Downward: $XLC $XLI $XLK
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Our indicator for tracking spikes in $VXX $UVXY $UVIX from 13 years ago is still 👑. It measures the MACD of the VIX futures roll yield --> when negaive it means the M1 M2 contango spread is widening (VXX trend ↘️). --> when positive it means the contango spread is narrowing (VXX trend ↗️) It shifted to positive Oct 13 when VXX @ $16.68
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NGL, things are looking slightly terrifying
Takes about 5 seconds to look at this and understand that investors are preparing for some downsied over the next 30 days. link below
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Irrational investors lose every time.
Ed Zitron, a newsletter guy who's been calling the AI top for years, just had an absolute crash out 😂 "Jensen Huang is a piece of shit. Every hyperscaler CEO is too." He even apologized to his readers for having been too polite before. This is what being wrong on AI that long does to a man. What's next, Ed? Jensen did 9/11? 🤣
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Our GEX map today $SPX showing 7770 resistance
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There’s wealth in being able to live this way, and wisdom in enjoying it while you can. Building makes that wealth grow: a stronger relationship, a healthier body, something useful or beautiful that didn’t exist before.
Imagine a life so blessed that you get to read great books, exercise with intensity, go for walks at sunset, spend time with your family, and cook the food you love. You already have that life. Start living it.
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