Dario Mofardin retweeted
Resilience Amid Persistent Inflation
US CPI & PPI for Oct will provide the next test of inflation progress, as the Fed weighs persistent price pressures against the resilience of economic growth. 👇
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Dario Mofardin retweeted
More Policy, Data & Crosscurrents
BoE & RBA decisions will weigh the risks of persistent inflation against the potential cost of further tightening to growth. US labor & activity data will gauge economic resilience at the start of Q4. 👇
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Dario Mofardin retweeted
Policy, Data, Crosscurrents
Central bank decisions and key US inflation & growth data take focus amid a convergence of earnings, the lead-up to the US midterm elections, & geopolitical uncertainty. 👇
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Dario Mofardin retweeted
Irregular Top
#Nasdaq / #NDX remains trapped within a triangle consolidation. The preferred path remains an extension lower towards 200-day SMA support for wave (c) of a bullish wave 4. Trade back below the 26000 overlap invalidates the bullish outlook.
More detail in this week’s Mars Market Update 👇
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Dario Mofardin retweeted
Global CPI Reports
Global #CPI releases for Sept will bring persistent inflation risks into focus ahead of key central bank decisions. Flash global #PMIs will provide an early read on growth momentum entering Q4. 👇
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Dario Mofardin retweeted
Sufficient Inflation Progress?
This week, US #CPI & #PPI will test progress towards the Fed’s 2% inflation target, while #RetailSales, #FedBeigeBook, & #IndustrialProduction will provide broader context on inflation pressures & growth momentum. 👇
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Dario Mofardin retweeted
FOMC Minutes
This week, FOMC Minutes will shed light on the Fed’s inflation concerns, rationale behind last month’s hike, & conditions for further tightening, following data & speeches that have eased the urgency to hike. 👇
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Dario Mofardin retweeted
Data Dependence
A pivotal week of US data will test the emerging growth narrative & the inflation trajectory, with non-farm payrolls, PCE inflation, & Q3 growth indicators in focus. 👇
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Dario Mofardin retweeted
Weekly Macro Outlook: Fed Doctrine Test
The #FOMC meeting this week will test Chair Warsh’s new policy framework, as firm inflation & rising energy prices lift pressure for a hike. 👇
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Dario Mofardin retweeted
Jackson Hole
Focus the week shifts to US #PCEinflation for July and Fed Chair Warsh’s #JacksonHole speech, with markets watching for signals on inflation and the Fed’s policy framework. 👇
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Dario Mofardin retweeted
FOMC Minutes
Focus for the week ahead shifts to the Fed Minutes and the debate around inflation and the policy framework. US output & housing data, global CPIs & PMIs also in focus. 👇
marscapitalpartners.com/2026…
Dario Mofardin retweeted
Crude Oil Bull Setup
#CL_F #CrudeOil is setting up a bullish change in trend as it approaches equality targets in the 71-72 area.
The 4hr and daily charts attached show how the near-term setup fits within the bigger-picture structure.
Looking for a strong wave 3 or C rally back above the 93.50 highs. Bull setup invalidated below the recent 67 swing lows.
Dario Mofardin retweeted
Labour Market Preview
This week's focus shifts to US labor market data, with payrolls testing the Fed's policy latitude. NZ & Canada labor reports & #PMIs also in focus.
Weekly Macro Outlook 👇
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Dario Mofardin retweeted
Central Bank Preview
#FOMC #BoE & #BoJ meetings headline another week of policy decisions, US & Euro area inflation data, and Q2 GDP.
Weekly Macro Outlook 👇
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Dario Mofardin retweeted
Inflation Risks Persist
Global #CPI reports & the #ECB take centre stage this week, with prelim S&P #PMIs for July providing an early read on Q3 activity.
Weekly Macro Outlook 👇
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Dario Mofardin retweeted
The Inflation Test
As headline inflation eases, the focus shifts to whether core inflation also begins to moderate. This week's US #CPI, #PPI and #Fed testimony/speeches will shape the outlook for policy.
Weekly Macro Outlook 👇
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Dario Mofardin retweeted
Fed's Policy Latitude
As energy risks ease, this wk's #US #NFP & labor report becomes the key policy input. A resilient labour market would support higher-for-longer expectations.
Also: ECB Sintra & Fed Chair Warsh
Weekly Macro Outlook 👇
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Dario Mofardin retweeted
#TYX #ZN_F US 10-year yields continue to correct within what appears to be the final stages of a larger triangle consolidation.
Ideal targets remain lower towards 200-day SMA support as we await a bigger picture triangle thrust higher in rates - an ending rally for this cycle.
The chart highlights the structural setup and the scenario we're monitoring for the next major move.
Dario Mofardin retweeted
#SPX and #Nasdaq are testing 50-day SMA support after a corrective decline.
This remains the key near-term inflection zone. Holding support keeps the bullish extension scenario alive, while a break below would increase the risk of a deeper decline.
The near term #ES_F chart outlines the scenarios we're watching.
Dario Mofardin retweeted
Underlying Inflation Risks
With the energy shock nearing a turning point, the question for CB's this week is whether inflation pressures are becoming more persistent.
#RBA #BoJ #BoE #FOMC meet this week.
Full Weekly Macro Outlook 👇
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